Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, November 28, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Heat | 41% | 108 | 97 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 9 | Timberwolves | 58% | 112 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | Bulls | 57% | 112 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Bucks | 67% | 107 | 112 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Monday, November 27, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Magic | 37% | 111 | 109 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 42% | 112 | 113 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Knicks | 49% | 106 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Pistons | 30% | 99 | 118 |
 | 5 | Celtics | 70% | 107 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Nets | 10% | 106 | 103 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Mavericks | 30% | 99 | 108 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Kings | 13% | 97 | 110 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Lakers | 36% | 108 | 115 |
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Sunday, November 26, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 21% | 111 | 108 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 79% | 123 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 69% | 107 | 100 |
| 28 | Bulls | 31% | 100 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 37% | 106 | 98 |
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Saturday, November 25, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 22% | 107 | 111 |
| 5 | 76ers | 78% | 118 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spurs | 48% | 104 | 106 |
 | 9 | Hornets | 52% | 105 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Blazers | 34% | 104 | 108 |
| 11 | Wizards | 66% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Raptors | 66% | 112 | 112 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 58% | 108 | 108 |
| 17 | Pacers | 42% | 105 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 16% | 103 | 102 |
| 2 | Rockets | 84% | 118 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Thunder | 63% | 108 | 81 |
| 24 | Mavericks | 37% | 103 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Pelicans | 20% | 107 | 95 |
| 1 | Warriors | 80% | 118 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | 44% | 101 | 108 |
| 20 | Jazz | 56% | 103 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 66% | 109 | 97 |
| 30 | Kings | 34% | 103 | 95 |
Friday, November 24, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Blazers | 56% | 111 | 127 |
| 25 | Nets | 44% | 109 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 54% | 108 | 104 |
| 27 | Hawks | 46% | 107 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 27% | 104 | 103 |
| 4 | Celtics | 73% | 112 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hornets | 41% | 111 | 99 |
| 8 | Cavaliers | 59% | 114 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 54% | 112 | 104 |
| 14 | Pacers | 46% | 110 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 24% | 100 | 99 |
| 3 | Thunder | 76% | 110 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 37% | 107 | 109 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 63% | 112 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 43% | 107 | 92 |
| 18 | Nuggets | 57% | 110 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pelicans | 66% | 118 | 115 |
| 28 | Suns | 34% | 112 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 11% | 101 | 94 |
| 2 | Warriors | 89% | 119 | 143 |
Wednesday, November 22, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 26% | 113 | 109 |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 74% | 122 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Blazers | 35% | 106 | 81 |
| 5 | 76ers | 65% | 111 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wizards | 49% | 108 | 124 |
| 11 | Hornets | 51% | 109 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Clippers | 55% | 109 | 116 |
| 27 | Hawks | 45% | 107 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 56% | 103 | 98 |
| 13 | Heat | 44% | 101 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 58% | 112 | 100 |
| 20 | Knicks | 42% | 109 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nuggets | 22% | 109 | 95 |
| 2 | Rockets | 78% | 120 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Mavericks | 38% | 102 | 95 |
| 18 | Grizzlies | 62% | 106 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 30% | 110 | 118 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 70% | 118 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spurs | 52% | 107 | 90 |
| 15 | Pelicans | 48% | 106 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 63% | 115 | 91 |
| 3 | Thunder | 37% | 110 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 65% | 116 | 113 |
| 29 | Suns | 35% | 111 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 28% | 98 | 80 |
| 21 | Jazz | 72% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Lakers | 55% | 108 | 102 |
| 30 | Kings | 45% | 106 | 113 |
Tuesday, November 21, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 40% | 106 | 94 |
| 26 | Lakers | 60% | 109 | 103 |
Monday, November 20, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 58% | 114 | 116 |
| 16 | Pistons | 42% | 111 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | 43% | 110 | 102 |
| 11 | Hornets | 57% | 113 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 46% | 112 | 105 |
| 23 | Magic | 54% | 114 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Jazz | 31% | 104 | 86 |
| 7 | 76ers | 69% | 111 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 47% | 110 | 85 |
| 21 | Knicks | 53% | 111 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Blazers | 48% | 102 | 100 |
| 19 | Grizzlies | 52% | 103 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wizards | 45% | 107 | 99 |
| 12 | Bucks | 55% | 109 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 59% | 110 | 107 |
| 18 | Pelicans | 41% | 107 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 67% | 107 | 110 |
| 24 | Mavericks | 33% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 24% | 100 | 85 |
| 9 | Spurs | 76% | 110 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nuggets | 60% | 110 | 114 |
| 30 | Kings | 40% | 107 | 98 |
Sunday, November 19, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wizards | 45% | 111 | 91 |
| 10 | Raptors | 55% | 113 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 37% | 105 | 120 |
| 12 | Heat | 63% | 110 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 79% | 122 | 118 |
| 26 | Nets | 21% | 111 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pistons | 33% | 108 | 100 |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 67% | 114 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 54% | 113 | 105 |
| 29 | Suns | 46% | 111 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 64% | 116 | 109 |
| 27 | Lakers | 36% | 111 | 127 |
Saturday, November 18, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Jazz | 33% | 104 | 125 |
| 20 | Magic | 67% | 110 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 38% | 108 | 87 |
| 14 | Hornets | 62% | 112 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 69% | 108 | 110 |
| 25 | Hawks | 31% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 69% | 119 | 124 |
| 9 | 76ers | 31% | 112 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 64% | 111 | 105 |
| 17 | Grizzlies | 36% | 106 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 65% | 110 | 79 |
| 24 | Mavericks | 35% | 104 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Kings | 20% | 97 | 90 |
| 15 | Blazers | 80% | 108 | 102 |
Friday, November 17, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 41% | 107 | 91 |
| 7 | Wizards | 59% | 110 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 47% | 109 | 100 |
| 20 | Pacers | 53% | 110 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Jazz | 54% | 110 | 107 |
| 27 | Nets | 46% | 108 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Clippers | 34% | 111 | 113 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 66% | 117 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 29% | 109 | 84 |
| 5 | Raptors | 71% | 117 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 67% | 107 | 120 |
| 28 | Bulls | 33% | 101 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Thunder | 47% | 102 | 101 |
| 11 | Spurs | 53% | 103 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 62% | 114 | 111 |
| 24 | Mavericks | 38% | 110 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Blazers | 72% | 109 | 82 |
| 30 | Kings | 28% | 101 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pelicans | 41% | 111 | 114 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 59% | 114 | 146 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 27% | 112 | 122 |
| 25 | Lakers | 73% | 120 | 113 |
Thursday, November 16, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 66% | 113 | 88 |
| 9 | Celtics | 34% | 107 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 85% | 125 | 142 |
| 29 | Suns | 15% | 111 | 116 |
Wednesday, November 15, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wizards | 48% | 108 | 102 |
| 15 | Heat | 52% | 109 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Jazz | 43% | 105 | 101 |
| 19 | Knicks | 57% | 107 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 37% | 104 | 80 |
| 26 | Hawks | 63% | 108 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 46% | 112 | 115 |
| 14 | Hornets | 54% | 113 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 40% | 103 | 116 |
| 18 | Grizzlies | 60% | 107 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pistons | 38% | 105 | 95 |
| 11 | Bucks | 62% | 109 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spurs | 37% | 107 | 86 |
| 4 | Timberwolves | 63% | 112 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 41% | 109 | 125 |
| 13 | Pelicans | 59% | 113 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 19% | 97 | 79 |
| 3 | Thunder | 81% | 109 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Magic | 41% | 108 | 94 |
| 16 | Blazers | 59% | 112 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 76ers | 62% | 113 | 115 |
| 25 | Lakers | 38% | 109 | 109 |