Final Win Prob. pScore
1527%100
112
373%108
115
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
113.19996.5
TOR logo Raptors
117.398100.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA112
115
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound112
115
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Richardson 28' 3PT Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot112
115
Q4 - 0:02.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)112
115
Q4 - 0:03.0TORMISS Miles Free Throw 2 of 2112
115
Q4 - 0:03.0TORMiles Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)112
115
Q4 - 0:03.0MIADragic Personal Take Foul (P3.PN) (S.Wall)112
114
Q4 - 0:06.0TORSUB: Miles FOR Siakam112
114
Q4 - 0:06.0TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 7 Short 0)112
114
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAEllington 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Adebayo 3 AST)112
114
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.7 Short 0)109
114
Q4 - 0:12.0TORDeRozan Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T8)109
114
Q4 - 0:14.0TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)109
114
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot109
114
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)109
114
Q4 - 0:27.0TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 2 of 2109
114
Q4 - 0:27.0TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)109
114
Q4 - 0:27.0MIADragic Personal Take Foul (P2.PN) (S.Wall)109
113
Q4 - 0:30.0TORSiakam REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)109
113
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot109
113
Q4 - 0:41.0MIASUB: Wade FOR Winslow109
113
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 0)109
113
Q4 - 0:41.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)109
113
Q4 - 0:41.0TORSUB: Siakam FOR Wright109
112
Q4 - 0:41.0MIASUB: Winslow FOR Johnson109
112
Q4 - 0:41.0TORRAPTORS Rebound109
112
Q4 - 0:41.0TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2109
112
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P2.T3) (B.Forte)109
112
Q4 - 0:56.0TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 0)109
112
Q4 - 0:56.0MIADragic 13' Driving Floating Jump Shot (28 PTS)109
112
Q4 - 1:03MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)107
112
Q4 - 1:06TORMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot107
112
Q4 - 1:28MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)107
112
Q4 - 1:39MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)104
112
Q4 - 1:41TORMISS DeRozan 8' Turnaround Jump Shot104
112
Q4 - 1:59TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)104
112
Q4 - 1:59MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot104
112
Q4 - 2:05MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)104
112
Q4 - 2:05MIAValanciunas BLOCK (1 BLK)104
112
Q4 - 2:13MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)104
112
Q4 - 2:13TORMISS Valanciunas 5' Turnaround Hook Shot104
112
Q4 - 2:16TORLowry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)104
112
Q4 - 2:18TORMISS Wright 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup104
112
Q4 - 2:39MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)104
112
Q4 - 2:39MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)103
112
Q4 - 2:39TORDeRozan L.B.FOUL (P2.PN) (L.Richardson)102
112
Q4 - 2:39MIAHeat Rebound102
112
Q4 - 2:40MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
112
Q4 - 2:57MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)102
112
Q4 - 2:59TORMISS Lowry 19' Pullup Jump Shot102
112
Q4 - 3:20TORSUB: VanVleet FOR Siakam102
112
Q4 - 3:20TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)102
112
Q4 - 3:21MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)102
112
Q4 - 3:28MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)99
112
Q4 - 3:29TORMISS Lowry 13' Pullup Jump Shot99
112
Q4 - 3:52TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)99
112
Q4 - 3:54MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 299
112
Q4 - 3:54MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)99
112
Q4 - 3:54TORLowry P.FOUL (P3.PN) (B.Forte)98
112
Q4 - 3:58MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)98
112
Q4 - 3:59TORMISS DeRozan 7' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot98
112
Q4 - 4:03TORRAPTORS Rebound98
112
Q4 - 4:03TORMISS DeRozan 3' Driving Layup98
112
Q4 - 4:20MIAJohnson 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Richardson 5 AST)98
112
Q4 - 4:33TORWright Violation:Kicked Ball (S.Wall)96
112
Q4 - 4:42TORLowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)96
112
Q4 - 5:08MIARichardson 17' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Adebayo 2 AST)96
109
Q4 - 5:20MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)94
109
Q4 - 5:22TORMISS DeRozan 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot94
109
Q4 - 5:35TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)94
109
Q4 - 5:37MIAMISS Adebayo 2' Layup94
109
Q4 - 5:59MIASUB: Johnson FOR Wade94
109
Q4 - 5:59TORSUB: DeRozan FOR VanVleet94
109
Q4 - 5:59MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)94
109
Q4 - 6:00TORWright 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (VanVleet 6 AST)94
109
Q4 - 6:06TORVanVleet REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)94
106
Q4 - 6:09MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot94
106
Q4 - 6:14TORWright Violation:Kicked Ball (L.Richardson)94
106
Q4 - 6:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)94
106
Q4 - 6:22MIAMISS Dragic 11' Driving Floating Jump Shot94
106
Q4 - 6:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)94
106
Q4 - 6:34TORMISS Siakam 3PT Jump Shot94
106
Q4 - 6:50MIAAdebayo Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)94
106
Q4 - 6:50MIASUB: Richardson FOR Johnson93
106
Q4 - 6:50TORSUB: Valanciunas FOR Poeltl93
106
Q4 - 6:50MIAAdebayo Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)93
106
Q4 - 6:50TORPoeltl S.FOUL (P4.PN) (S.Wall)92
106
Q4 - 6:52TORSUB: Lowry FOR Miles92
106
Q4 - 6:52TORSiakam P.FOUL (P2.T4) (L.Richardson)92
106
Q4 - 6:52TORJump Ball Siakam vs. Wade: Tip to Johnson92
106
Q4 - 7:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)92
106
Q4 - 7:05TORMISS Miles 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
106
Q4 - 7:10TORVanVleet REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
106
Q4 - 7:13MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
106
Q4 - 7:26TORSiakam Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)92
106
Q4 - 7:26MIAAdebayo S.FOUL (P3.T2) (L.Richardson)92
105
Q4 - 7:26TORSiakam 2' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS)92
105
Q4 - 7:37MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T16)92
103
Q4 - 7:46MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)92
103
Q4 - 7:49TORMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
103
Q4 - 8:01MIAAdebayo Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)92
103
Q4 - 8:01TORSiakam S.FOUL (P1.T3) (S.Wall)91
103
Q4 - 8:01MIAAdebayo 1' Driving Dunk (8 PTS)91
103
Q4 - 8:05MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)89
103
Q4 - 8:05TORWright P.FOUL (P2.T2) (B.Forte)89
103
Q4 - 8:22TORWright 4' Running Layup (7 PTS) (VanVleet 5 AST)89
103
Q4 - 8:23TORVanVleet REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
101
Q4 - 8:27MIAPoeltl BLOCK (1 BLK)89
101
Q4 - 8:39MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
101
Q4 - 8:41TORMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
101
Q4 - 8:54MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)89
101
Q4 - 9:12MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)89
101
Q4 - 9:16MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
101
Q4 - 9:21TORWright P.FOUL (P1.T1) (L.Richardson)89
101
Q4 - 9:27MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)89
101
Q4 - 9:32MIAMISS Dragic 13' Step Back Jump Shot89
101
Q4 - 9:38MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
101
Q4 - 9:39TORMISS Siakam 7' Turnaround Hook Shot89
101
Q4 - 9:56MIASUB: Dragic FOR Richardson89
101
Q4 - 9:56MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P2.T1) (L.Richardson)89
101
Q4 - 10:06MIAWade 1' Putback Layup (10 PTS)89
101
Q4 - 10:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)87
101
Q4 - 10:12MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
101
Q4 - 10:27MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
101
Q4 - 10:28TORMISS VanVleet 3' Driving Layup87
101
Q4 - 10:48MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Adebayo 1 AST)87
101
Q4 - 11:08TORWright 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (VanVleet 4 AST)84
101
Q4 - 11:22MIAJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)84
98
Q4 - 11:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
98
Q4 - 11:32TORMISS Siakam 2' Running Finger Roll Layup81
98
Q4 - 11:36MIAVanVleet STEAL (2 STL)81
98
Q4 - 11:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
98
Q4 - 11:48TORMISS VanVleet 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot81
98
Q4 - 12:0081
98
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR81
98
Q3 - 0:02.0TORRAPTORS Rebound81
98
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Johnson 29' 3PT Jump Shot81
98
Q3 - 0:03.0TORDeRozan 1' Tip Dunk Shot (26 PTS)81
98
Q3 - 0:06.0TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)81
96
Q3 - 0:06.0TORMISS Siakam 2' Running Layup81
96
Q3 - 0:09.0TORVanVleet REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
96
Q3 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Adebayo 3' Layup81
96
Q3 - 0:31.0TORPoeltl Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)81
96
Q3 - 0:31.0TORPoeltl Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)81
95
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAAdebayo S.FOUL (P2.PN) (L.Richardson)81
94
Q3 - 0:31.0TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)81
94
Q3 - 0:33.0TORMISS DeRozan 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
94
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAWade Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T13)81
94
Q3 - 0:47.0TORVanVleet 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)81
94
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAWade Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T12)81
91
Q3 - 1:05TORDeRozan 6' Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS)81
91
Q3 - 1:22MIAJohnson 1' Putback Layup (13 PTS)81
89
Q3 - 1:22MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
89
Q3 - 1:24MIAWright BLOCK (1 BLK)79
89
Q3 - 1:33TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)79
89
Q3 - 1:33MIAAdebayo S.FOUL (P1.PN) (L.Richardson)79
88
Q3 - 1:33TORDeRozan 1' Driving Reverse Layup (21 PTS)79
88
Q3 - 1:41MIAAdebayo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)79
86
Q3 - 1:41TORSUB: Siakam FOR Ibaka78
86
Q3 - 1:41MIAAdebayo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)78
86
Q3 - 1:41TORPoeltl P.FOUL (P3.PN) (B.Forte)77
86
Q3 - 1:53TORPoeltl 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (VanVleet 3 AST)77
86
Q3 - 2:01TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)77
84
Q3 - 2:03MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Hook Shot77
84
Q3 - 2:08MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
84
Q3 - 2:11TORMISS DeRozan 3PT Step Back Jump Shot77
84
Q3 - 2:21MIAAdebayo Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T11)77
84
Q3 - 2:43TORIbaka Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)77
84
Q3 - 2:43MIASUB: Richardson FOR Whiteside77
83
Q3 - 2:43MIASUB: Adebayo FOR Winslow77
83
Q3 - 2:43TORSUB: Wright FOR Valanciunas77
83
Q3 - 2:43TORSUB: Poeltl FOR Lowry77
83
Q3 - 2:43TORIbaka Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)77
83
Q3 - 2:43MIAWinslow S.FOUL (P4.T4) (L.Richardson)77
82
Q3 - 2:51TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)77
82
Q3 - 2:52MIAMISS Winslow 3' Driving Layup77
82
Q3 - 3:11TORVanVleet 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (DeRozan 4 AST)77
82
Q3 - 3:19MIALowry STEAL (2 STL)77
79
Q3 - 3:20MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)77
79
Q3 - 3:23TORMISS DeRozan 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot77
79
Q3 - 3:32TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
79
Q3 - 3:32MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot77
79
Q3 - 3:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
79
Q3 - 3:40MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
79
Q3 - 4:00TORDeRozan 16' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)77
79
Q3 - 4:11TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
77
Q3 - 4:16TORMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot77
77
Q3 - 4:34MIAWade 18' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)77
77
Q3 - 4:45MIASUB: Ellington FOR Johnson75
77
Q3 - 4:45MIASUB: Wade FOR Dragic75
77
Q3 - 4:45MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)75
77
Q3 - 4:53TORIbaka 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (VanVleet 2 AST)75
77
Q3 - 5:10MIADragic 2' Running Layup (23 PTS)75
75
Q3 - 5:13TORDeRozan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)73
75
Q3 - 5:21TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)73
75
Q3 - 5:23MIAMISS Dragic 12' Driving Floating Jump Shot73
75
Q3 - 5:38MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
75
Q3 - 5:41TORMISS DeRozan 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot73
75
Q3 - 5:56MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)73
75
Q3 - 5:56MIAHeat Rebound72
75
Q3 - 5:56MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 272
75
Q3 - 5:56TORVanVleet S.FOUL (P1.T4) (S.Wall)72
75
Q3 - 6:16TORLowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (DeRozan 3 AST)72
75
Q3 - 6:24MIASUB: Johnson FOR Richardson72
72
Q3 - 6:24TORSUB: VanVleet FOR Anunoby72
72
Q3 - 6:24TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)72
72
Q3 - 6:34MIAWinslow 10' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)72
72
Q3 - 6:40TORAnunoby Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)70
72
Q3 - 6:51TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)70
72
Q3 - 6:55MIAMISS Johnson 21' Pullup Jump Shot70
72
Q3 - 7:18TORDeRozan 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Lowry 8 AST)70
72
Q3 - 7:27MIADragic Offensive Foul Turnover (P3.T9)70
69
Q3 - 7:27MIADragic Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T3) (B.Forte)70
69
Q3 - 7:34TORDeRozan P.FOUL (P1.T3) (B.Forte)70
69
Q3 - 7:36TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)70
69
Q3 - 7:52MIADragic 11' Driving Floating Jump Shot (20 PTS)70
69
Q3 - 7:57TORIbaka Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)68
69
Q3 - 7:57MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T2) (S.Wall)68
68
Q3 - 7:57TORIbaka 1' Putback Layup (9 PTS)68
68
Q3 - 7:58TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
66
Q3 - 7:58TORMISS Ibaka 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot68
66
Q3 - 8:12MIADragic 23' Running Pull-Up Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)68
66
Q3 - 8:15MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
66
Q3 - 8:18TORMISS Anunoby 1' Driving Layup66
66
Q3 - 8:36MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)66
66
Q3 - 8:36MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)65
66
Q3 - 8:36TORValanciunas S.FOUL (P2.T2) (B.Forte)64
66
Q3 - 8:42MIAWhiteside Violation:Defensive Goaltending (B.Forte)64
66
Q3 - 8:42TORDeRozan 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS)64
66
Q3 - 8:57MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)64
64
Q3 - 8:57TORValanciunas S.FOUL (P1.T1) (S.Wall)63
64
Q3 - 8:57MIADragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)63
64
Q3 - 9:18TORDeRozan 2' Running Alley Oop Dunk Shot (12 PTS) (Lowry 7 AST)60
64
Q3 - 9:23MIAValanciunas STEAL (1 STL)60
62
Q3 - 9:39TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)60
62
Q3 - 9:39MIARichardson S.FOUL (P2.T1) (L.Richardson)60
61
Q3 - 9:39TORDeRozan 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (9 PTS)60
61
Q3 - 9:57MIAWhiteside 13' Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)60
59
Q3 - 10:05MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)58
59
Q3 - 10:09TORMISS Lowry 20' Step Back Jump Shot58
59
Q3 - 10:27MIADragic Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)58
59
Q3 - 10:40TORValanciunas Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)58
59
Q3 - 10:48TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
59
Q3 - 10:50MIAMISS Whiteside 11' Driving Hook Shot58
59
Q3 - 10:56MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)58
59
Q3 - 10:58MIAMISS Richardson 17' Pullup Jump Shot58
59
Q3 - 11:18TORLowry 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)58
59
Q3 - 11:38MIADragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)58
57
Q3 - 12:0055
57
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA55
57
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR55
57
Q2 - 0:00.0TORLowry 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)55
57
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAWhiteside 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Bank Jump Shot (8 PTS)55
54
Q2 - 0:28.0TORLowry 28' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)53
54
Q2 - 0:30.0MIARichardson Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)53
51
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)53
51
Q2 - 0:38.0TORMISS DeRozan 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot53
51
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAWhiteside 2' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)53
51
Q2 - 1:10TORIbaka 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Powell 2 AST)51
51
Q2 - 1:17TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
49
Q2 - 1:20MIAMISS Ellington 3PT Jump Shot51
49
Q2 - 1:26MIASUB: Ellington FOR Johnson51
49
Q2 - 1:26TORLowry P.FOUL (P2.T3) (B.Forte)51
49
Q2 - 1:26MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
49
Q2 - 1:26MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup51
49
Q2 - 1:40TORIbaka Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)51
49
Q2 - 1:40MIARichardson S.FOUL (P1.T4) (L.Richardson)51
48
Q2 - 1:40TORIbaka 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Valanciunas 1 AST)51
48
Q2 - 1:48TORPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
46
Q2 - 1:50MIAMISS Johnson 15' Pullup Jump Shot51
46
Q2 - 2:10TORIbaka 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lowry 6 AST)51
46
Q2 - 2:18TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
44
Q2 - 2:21MIAMISS Whiteside 17' Jump Shot51
44
Q2 - 2:31TORDeRozan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)51
44
Q2 - 2:36TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
44
Q2 - 2:39TORMISS Lowry 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot51
44
Q2 - 2:56MIAJohnson 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)51
44
Q2 - 3:04TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)49
44
Q2 - 3:04MIASUB: Richardson FOR Winslow49
43
Q2 - 3:04TORRAPTORS Rebound49
43
Q2 - 3:04TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 249
43
Q2 - 3:04MIAWinslow S.FOUL (P3.T3) (B.Forte)49
43
Q2 - 3:20TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
43
Q2 - 3:22MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
43
Q2 - 3:43TORDeRozan 11' Driving Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Powell 1 AST)49
43
Q2 - 3:54TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)49
41
Q2 - 4:04MIAJohnson 1' Running Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)49
41
Q2 - 4:07MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
41
Q2 - 4:10TORMISS DeRozan 3PT Jump Shot47
41
Q2 - 4:22MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)47
41
Q2 - 4:22TORPowell S.FOUL (P1.T2) (B.Forte)46
41
Q2 - 4:22MIAJohnson 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)46
41
Q2 - 4:39MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
41
Q2 - 4:42TORMISS DeRozan 15' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot44
41
Q2 - 4:51MIAJohnson 3' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)44
41
Q2 - 5:01TORValanciunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)42
41
Q2 - 5:01MIASUB: Johnson FOR Ellington42
40
Q2 - 5:01MIASUB: Winslow FOR Richardson42
40
Q2 - 5:01TORSUB: DeRozan FOR Wright42
40
Q2 - 5:01TORValanciunas Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
40
Q2 - 5:01MIAWhiteside Shooting Block Foul (P1.T2) (S.Wall)42
39
Q2 - 5:13TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
39
Q2 - 5:16MIAMISS Dragic 9' Pullup Jump Shot42
39
Q2 - 5:39TORWright 2' Running Layup (2 PTS)42
39
Q2 - 5:43MIAWright STEAL (1 STL)42
37
Q2 - 5:52MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
37
Q2 - 5:55TORMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot42
37
Q2 - 6:22MIAJohnson 16' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)42
37
Q2 - 6:37MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
37
Q2 - 6:40TORMISS Lowry 21' Step Back Jump Shot40
37
Q2 - 6:45MIASUB: Dragic FOR Adebayo40
37
Q2 - 6:45MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Wade40
37
Q2 - 6:45TORSUB: Lowry FOR Siakam40
37
Q2 - 6:45TORSUB: Ibaka FOR Poeltl40
37
Q2 - 6:45TORSUB: Valanciunas FOR VanVleet40
37
Q2 - 6:45TORSUB: Powell FOR Miles40
37
Q2 - 6:45TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)40
37
Q2 - 6:51MIAAdebayo 2' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)40
37
Q2 - 7:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
37
Q2 - 7:07TORMISS Siakam 2' Running Alley Oop Layup Shot38
37
Q2 - 7:14MIAEllington 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)38
37
Q2 - 7:40TORMiles 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)35
37
Q2 - 7:57TORSiakam REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
34
Q2 - 7:57MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup35
34
Q2 - 8:04MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
34
Q2 - 8:06TORMISS Siakam 2' Driving Layup35
34
Q2 - 8:23MIAWade 2' Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)35
34
Q2 - 8:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
34
Q2 - 8:30TORMISS VanVleet 2' Driving Layup33
34
Q2 - 8:41MIARichardson 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)33
34
Q2 - 9:04MIAHeat Rebound30
34
Q2 - 9:04TORPoeltl L.B.FOUL (P2.T1) (S.Wall)30
34
Q2 - 9:05TORMISS Miles 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot30
34
Q2 - 9:32MIAEllington 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)30
34
Q2 - 9:44MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)27
34
Q2 - 9:52TORVanVleet 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Siakam 1 AST)27
34
Q2 - 9:59TORWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
32
Q2 - 10:03TORMISS VanVleet 3' Running Layup27
32
Q2 - 10:06MIAVanVleet STEAL (1 STL)27
32
Q2 - 10:27TORVanVleet 3' Running Reverse Layup (2 PTS)27
32
Q2 - 10:33TORVanVleet REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
30
Q2 - 10:35MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
30
Q2 - 10:48MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
30
Q2 - 10:52MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot27
30
Q2 - 11:17TORMiles Free Throw 3 of 3 (7 PTS)27
30
Q2 - 11:17TORMiles Free Throw 2 of 3 (6 PTS)27
29
Q2 - 11:17TORRAPTORS Rebound27
28
Q2 - 11:17TORMISS Miles Free Throw 1 of 327
28
Q2 - 11:17MIA27
28
Q2 - 11:17MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T1) (S.Wall)27
28
Q2 - 11:39MIAEllington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)27
28
Q2 - 12:0024
28
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
28
Q1 - 0:03.0TORMiles 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)24
28
Q1 - 0:08.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
25
Q1 - 0:08.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
25
Q1 - 0:08.0TORPoeltl S.FOUL (P1.T4) (L.Richardson)22
25
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
25
Q1 - 0:31.0TORMISS Miles 3PT Jump Shot22
25
Q1 - 0:38.0TORSiakam REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
25
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Richardson 11' Pullup Jump Shot22
25
Q1 - 0:57.0TORMiles 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (VanVleet 1 AST)22
25
Q1 - 1:15MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)22
23
Q1 - 1:32MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
23
Q1 - 1:35TORMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
23
Q1 - 1:44MIADeRozan STEAL (1 STL)20
23
Q1 - 1:55TORSiakam 3' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
23
Q1 - 2:14TORSUB: VanVleet FOR Lowry20
21
Q1 - 2:14MIAWade Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T2)20
21
Q1 - 2:14MIAWade OFF.Foul (P1) (S.Wall)20
21
Q1 - 2:28TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)20
21
Q1 - 2:28MIASUB: Richardson FOR Winslow20
20
Q1 - 2:28MIA20
20
Q1 - 2:28MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)20
20
Q1 - 2:28MIAWinslow S.FOUL (P2.T2) (L.Richardson)20
20
Q1 - 2:28TORLowry 14' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
20
Q1 - 2:36MIAAdebayo 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)20
18
Q1 - 3:01TORDeRozan 22' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
18
Q1 - 3:08TORSiakam REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
16
Q1 - 3:12MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
16
Q1 - 3:17TORSUB: Siakam FOR Ibaka18
16
Q1 - 3:30TORDeRozan 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)18
16
Q1 - 3:50TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
14
Q1 - 3:52MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 118
14
Q1 - 3:52TORMiles S.FOUL (P1.T3) (S.Wall)18
14
Q1 - 3:52MIAJohnson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)18
14
Q1 - 4:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
14
Q1 - 4:04TORMISS Miles 3PT Jump Shot16
14
Q1 - 4:10TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
14
Q1 - 4:12MIAMISS Winslow 2' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot16
14
Q1 - 4:31MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
14
Q1 - 4:35TORMISS Miles 3PT Jump Shot16
14
Q1 - 4:44MIASUB: Wade FOR Dragic16
14
Q1 - 4:44TORSUB: Miles FOR Valanciunas16
14
Q1 - 4:44TORSUB: Poeltl FOR Anunoby16
14
Q1 - 4:44MIAWinslow P.FOUL (P1.T1) (S.Wall)16
14
Q1 - 5:01MIADragic 16' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)16
14
Q1 - 5:12MIASUB: Adebayo FOR Whiteside14
14
Q1 - 5:12MIASUB: Johnson FOR Richardson14
14
Q1 - 5:12TORLowry P.FOUL (P1.T2) (B.Forte)14
14
Q1 - 5:22TORLowry 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)14
14
Q1 - 5:27TORAnunoby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
12
Q1 - 5:30MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
12
Q1 - 5:35MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
12
Q1 - 5:37TORMISS DeRozan 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot14
12
Q1 - 5:49MIADragic 3' Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)14
12
Q1 - 5:53TORValanciunas Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)12
12
Q1 - 6:04MIASUB: Ellington FOR Johnson12
12
Q1 - 6:04TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)12
12
Q1 - 6:15MIAWinslow 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)12
12
Q1 - 6:28MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)9
12
Q1 - 6:30TORMISS Ibaka 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
12
Q1 - 6:46MIAWhiteside 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)9
12
Q1 - 7:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)7
12
Q1 - 7:03TORMISS Lowry 28' 3PT Jump Shot7
12
Q1 - 7:11TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
12
Q1 - 7:13MIAMISS Johnson 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot7
12
Q1 - 7:23MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
12
Q1 - 7:25TORMISS DeRozan 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
12
Q1 - 7:42TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)7
12
Q1 - 7:44MIAMISS Dragic 1' Driving Layup7
12
Q1 - 7:57TORAnunoby 25' 3PT Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)7
12
Q1 - 8:03MIALowry STEAL (1 STL)7
9
Q1 - 8:21TORAnunoby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)7
9
Q1 - 8:40MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)7
6
Q1 - 8:40TORAnunoby S.FOUL (P1.T1) (S.Wall)6
6
Q1 - 8:40MIADragic 13' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
6
Q1 - 8:58TORValanciunas 2' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)4
6
Q1 - 9:09MIAJohnson 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
4
Q1 - 9:28TORValanciunas 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)2
4
Q1 - 9:35TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
2
Q1 - 9:37MIAMISS Dragic 21' Step Back Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 9:44MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
2
Q1 - 9:46TORMISS DeRozan 23' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 10:02MIAWhiteside 1' Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 10:22TORLowry 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 10:26TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
0
Q1 - 10:28MIAMISS Whiteside 3' Alley Oop Dunk0
0
Q1 - 10:40TORAnunoby Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 10:59TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 10:59MIAMISS Whiteside 7' Hook Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:10MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:10TORMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Running Pull-Up Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:13TORAnunoby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:19MIAMISS Johnson 21' Running Pull-Up Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:33MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:35TORMISS Valanciunas 6' Fadeaway Jumper0
0
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Valanciunas vs. Whiteside: Tip to DeRozan0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.17 58.3%
TOR
1.16 58.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
26
58%
TOR
19
30
63%
Midrange
MIA
15
31
48%
TOR
10
25
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
12
18.0
29
41%
62%
TOR
13
19.5
35
37%
56%
Free Throws
MIA
16
19
84%
TOR
18
23
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic2867%14.0 / 21
J. Johnson1673%8.0 / 11
W. Ellington1568%7.5 / 11
B. Adebayo1169%5.5 / 8
J. Richardson1050%5.0 / 10
H. Whiteside1056%5.0 / 9
D. Wade1050%5.0 / 10
T. Johnson739%3.5 / 9
J. Winslow563%2.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan2750%13.5 / 27
K. Lowry2261%11.0 / 18
S. Ibaka1488%7.0 / 8
C. Miles1142%5.5 / 13
F. VanVleet1063%5.0 / 8
D. Wright1083%5.0 / 6
J. Valančiūnas660%3.0 / 5
O. Anunoby6100%3.0 / 3
P. Siakam531%2.5 / 8
J. Poeltl4100%2.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+12
-16
95
TOR
90
+8
-8
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.17 58.3%
TOR
1.16 58.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
113.6
MIA 113.1
TOR 117.3 +4.2
Pace
95.8
97.6
MIA 96.5
TOR 100.7 +4.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
14.8
MIA 14.9
TOR 14.3 −0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.0%
53.9%
MIA 55.8% +1.9%
TOR 53.9%
TO %
14.1%
13.0%
MIA 14.5%
TOR 7.4% −7.1%
ORB %
21.5%
23.1%
MIA 23.3% +8.7%
TOR 14.6%
FTrt
22.9
25.0
MIA 22.1
TOR 25.6 +3.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
59.0%
MIA 57.1%
TOR 57.1%
STL %
7.8%
7.8%
MIA 5.1%
TOR 7.1% +2.0%
BLK %
9.3%
10.1%
MIA 5.5% +0.2%
TOR 5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
56.2%
MIA 58.3% +0.2%
TOR 58.1%
Rim FG%
60.6%
62.6%
MIA 57.7%
TOR 63.3% +5.6%
Mid FG%
38.4%
41.9%
MIA 48.4% +8.4%
TOR 40.0%
3P %
36.0%
35.8%
MIA 41.4% +4.3%
TOR 37.1%
FT %
75.5%
79.4%
MIA 84.2% +5.9%
TOR 78.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.8%
36.7%
MIA 30.2%
TOR 33.3% +3.1%
Mid Att. %
28.4%
25.5%
MIA 36.0%
TOR 27.8% −8.3%
3P Att. %
35.8%
37.7%
MIA 33.7%
TOR 38.9% +5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions9998
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points112115
Rebounds5140
Assists2424
Steals57
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)8 (0)
Fouls1819
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)41 (1)33 (1)
Field Goals42-8642-90
At-the-Rim FG15-2619-30
Midrange FG15-3110-25
2-Point FG30-5729-55
3-Point FG12-2913-35
Free Throws16-1918-23
Fast Break Pts1222
2nd Chance Pts611
Points in Paint4844
Pts off Turnovers928
Bench Points5240
Biggest Lead817

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 200 · 24
36.5
10
50%
3
5
1
1
3
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
2-5
40%
G · 6'3" 190 · 32
31.2
28
67%
2
4
1
0
3
3
1
1
5-6
83%
7-14
50%
3-5
60%
C · 7'0" 265 · 29
22.8
10
56%
10
1
2
1
1
1
2
8
0-0
-
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 186 · 26
22.1
7
39%
4
2
1
0
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 225 · 22
20.8
5
63%
2
2
0
0
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 200 · 30
31.2
15
68%
7
1
0
0
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
0-0
-
5-11
45%
F · 6'8" 240 · 31
28.8
16
73%
7
0
0
0
2
2
1
6
1-2
50%
6-7
86%
1-4
25%
C-F · 6'9" 255 · 21
25.2
11
69%
5
3
0
1
2
3
1
4
5-5
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 36
21.4
10
50%
11
6
0
0
4
1
3
8
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-2
0%
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27
F · 6'9" 225 · 29
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 24
F · 6'8" 235 · 38
#14 · G · 6'1" 185 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · F · 6'6" 210 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#17 · G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'4" 215 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
58%
51
24
5
3
16
18
10
41
16-19
84%
30-57
53%
12-29
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.