Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, April 12, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Bobcats | 78% | 107 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Bucks | 25% | 96 | 91 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Heat | 55% | 101 | 85 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Celtics | 39% | 100 | 111 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Pelicans | 20% | 97 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 5 | Mavericks | 68% | 109 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Friday, April 11, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 63% | 101 | 96 |
 | 28 | Magic | 37% | 96 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Knicks | 40% | 100 | 108 |
 | 11 | Raptors | 60% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bobcats | 54% | 100 | 103 |
| 24 | Celtics | 46% | 99 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 47% | 100 | 93 |
 | 17 | Nets | 53% | 101 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 4 | Heat | 75% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Pistons | 26% | 93 | 98 |
 | 9 | Bulls | 74% | 101 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 14% | 92 | 95 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Rockets | 44% | 104 | 110 |
 | 13 | Timberwolves | 56% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pelicans | 19% | 94 | 94 |
 | 2 | Thunder | 81% | 106 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Cavaliers | 56% | 103 | 116 |
| 29 | Bucks | 44% | 101 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Suns | 35% | 100 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 26 | Jazz | 33% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 25 | Lakers | 35% | 104 | 95 |
Thursday, April 10, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 51% | 104 | 109 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 49% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nuggets | 22% | 99 | 100 |
| 7 | Warriors | 78% | 109 | 99 |
Wednesday, April 9, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pistons | 38% | 102 | 100 |
| 20 | Cavaliers | 62% | 106 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 59% | 100 | 111 |
| 26 | Magic | 41% | 97 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 17% | 97 | 114 |
| 16 | Raptors | 83% | 110 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bobcats | 39% | 96 | 94 |
| 18 | Wizards | 61% | 100 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Celtics | 35% | 99 | 97 |
| 17 | Hawks | 65% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Heat | 44% | 94 | 102 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 56% | 96 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 68% | 99 | 104 |
| 28 | Bucks | 32% | 93 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bulls | 49% | 96 | 102 |
| 12 | Timberwolves | 51% | 97 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Suns | 60% | 104 | 94 |
| 22 | Pelicans | 40% | 100 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 54% | 108 | 116 |
| 21 | Nuggets | 46% | 107 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 15% | 97 | 99 |
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 85% | 111 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 33% | 103 | 107 |
| 1 | Clippers | 67% | 109 | 101 |
Tuesday, April 8, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 61% | 103 | 91 |
| 13 | Timberwolves | 39% | 100 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pistons | 36% | 102 | 102 |
| 17 | Hawks | 64% | 107 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 31% | 96 | 88 |
| 3 | Heat | 69% | 103 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 69% | 107 | 95 |
| 25 | Jazz | 31% | 101 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 73% | 104 | 107 |
| 28 | Kings | 27% | 96 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 69% | 112 | 145 |
| 26 | Lakers | 31% | 105 | 130 |
Sunday, April 6, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Knicks | 31% | 97 | 91 |
| 4 | Heat | 69% | 104 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 12% | 102 | 97 |
| 1 | Clippers | 88% | 117 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 70% | 107 | 93 |
| 26 | Kings | 30% | 100 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 35% | 94 | 107 |
| 12 | Pacers | 65% | 99 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nuggets | 28% | 103 | 125 |
| 7 | Rockets | 72% | 111 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grizzlies | 31% | 93 | 92 |
| 2 | Spurs | 69% | 100 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Jazz | 23% | 96 | 102 |
| 10 | Warriors | 77% | 106 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 51% | 105 | 115 |
| 9 | Suns | 49% | 104 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | 26% | 99 | 94 |
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 74% | 108 | 100 |
Saturday, April 5, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 66% | 104 | 92 |
| 28 | Magic | 34% | 98 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bulls | 48% | 94 | 96 |
| 16 | Wizards | 52% | 95 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bobcats | 45% | 99 | 96 |
| 21 | Cavaliers | 55% | 101 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Celtics | 41% | 101 | 111 |
| 23 | Pistons | 59% | 105 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nets | 69% | 106 | 105 |
| 30 | 76ers | 31% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Raptors | 59% | 101 | 102 |
| 29 | Bucks | 41% | 98 | 98 |
Friday, April 4, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nuggets | 30% | 96 | 92 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 70% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 35% | 95 | 80 |
| 19 | Bobcats | 65% | 101 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 54% | 95 | 94 |
| 18 | Raptors | 46% | 94 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Cavaliers | 39% | 100 | 98 |
| 17 | Hawks | 61% | 104 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 31% | 99 | 111 |
| 24 | Celtics | 69% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 34% | 100 | 104 |
| 15 | Nets | 66% | 105 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 39% | 101 | 122 |
| 4 | Heat | 61% | 104 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 42% | 100 | 90 |
| 14 | Knicks | 58% | 103 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bucks | 21% | 90 | 90 |
| 12 | Bulls | 79% | 100 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | 51% | 100 | 96 |
| 26 | Jazz | 49% | 99 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 46% | 104 | 107 |
| 6 | Rockets | 54% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Suns | 41% | 106 | 109 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 109 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 24% | 96 | 69 |
| 9 | Warriors | 76% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 65% | 111 | 107 |
| 27 | Lakers | 35% | 106 | 95 |
Thursday, April 3, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 47% | 101 | 94 |
| 4 | Thunder | 53% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 35% | 104 | 113 |
| 2 | Clippers | 65% | 110 | 107 |
Wednesday, April 2, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 28% | 94 | 94 |
| 12 | Pacers | 72% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nets | 39% | 99 | 81 |
| 15 | Knicks | 61% | 103 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Cavaliers | 49% | 100 | 119 |
| 26 | Magic | 51% | 101 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bobcats | 67% | 105 | 123 |
| 30 | 76ers | 33% | 98 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 49% | 101 | 103 |
| 17 | Raptors | 51% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Celtics | 33% | 98 | 92 |
| 16 | Wizards | 67% | 104 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 56% | 97 | 105 |
| 19 | Hawks | 44% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bucks | 17% | 94 | 77 |
| 4 | Heat | 83% | 107 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Grizzlies | 46% | 99 | 88 |
| 11 | Timberwolves | 54% | 100 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 31% | 98 | 90 |
| 2 | Spurs | 69% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 43% | 102 | 107 |
| 20 | Nuggets | 57% | 104 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clippers | 58% | 107 | 112 |
| 10 | Suns | 42% | 104 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Lakers | 35% | 102 | 102 |
| 23 | Kings | 65% | 107 | 107 |
Tuesday, April 1, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 53% | 104 | 96 |
| 14 | Nets | 47% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | 45% | 103 | 122 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 55% | 105 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 68% | 112 | 124 |
| 28 | Lakers | 32% | 106 | 112 |
Monday, March 31, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 49% | 99 | 94 |
| 18 | Bobcats | 51% | 100 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 56% | 97 | 103 |
| 11 | Pacers | 44% | 95 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 27% | 100 | 95 |
| 19 | Hawks | 73% | 109 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bucks | 38% | 101 | 111 |
| 24 | Pistons | 62% | 105 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 31% | 96 | 83 |
| 3 | Heat | 69% | 102 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Celtics | 31% | 92 | 80 |
| 13 | Bulls | 69% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clippers | 59% | 109 | 114 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 41% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 42% | 97 | 102 |
| 21 | Pelicans | 58% | 100 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 56% | 101 | 94 |
| 20 | Nuggets | 44% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Knicks | 57% | 103 | 92 |
| 27 | Jazz | 43% | 101 | 83 |
Sunday, March 30, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 18% | 96 | 96 |
| 3 | Thunder | 82% | 109 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 66% | 98 | 76 |
| 24 | Cavaliers | 34% | 93 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 49% | 104 | 99 |
| 15 | Nets | 51% | 105 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 63% | 101 | 98 |
| 26 | Magic | 37% | 97 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bulls | 60% | 96 | 107 |
| 22 | Celtics | 40% | 93 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Knicks | 30% | 98 | 89 |
| 5 | Warriors | 70% | 105 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 45% | 99 | 98 |
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 100 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Suns | 69% | 110 | 99 |
| 28 | Lakers | 31% | 103 | 115 |