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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 2, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Bulls56%97105
19Hawks44%9592
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 24.5
40.9
40.2
17
50%
2
2
3
2
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
48%
3-8
38%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.1
38.0
36.2
10
50%
10
6
2
1
0
1
2
8
0-0
-
5-10
5-11
50%
50%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.2
30.9
26.3
17
61%
3
6
2
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
6-9
2-5
67%
43%
1-4
25%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33.5
30.6
33.3
8
103%
2
3
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
3-6
0%
48%
2-2
100%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 32.4
24.0
23.7
12
64%
6
2
0
1
0
4
1
5
2-3
67%
5-8
5-11
63%
48%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 26.4
28.3
29.3
23
69%
1
5
2
1
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
4-7
3-7
57%
44%
4-8
50%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.8
28.2
28.0
10
51%
6
2
2
1
2
2
2
4
2-2
100%
4-9
6-11
44%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 22.4
13.4
7.7
6
100%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
2-3
67%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 36.6
5.8
5.5
2
100%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.1
2.5
0
0-1
44%
Erik Murphy
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.4
1.8
0
0-0
47%
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
1.6
0
0-0
50%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 29.1
37.3
33.5
22
55%
11
3
2
2
1
1
2
9
5-7
71%
7-14
5-10
50%
49%
1-3
33%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.7
36.4
24.5
8
43%
6
3
0
1
0
1
3
3
2-3
67%
3-6
2-4
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 25.8
35.1
31.1
21
65%
2
8
2
1
0
4
1
1
4-5
80%
4-7
4-9
57%
47%
3-7
43%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 33.0
33.5
17.1
12
67%
4
1
0
0
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
48%
4-6
67%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 31.7
10.2
19.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 35.1
25.9
17.2
8
80%
5
3
2
0
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
50%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.4
21.1
25.9
6
48%
2
5
1
1
0
5
0
2
4-5
80%
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 20.5
12.9
13.5
5
43%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 22.8
11.9
11.9
8
69%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
4-4
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 25.7
10.7
16.4
2
33%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 23.9
5.0
22.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.4
10.1
0
1-1
45%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.8
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.1
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 29.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.