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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 16, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Mavericks
105
8Grizzlies
106
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.8
46
34
30
5
2
0
1
4
2
0
5
3-3
100%
9-13
5-11
69%
50%
3-9
33%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.5
42
37
18
6
4
2
2
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
6-17
6-13
35%
47%
2-4
50%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.9
32
31
9
5
1
1
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
51%
1-3
33%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.5
27
23
9
2
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
48%
1-5
20%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.9
11
19
2
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.2
26
22
9
2
0
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-2
0%
3-7
2-5
43%
43%
1-4
25%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.1
26
25
10
3
10
2
1
0
4
0
3
2-2
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
47%
0-3
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.5
25
22
10
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
5-5
4-6
100%
61%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25.0
17
7
8
7
0
2
0
0
0
5
2
4-4
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
53%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.8
13
9
0
3
0
2
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-2
0%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.5
5
0
0-1
42%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.4
3
0
0-1
44%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 29.2
2
0
0-0
50%
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.1
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.8
46
33
27
14
1
1
1
0
3
9
5
5-6
83%
11-22
7-14
50%
49%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 29.2
46
34
19
9
9
2
1
1
0
1
8
1-4
25%
9-12
7-13
75%
50%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.5
42
33
22
4
5
2
2
0
3
0
4
5-7
71%
7-11
5-9
64%
49%
1-5
20%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.5
35
24
11
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
52%
2-8
25%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 34.1
25
22
4
5
2
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
45%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.2
24
23
3
3
2
0
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
1-4
25%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 32.3
23
20
13
7
2
1
1
0
3
4
3
1-5
20%
6-10
3-6
60%
50%
0-1
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.9
12
14
4
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
55%
0-0
-
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 25.2
11
14
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
1-1
100%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.1
11
0
2-4
54%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.2
10
0
1-2
51%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24.9
4
0
1-1
53%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.8
3
0
0-1
47%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.1
Jamaal Franklin
G · 6'5" 191 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.