Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, April 16, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Mavericks | 105 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 27 | Bucks | 41% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 11 | Timberwolves | 130 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Pelicans | 39% | 100 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Pistons | 111 | ||
 | 3 | Thunder | 112 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Lakers | 15% | 99 | 113 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 25 | Celtics | 102 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Bulls | 57% | 95 | 86 |
 | 21 | Bobcats | 43% | 92 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Nets | 85 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 4 | Heat | 79% | 107 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Raptors | 92 | ||
 | 18 | Knicks | 95 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | Magic | 34% | 90 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23FFC627;}%20.st1{fill:%238B2332;}%20.st2{fill:%230D2240;}%20.st3{fill:%23FFFFFF;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M199.8,50c40,0,77.7,15.6,106.1,44c28.4,28.4,44,66.1,44,106.1c0,82.8-67.3,150.1-150.1,150.1%20c-40.1,0-77.9-15.6-106.2-44c-28.3-28.4-43.9-66.1-43.9-106.2c0-39.9,15.7-77.8,43.9-106.1C122.1,65.6,159.8,50,199.8,50'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M199.8,338.3c76.1,0,138.1-62,138.1-138.3c0-76.1-62-138.2-138.1-138.2c-76.2,0-138.2,62.1-138.2,138.2%20C61.7,276.3,123.7,338.3,199.8,338.3'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M71.9,200.1c0-70.4,57.4-127.8,127.9-127.8c70.5-0.1,127.9,57.3,127.9,127.8s-57.3,127.9-127.8,127.9%20C129.3,328.1,71.9,270.7,71.9,200.1'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M300.6,146.6l2.8-1.6l-9.2-14.2l-2.5,1.9c-15.6-19.7-43.4-41.7-69.8-45c19.9,9.1,42.3,32.3,55.9,50.2%20l-14.4,10.3l1.8,2.6l-64.8,42.1l-64.8-42.1l1.8-2.6L123,137.7c13.7-17.8,36.1-41,55.9-50.2c-26.4,3.3-54.2,25.2-69.7,44.9l-2.7-1.9%20l-9.2,14.2l2.8,1.7l-0.1,0.1c-11.4,22.4-19.8,57.1-11.6,82.4c-0.2-21.9,11.6-52,22.1-72.1l15.5,8.8l1.6-2.4l60.2,37.8l-79.4,51.6%20l-0.1-0.2l-10.6,2.8l0.1,0.3c-0.5,1.9,0.5,5.7,2.7,9.2c2.2,3.6,5.1,5.9,7.2,6.3l0.2,0.3l7.1-8.6l-0.1-0.2L273.1,163l1.6,2.4%20l15.5-8.8c10.5,20.1,22.3,50.2,22.2,72.1C320.5,203.7,312,169,300.6,146.6'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M292.4,252.5l-0.1,0.2l-73.1-47.5l-12.8,7.6l79.3,50l-0.1,0.2l7,8.6l0.2-0.3c2.1-0.4,5-2.7,7.2-6.3%20c2.2-3.5,3.2-7.2,2.7-9.2l0.1-0.3L292.4,252.5z'/%3e%3cpolygon%20class='st0'%20points='212.9,100.4%20207.4,107.5%20199.8,89.4%20199.8,173.2%20225.3,140.5%20251,147.1%20'/%3e%3cpolygon%20class='st3'%20points='212.9,120%20212.9,100.4%20207.4,107.5%20'/%3e%3cpolygon%20class='st3'%20points='199.8,89.4%20153.5,145.9%20173.8,140.6%20199.8,173.2%20'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M172.6,300.8c6.5-6.3,14.9-10.1,24-11v-12.6h-34.6C162.7,286.4,166.5,294.6,172.6,300.8'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M196.4,312.4v-14.8c-6.7,0.8-13,3.6-18,8.3C183.8,309.4,189.9,311.7,196.4,312.4'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st3'%20d='M204.1,235.4v14.8c6.7-0.8,13-3.6,18-8.2C216.9,238.4,210.8,236.1,204.1,235.4'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st3'%20d='M228.1,247.1c-6.5,6.2-14.9,10.1-23.9,10.9v11.4h34.6C237.7,260.9,233.8,253,228.1,247.1'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st3'%20d='M196.4,250.2v-14.8c-6.6,0.7-12.8,3-17.9,6.6C183.6,246.6,189.8,249.5,196.4,250.2'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M204.1,277.2v12.6c9,0.9,17.3,4.7,23.9,11c6-6.2,10-14.4,10.7-23.6L204.1,277.2L204.1,277.2z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st3'%20d='M161.9,269.4h34.5V258c-9-0.8-17.3-4.8-24-10.9C166.8,253,162.9,260.9,161.9,269.4'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M204.1,312.4c6.6-0.7,12.8-3,18-6.6c-5-4.7-11.3-7.5-18-8.3V312.4z'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 19 | Nuggets | 112 | ||
Tuesday, April 15, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Knicks | 109 | ||
| 11 | Nets | 98 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nuggets | 18% | 103 | 105 |
| 1 | Clippers | 82% | 116 | 117 |
Monday, April 14, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Celtics | 108 | ||
| 30 | 76ers | 113 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 24% | 96 | 100 |
| 14 | Raptors | 76% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Heat | 93 | ||
| 18 | Wizards | 114 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bobcats | 38% | 98 | 95 |
| 15 | Hawks | 62% | 102 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 95 | ||
| 8 | Bulls | 108 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 44% | 104 | 98 |
| 5 | Rockets | 56% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 89 | ||
| 20 | Pelicans | 101 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Lakers | 40% | 105 | 119 |
| 29 | Jazz | 60% | 108 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 97 | ||
| 9 | Suns | 91 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 36% | 101 | 120 |
| 6 | Warriors | 64% | 106 | 130 |
Sunday, April 13, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bulls | 48% | 96 | 89 |
| 17 | Knicks | 52% | 97 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 116 | ||
| 23 | Pistons | 107 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 28% | 95 | 88 |
| 13 | Nets | 72% | 103 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 97 | ||
| 16 | Pacers | 102 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 47% | 104 | 117 |
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 105 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Timberwolves | 103 | ||
| 22 | Kings | 106 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 68% | 105 | 102 |
| 26 | Lakers | 32% | 99 | 90 |
Saturday, April 12, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kings | 13% | 97 | 101 |
| 1 | Clippers | 87% | 112 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 105 | ||
| 21 | Bobcats | 111 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 25% | 96 | 91 |
| 18 | Wizards | 75% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Heat | 85 | ||
| 15 | Hawks | 98 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Celtics | 39% | 100 | 111 |
| 22 | Cavaliers | 61% | 103 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pelicans | 104 | ||
| 5 | Rockets | 111 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Suns | 32% | 103 | 98 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 68% | 109 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | 94 | ||
| 19 | Nuggets | 101 | ||
Friday, April 11, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 96 | ||
| 28 | Magic | 86 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Knicks | 40% | 100 | 108 |
| 14 | Raptors | 60% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bobcats | 103 | ||
| 26 | Celtics | 106 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 47% | 100 | 93 |
| 11 | Nets | 53% | 101 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 86 | ||
| 4 | Heat | 98 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 27% | 93 | 98 |
| 8 | Bulls | 73% | 101 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 95 | ||
| 9 | Grizzlies | 117 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 44% | 104 | 110 |
| 10 | Timberwolves | 56% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pelicans | 94 | ||
| 3 | Thunder | 116 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Cavaliers | 56% | 103 | 116 |
| 27 | Bucks | 44% | 101 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | 104 | ||
| 2 | Spurs | 112 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 67% | 107 | 111 |
| 29 | Jazz | 33% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 112 | ||
| 24 | Lakers | 95 | ||
Thursday, April 10, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 109 | ||
| 6 | Mavericks | 100 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nuggets | 22% | 99 | 100 |
| 7 | Warriors | 78% | 109 | 99 |
Wednesday, April 9, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pistons | 100 | ||
| 21 | Cavaliers | 122 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nets | 59% | 100 | 111 |
| 28 | Magic | 41% | 97 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 114 | ||
| 14 | Raptors | 125 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bobcats | 39% | 96 | 94 |
| 18 | Wizards | 61% | 100 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Celtics | 97 | ||
| 16 | Hawks | 105 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Heat | 44% | 94 | 102 |
| 11 | Grizzlies | 56% | 96 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 104 | ||
| 27 | Bucks | 102 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bulls | 48% | 96 | 102 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 52% | 97 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | 94 | ||
| 20 | Pelicans | 88 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 54% | 108 | 116 |
| 19 | Nuggets | 46% | 107 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 99 | ||
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 100 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 33% | 103 | 107 |
| 1 | Clippers | 67% | 108 | 101 |
Tuesday, April 8, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 61% | 103 | 91 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 39% | 99 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 36% | 102 | 102 |
| 16 | Hawks | 64% | 107 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 88 | ||
| 3 | Heat | 87 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 69% | 108 | 95 |
| 29 | Jazz | 31% | 101 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 107 | ||
| 23 | Kings | 92 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 69% | 112 | 145 |
| 25 | Lakers | 31% | 105 | 130 |
Sunday, April 6, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Knicks | 31% | 97 | 91 |
| 3 | Heat | 69% | 104 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Lakers | 97 | ||
| 1 | Clippers | 120 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 70% | 107 | 93 |
| 24 | Kings | 30% | 100 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 107 | ||
| 12 | Pacers | 88 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nuggets | 28% | 103 | 125 |
| 5 | Rockets | 72% | 111 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 92 | ||
| 2 | Spurs | 112 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | 23% | 96 | 102 |
| 7 | Warriors | 77% | 106 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 115 | ||
| 13 | Suns | 122 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pelicans | 27% | 99 | 94 |
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 73% | 108 | 100 |
Saturday, April 5, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 65% | 104 | 92 |
| 28 | Magic | 35% | 98 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bulls | 96 | ||
| 16 | Wizards | 78 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bobcats | 46% | 99 | 96 |
| 22 | Cavaliers | 54% | 101 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Celtics | 111 | ||
| 23 | Pistons | 115 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 69% | 106 | 105 |
| 30 | 76ers | 31% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 102 | ||
| 27 | Bucks | 98 | ||
Friday, April 4, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nuggets | 30% | 96 | 92 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 70% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 80 | ||
| 21 | Bobcats | 91 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 54% | 95 | 94 |
| 15 | Raptors | 46% | 94 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Cavaliers | 98 | ||
| 16 | Hawks | 117 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 31% | 99 | 111 |
| 26 | Celtics | 69% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 104 | ||
| 13 | Nets | 116 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 39% | 101 | 122 |
| 3 | Heat | 61% | 104 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 90 | ||
| 18 | Knicks | 89 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 22% | 90 | 90 |
| 8 | Bulls | 78% | 100 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pelicans | 96 | ||
| 29 | Jazz | 100 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 46% | 104 | 107 |
| 5 | Rockets | 54% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Suns | 109 | ||
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 93 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kings | 24% | 96 | 69 |
| 6 | Warriors | 76% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 107 | ||
| 24 | Lakers | 95 | ||
Thursday, April 3, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 48% | 101 | 94 |
| 4 | Thunder | 52% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 113 | ||
| 1 | Clippers | 107 | ||