Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, December 11, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Hornets | 30% | 102 | 116 |
 | 5 | Thunder | 70% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Heat | 49% | 101 | 107 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Pelicans | 14% | 107 | 123 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Celtics | 62% | 101 | 85 |
 | 26 | Bulls | 38% | 97 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Raptors | 62% | 113 | 91 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Sunday, December 10, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Raptors | 81% | 113 | 102 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 55% | 105 | 91 |
 | 14 | Pistons | 45% | 103 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Mavericks | 31% | 106 | 92 |
 | 5 | Timberwolves | 69% | 113 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 15 | Pelicans | 58% | 114 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Knicks | 64% | 109 | 111 |
Saturday, December 9, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 21 | Clippers | 46% | 107 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 49% | 108 | 101 |
 | 22 | Nets | 51% | 109 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Lakers | 37% | 106 | 110 |
| 9 | Hornets | 63% | 110 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Magic | 43% | 108 | 110 |
| 28 | Hawks | 57% | 110 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 76ers | 39% | 112 | 98 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 57% | 105 | 102 |
| 27 | Bulls | 43% | 103 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 8 | Bucks | 44% | 101 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thunder | 60% | 102 | 102 |
| 20 | Grizzlies | 40% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rockets | 70% | 116 | 124 |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 30% | 108 | 117 |
Friday, December 8, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 25% | 101 | 119 |
| 8 | Hornets | 75% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 66% | 112 | 102 |
| 17 | Pistons | 34% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 54% | 114 | 102 |
| 14 | Pacers | 46% | 113 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nuggets | 43% | 114 | 103 |
| 22 | Magic | 57% | 117 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Mavericks | 38% | 103 | 102 |
| 10 | Bucks | 62% | 107 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 65% | 108 | 116 |
| 23 | Grizzlies | 35% | 103 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Kings | 25% | 103 | 116 |
| 16 | Pelicans | 75% | 112 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 49% | 101 | 102 |
| 9 | Spurs | 51% | 102 | 105 |
Thursday, December 7, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 23% | 105 | 107 |
| 3 | 76ers | 77% | 116 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 69% | 114 | 109 |
| 29 | Suns | 31% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Thunder | 63% | 112 | 95 |
| 20 | Nets | 37% | 107 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rockets | 62% | 109 | 112 |
| 8 | Jazz | 38% | 104 | 101 |
Wednesday, December 6, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Kings | 15% | 103 | 95 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 85% | 117 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 26% | 103 | 96 |
| 13 | Pacers | 74% | 112 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 38% | 109 | 106 |
| 22 | Magic | 62% | 113 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Mavericks | 25% | 100 | 90 |
| 3 | Celtics | 75% | 109 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Grizzlies | 49% | 103 | 88 |
| 26 | Knicks | 51% | 104 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nuggets | 36% | 112 | 114 |
| 16 | Pelicans | 64% | 117 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 58% | 113 | 101 |
| 11 | Hornets | 42% | 110 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pistons | 39% | 104 | 100 |
| 10 | Bucks | 61% | 108 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 37% | 99 | 105 |
| 12 | Spurs | 63% | 103 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 63% | 114 | 113 |
| 24 | Clippers | 37% | 109 | 107 |
Tuesday, December 5, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 13% | 107 | 113 |
| 4 | Raptors | 87% | 123 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 35% | 98 | 94 |
| 5 | Thunder | 65% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 37% | 103 | 106 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 63% | 108 | 92 |
Monday, December 4, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 17% | 109 | 115 |
| 5 | 76ers | 83% | 122 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 24% | 104 | 97 |
| 11 | Pacers | 76% | 114 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Magic | 29% | 108 | 94 |
| 10 | Hornets | 71% | 116 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 33% | 101 | 100 |
| 7 | Celtics | 67% | 107 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 51% | 113 | 110 |
| 26 | Hawks | 49% | 112 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 68% | 118 | 125 |
| 15 | Pelicans | 32% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 56% | 108 | 92 |
| 20 | Grizzlies | 44% | 106 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | 73% | 114 | 113 |
| 28 | Bulls | 27% | 106 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pistons | 47% | 102 | 93 |
| 16 | Spurs | 53% | 103 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nuggets | 42% | 109 | 105 |
| 19 | Mavericks | 58% | 112 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wizards | 43% | 102 | 69 |
| 9 | Jazz | 57% | 105 | 116 |
Sunday, December 3, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Magic | 48% | 111 | 105 |
| 27 | Knicks | 52% | 112 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 77% | 115 | 123 |
| 18 | Heat | 23% | 105 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Clippers | 21% | 105 | 106 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 79% | 116 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spurs | 42% | 100 | 87 |
| 6 | Thunder | 58% | 103 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 83% | 119 | 118 |
| 24 | Lakers | 17% | 106 | 95 |
Saturday, December 2, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Suns | 14% | 102 | 111 |
| 4 | Celtics | 86% | 117 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Clippers | 43% | 106 | 82 |
| 19 | Mavericks | 57% | 109 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 39% | 109 | 114 |
| 20 | Nets | 61% | 113 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pistons | 27% | 105 | 103 |
| 5 | 76ers | 73% | 114 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 21% | 102 | 111 |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 79% | 113 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 19% | 97 | 104 |
| 14 | Bucks | 81% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Lakers | 44% | 112 | 100 |
| 22 | Nuggets | 56% | 114 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pelicans | 39% | 105 | 123 |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 61% | 109 | 116 |
Friday, December 1, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 81% | 123 | 133 |
| 20 | Magic | 19% | 111 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pistons | 43% | 105 | 91 |
| 15 | Wizards | 57% | 108 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 32% | 108 | 115 |
| 4 | Raptors | 68% | 114 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spurs | 62% | 102 | 95 |
| 21 | Grizzlies | 38% | 98 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 43% | 102 | 100 |
| 16 | Heat | 57% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 47% | 102 | 107 |
| 28 | Bulls | 53% | 103 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 38% | 106 | 107 |
| 6 | Thunder | 62% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pelicans | 47% | 105 | 108 |
| 13 | Jazz | 53% | 106 | 114 |
Thursday, November 30, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 76ers | 33% | 104 | 97 |
| 5 | Celtics | 67% | 111 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | 70% | 115 | 121 |
| 27 | Hawks | 30% | 108 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 25% | 104 | 110 |
| 13 | Nuggets | 75% | 113 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | 40% | 102 | 103 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 60% | 105 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Jazz | 54% | 104 | 126 |
| 23 | Clippers | 46% | 102 | 107 |
Wednesday, November 29, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 21% | 106 | 107 |
| 16 | Pistons | 79% | 117 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 64% | 112 | 108 |
| 21 | Magic | 36% | 107 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wizards | 34% | 106 | 113 |
| 7 | 76ers | 66% | 112 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 42% | 105 | 86 |
| 18 | Knicks | 58% | 108 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 29% | 103 | 113 |
| 5 | Raptors | 71% | 110 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 20% | 108 | 97 |
| 2 | Rockets | 80% | 119 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 41% | 110 | 120 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 59% | 113 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 28% | 96 | 95 |
| 8 | Spurs | 72% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 41% | 109 | 109 |
| 22 | Mavericks | 59% | 112 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 82% | 120 | 127 |
| 26 | Lakers | 18% | 107 | 123 |
Tuesday, November 28, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 41% | 108 | 97 |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 59% | 111 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Suns | 43% | 109 | 104 |
| 28 | Bulls | 57% | 112 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wizards | 42% | 110 | 92 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 58% | 112 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nuggets | 48% | 107 | 77 |
| 18 | Jazz | 52% | 108 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 67% | 107 | 112 |
| 29 | Kings | 33% | 101 | 87 |