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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 16, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Suns64%105104
25Kings36%10099
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 30.9
20.5
28.9
5
42%
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 24.4
16.7
35.1
6
44%
2
2
0
2
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-5
5-11
20%
51%
1-1
100%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 28.9
16.7
29.5
2
20%
4
0
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 28.2
16.7
24.2
12
55%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 25.6
12.6
23.8
2
33%
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
52%
0-0
-
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.6
31.3
18.2
22
59%
6
0
2
1
0
1
1
5
6-8
75%
5-11
2-4
45%
49%
2-4
50%
Archie Goodwin
G · 6'5" 205 · 19.7
31.3
2.9
29
90%
4
1
2
0
0
3
3
1
6-7
86%
10-10
0-1
100%
49%
1-3
33%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 24.6
27.9
27.7
15
56%
5
4
0
1
1
0
0
5
1-1
100%
7-13
5-9
54%
50%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.8
27.0
8.2
8
57%
2
8
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 20.8
16.3
3.0
0
0%
4
0
1
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-4
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 30.4
15.6
5.8
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Dionte Christmas
· 6'5" 205 · 27.6
7.5
2.5
3
31%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-2
0%
0-2
0-0
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.9
31.7
1
5-10
52%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 31.5
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 31.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.2
42.3
33.3
31
58%
5
5
1
1
0
2
0
5
10-15
67%
6-11
3-6
55%
44%
3-9
33%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.9
30.6
22.8
7
39%
3
1
1
1
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.7
21.1
22.9
8
44%
11
0
1
0
1
2
1
10
0-0
-
4-9
3-5
44%
51%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 25.2
16.7
17.7
4
40%
0
4
0
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
50%
0-3
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.7
16.1
18.7
6
38%
6
2
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
0-1
0%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.8
31.3
34.4
13
47%
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
5-12
4-10
42%
43%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.4
26.0
5.3
6
38%
13
2
2
0
0
4
6
7
0-0
-
3-8
0-1
38%
51%
0-0
-
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.5
24.7
9.3
9
55%
8
1
1
0
0
2
5
3
3-5
60%
3-5
1-1
60%
50%
0-1
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 29.6
24.6
22.5
15
64%
5
2
1
0
0
1
0
5
4-4
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
45%
1-3
33%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 22.9
6.5
7.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.7
35.4
2
10-20
49%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 33.9
16.3
1
1-3
47%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 23.9
3.2
0
0-1
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 36.6
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.