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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 5, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Magic49%9891
3076ers51%9989
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.3
36.4
34.8
18
48%
8
1
2
1
1
2
2
6
2-2
100%
8-15
6-13
53%
50%
0-3
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.0
36.2
36.0
17
52%
5
3
0
1
1
5
2
3
1-1
100%
8-16
8-15
50%
51%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 31.5
36.1
31.1
13
52%
11
1
2
1
0
3
2
9
1-1
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
49%
2-8
25%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 20.7
28.4
28.8
8
47%
6
5
4
1
1
4
3
3
0-1
0%
4-8
4-9
50%
44%
0-0
-
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.0
27.6
32.9
10
48%
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.6
20.4
19.4
15
55%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
5-6
83%
5-10
2-5
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.7
19.6
16.9
2
17%
2
1
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
0-3
0%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.5
17.4
10.1
6
75%
4
0
2
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 25.2
10.4
9.4
0
0%
6
0
0
0
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.1
7.5
14.3
2
50%
5
0
0
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.9
2.8
0
0-1
47%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.3
2.2
0
0-0
44%
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.1
1.7
0
0-0
45%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 24.6
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.6
35.0
30.9
27
71%
3
8
5
1
2
8
0
3
5-7
71%
5-10
5-10
50%
50%
4-6
67%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 23.6
34.3
30.5
6
47%
9
1
3
1
2
1
1
8
3-3
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
49%
1-4
25%
Brandon Davies
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.3
29.3
19.2
20
78%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
1-4
25%
8-10
2-4
80%
50%
1-1
100%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.2
25.7
20.2
4
25%
5
4
0
1
1
2
1
4
0-2
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-4
0%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 20.6
17.0
28.1
4
50%
2
3
0
1
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
4-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 21.7
29.0
20.7
12
57%
2
0
0
1
3
1
0
2
1-1
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 24.6
24.0
19.8
3
26%
8
2
3
1
0
3
2
6
1-2
50%
1-5
3-6
20%
49%
0-0
-
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 25.9
18.7
17.8
9
42%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
1-5
1-4
20%
41%
1-4
25%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 24.5
12.7
21.3
0
0%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-4
0%
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.0
10.0
13.7
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 21.6
4.3
7.2
2
33%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
47%
0-0
-
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.1
8.4
0
1-3
45%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 33.8
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.7
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.