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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 16, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3076ers21%96100
4Heat79%10787
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.5
34
32
12
6
4
0
2
1
3
0
6
3-4
75%
0-5
5-11
0%
44%
3-5
60%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 24.1
31
27
10
7
3
2
1
0
2
2
5
2-2
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
47%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.8
30
33
20
9
2
2
2
0
3
3
6
2-2
100%
9-14
6-12
64%
49%
0-3
0%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 25.1
18
27
10
3
2
2
1
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
50%
2-2
100%
Adonis Thomas
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 21.1
5
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
1-2
50%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 23.0
27
22
3
3
3
2
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
1-3
33%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.8
23
24
9
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
4-6
2-5
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.0
22
23
4
1
6
5
1
0
6
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Brandon Davies
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.7
19
12
11
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
45%
1-2
50%
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 26.1
16
14
8
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
50%
0-0
-
Casper Ware
· 5'10" 175 · 24.2
14
11
10
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
40%
2-3
67%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 25.2
10
0
1-2
44%
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.4
4
0
0-1
49%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 20.0
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 33.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.6
40
13
9
1
1
1
0
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
50%
3-4
75%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.5
34
10
9
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
3-8
38%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.1
29
23
13
2
4
2
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
3-8
2-3
38%
48%
1-6
17%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.2
23
19
16
2
4
0
1
0
3
1
1
4-6
67%
6-12
5-8
50%
56%
0-2
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.9
16
21
7
10
0
0
1
0
2
1
9
1-2
50%
3-4
3-5
75%
53%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.5
28
22
5
3
3
3
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
49%
1-2
50%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.7
24
22
11
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-4
50%
3-4
1-3
75%
53%
1-5
20%
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.0
18
11
7
3
0
2
0
0
2
2
1
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
57%
1-2
50%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.3
15
12
8
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-3
2-5
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 26.2
14
8
2
5
0
0
0
0
1
3
2
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
60%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.9
29
2
3-6
53%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.7
15
1
1-2
51%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.8
13
0
2-3
65%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.1
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.