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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 16, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Lakers15%99113
3Spurs85%113100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 23.0
36.6
28.5
12
55%
8
2
0
1
0
1
1
7
0-0
-
6-8
3-6
75%
45%
0-3
0%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.8
34.6
33.3
11
32%
11
2
0
1
0
0
1
10
0-0
-
4-10
3-6
40%
45%
1-7
14%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.7
30.4
34.1
14
102%
3
3
2
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-4
4-8
75%
47%
2-2
100%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26.7
27.9
26.6
18
58%
14
2
1
0
2
0
3
11
4-6
67%
7-13
5-10
54%
51%
0-0
-
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 22.7
27.5
24.1
15
95%
2
11
0
1
0
4
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
40%
4-4
100%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.9
29.8
27.7
16
60%
6
2
1
1
0
0
0
6
2-3
67%
4-7
4-8
57%
44%
2-5
40%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.9
23.9
25.7
10
46%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
46%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 27.4
20.5
23.1
10
45%
2
6
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
42%
2-5
40%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 25.2
8.8
4.0
7
72%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
3-3
1-1
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 24.8
8.4
0
1-2
44%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 33.8
8.2
0
2-4
46%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 32.0
6.3
0
1-3
46%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 40.2
6.1
0
1-1
48%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 35.6
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.3
26.3
12.9
12
46%
8
1
0
0
1
1
4
4
0-0
-
6-12
2-3
50%
57%
0-1
0%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.8
23.7
31.3
14
70%
5
4
0
2
2
0
0
5
0-0
-
4-5
5-8
80%
60%
2-5
40%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
19.7
27.5
8
31%
6
0
0
1
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
2-10
20%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.9
15.8
23.4
12
55%
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
5-9
6-10
56%
54%
0-1
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.4
14.5
12.2
2
33%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
53%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.7
22.9
21.8
10
56%
1
5
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
55%
2-4
50%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.0
21.7
16.2
2
25%
6
2
0
0
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
58%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
21.5
15.6
12
51%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
5-10
2-4
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.0
16.8
24.7
0
0%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
57%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.0
16.8
8.7
6
60%
8
0
0
0
1
0
0
8
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
53%
2-3
67%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.7
14.2
16.7
9
50%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
53%
1-3
33%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.9
14.2
7.6
13
75%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
4-6
67%
3-4
1-1
75%
45%
1-2
50%
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 26.5
12.0
16.4
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.1
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.