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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Monday
December 11, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Heat49%101107
20Grizzlies51%10282
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.8
31.0
27.5
11
63%
3
3
2
1
2
1
0
3
3-4
75%
4-6
3-6
67%
54%
0-1
0%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.2
29.7
30.7
17
76%
5
2
0
1
1
2
1
4
4-5
80%
2-5
2-5
40%
48%
3-4
75%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.6
25.4
27.2
19
69%
5
5
0
1
0
2
1
4
4-4
100%
6-9
4-8
67%
50%
1-3
33%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.0
24.3
27.0
10
74%
2
4
2
1
1
2
0
2
2-4
50%
4-4
3-7
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 26.6
17.6
27.2
5
64%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
3-5
-
56%
1-3
33%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 25.6
32.2
27.0
14
70%
5
1
0
1
2
3
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
4-7
57%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.0
30.5
21.7
12
75%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
46%
4-6
67%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 20.4
22.9
18.5
14
85%
4
2
2
1
2
0
0
4
4-5
80%
5-6
2-4
83%
51%
0-0
-
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 21.7
22.6
23.3
5
42%
5
3
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
1-2
50%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 23.4
1.9
2.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 37.5
1.9
0.9
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.5
6.9
0
1-3
57%
Derrick Walton Jr.
G · 6'1" 185 · 22.7
Matt Williams Jr.
· 6'5" 210 · 24.2
Okaro White
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.3
AJ Hammons
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.3
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 32.9
34.5
35.5
19
52%
6
2
0
1
0
4
2
4
7-10
70%
3-9
6-12
33%
48%
2-5
40%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28.2
32.9
31.3
11
32%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-10
5-10
40%
49%
1-7
14%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 27.5
32.5
29.9
10
73%
4
0
1
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
53%
1-1
100%
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 23.1
30.4
23.4
16
103%
1
4
2
1
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
43%
2-2
100%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.9
18.6
24.9
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
51%
0-2
0%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.1
23.8
14.4
9
44%
4
5
2
0
1
2
0
4
2-5
40%
2-3
1-2
67%
52%
1-5
20%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 27.4
22.4
19.7
6
44%
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
0-2
1-2
0%
55%
1-3
33%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.8
14.8
19.0
2
20%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 21.0
13.5
10.9
7
60%
7
0
0
0
0
0
2
5
1-2
50%
3-5
1-2
60%
53%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 31.6
11.1
18.5
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
47%
0-1
0%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 23.6
1.9
9.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Vincent Hunter
· 6'9" 208 · 23.4
1.9
0.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
Ivan Rabb
F · 6'10" 220 · 20.8
1.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Wayne Selden
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 23.2
Kobi Simmons
G · 6'4" 170 · 20.4
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.2
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 30.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.