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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 2, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Pistons27%9494
12Pacers73%102101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.9
39.5
26.2
10
41%
5
3
0
1
0
1
3
2
3-3
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
47%
1-4
25%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 28.3
37.3
28.4
24
52%
5
1
2
1
1
1
0
5
3-7
43%
6-16
5-11
38%
46%
3-4
75%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 24.5
35.1
28.2
12
49%
2
9
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
2-6
2-5
33%
40%
2-5
40%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 20.6
31.3
27.6
13
56%
14
0
0
1
1
1
6
8
3-6
50%
5-9
5-8
56%
59%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 23.8
31.1
32.5
17
36%
16
2
3
1
1
0
7
9
5-6
83%
6-21
6-13
29%
49%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.9
32.3
24.3
16
60%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
3-3
100%
5-11
4-9
45%
44%
1-1
100%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.2
12.9
19.1
2
20%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
45%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 27.1
8.8
18.0
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
49%
0-1
0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.1
6.0
17.2
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 29.6
5.7
6.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Peyton Siva
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.4
5.3
0
0-1
38%
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 22.0
3.5
0
0-1
43%
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.3
3.5
0
0-1
43%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 25.1
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 37.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 27.9
38.7
35.0
12
54%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
4-5
80%
4-6
3-5
67%
52%
0-3
0%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.9
37.7
35.7
27
62%
12
7
2
2
0
2
0
12
5-6
83%
5-9
5-10
56%
49%
4-10
40%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 23.6
34.0
30.3
11
55%
5
4
0
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
4-7
4-7
57%
56%
1-3
33%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.6
33.2
30.7
15
72%
8
3
0
1
2
0
2
6
1-1
100%
7-10
6-11
70%
51%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 27.3
29.0
28.9
11
47%
3
3
0
0
2
2
1
2
3-4
75%
4-10
4-9
40%
50%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.4
19.0
14.1
10
74%
5
1
1
0
3
0
2
3
2-4
50%
4-5
1-2
80%
50%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 25.4
17.4
12.4
4
40%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 33.9
14.8
15.1
9
51%
8
2
0
0
0
2
5
3
3-4
75%
3-7
3-6
43%
50%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.2
9.3
11.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-2
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 34.9
6.9
9.2
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 30.0
7.0
0
1-1
53%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 25.2
3.5
0
0-1
48%
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.0
3.4
0
0-0
55%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.0
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 26.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.