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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 2, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Celtics33%9892
17Wizards67%104118
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.6
32
31
13
1
3
0
1
1
1
0
1
7-7
100%
3-7
4-9
43%
46%
0-6
0%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 28.1
32
24
13
7
6
1
1
1
7
1
6
1-1
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
48%
0-3
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.6
21
27
2
0
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
44%
0-2
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 28.9
15
27
8
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
2-2
4-9
100%
48%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.1
11
22
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
49%
0-0
-
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 22.1
36
25
25
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
8-10
80%
7-13
4-8
54%
48%
1-2
50%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 23.9
33
23
8
8
1
1
1
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
48%
2-6
33%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 23.0
21
18
14
4
1
1
1
0
2
3
1
4-6
67%
5-7
2-5
71%
49%
0-3
0%
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.1
19
12
0
0
6
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
37%
0-1
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 31.6
13
2
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
0-0
33%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Babb
G · 6'5" 225 · 24.1
6
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-1
0%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.3
24
1
4-8
46%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 33.9
Vitor Faverani
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.9
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 20.8
31
35
19
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
6-7
5-11
86%
44%
1-1
100%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 28.8
29
31
18
7
0
1
1
0
0
1
6
1-1
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
49%
3-6
50%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.1
28
29
22
8
4
3
1
1
1
1
7
2-2
100%
10-13
5-9
77%
55%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.6
28
32
13
3
10
2
2
0
4
0
3
3-3
100%
5-9
5-11
56%
48%
0-1
0%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.4
25
19
10
5
1
0
1
1
1
1
4
4-6
67%
3-5
3-5
60%
55%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 27.3
28
24
8
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 38.0
20
16
2
4
8
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 32.5
18
23
2
2
1
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 34.1
16
17
12
2
1
1
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
49%
2-4
50%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 24.3
6
4
0
4
0
0
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 20.8
6
2
9
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-3
67%
2-2
0-0
100%
48%
1-1
100%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 24.4
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 27.9
2
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
1-1
100%
Glen Rice
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 23.2
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.