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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 2, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Bobcats67%104123
3076ers33%9893
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 29.2
31
36
25
10
0
0
1
0
1
1
9
7-10
70%
9-17
10-19
53%
53%
0-0
-
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 21.5
27
18
9
8
3
0
1
1
3
1
7
3-6
50%
3-5
3-5
60%
48%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.3
26
29
14
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
4-7
4-8
57%
49%
1-1
100%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 23.9
20
36
8
0
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-5
5-12
60%
46%
0-1
0%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 20.5
20
22
7
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
5
5-6
83%
1-2
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 27.2
25
25
14
2
4
0
1
1
2
0
2
3-3
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
3-5
60%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.8
21
5
16
8
5
0
0
0
1
1
7
2-2
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
48%
4-7
57%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.1
20
12
8
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
48%
2-3
67%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.5
19
15
15
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
46%
1-2
50%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 21.6
17
10
2
7
0
0
0
2
1
4
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
54%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.4
8
2
5
1
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
43%
1-3
33%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.6
6
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 27.1
29
1
2-4
54%
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 24.9
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 34.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.8
34
34
11
5
4
2
2
0
4
0
5
3-3
100%
4-11
6-12
36%
51%
0-2
0%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 24.0
31
26
15
6
2
1
1
0
1
4
2
5-7
71%
5-13
4-8
38%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.5
27
31
22
7
3
0
2
1
1
2
5
2-4
50%
10-16
5-11
63%
45%
0-2
0%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 23.0
26
23
9
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
51%
1-2
50%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 25.0
25
29
0
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
54%
0-2
0%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.8
21
21
12
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
2-3
67%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.0
21
18
8
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
4-6
67%
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
0-4
0%
James Nunnally
F · 6'7" 208 · 23.7
18
7
3
3
1
2
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 26.1
16
19
4
1
4
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Davies
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.7
15
11
6
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
0-0
-
Casper Ware
· 5'10" 175 · 24.2
7
16
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
1-1
100%
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.4
7
0
1-2
51%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 25.1
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 33.2
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 20.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.