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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 13, 2018
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs
109
10Nuggets
117
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.6
32
27
7
6
2
2
1
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 25.3
27
27
12
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
57%
3-8
38%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 21.4
27
20
12
6
2
2
1
3
4
3
3
0-0
-
6-10
3-7
60%
46%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.4
21
30
2
2
2
0
1
2
2
0
2
0-2
0%
1-3
3-6
33%
52%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 37.6
21
24
10
7
3
0
0
1
2
0
7
2-2
100%
4-9
3-7
44%
48%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.5
26
20
8
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
2-6
33%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.4
24
12
26
11
2
0
0
1
2
4
7
2-4
50%
12-15
2-3
80%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.7
22
17
17
1
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
7-11
3-6
64%
48%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.6
20
15
5
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
0-4
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 40.5
14
20
8
1
2
0
1
0
4
1
0
4-4
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.8
3
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.6
2
10
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Brandon Paul
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.8
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.6
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.5
Matt Costello
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.5
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 27.1
43
34
20
5
6
2
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
7-12
4-7
58%
50%
2-7
29%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 21.0
38
27
17
5
1
2
1
0
3
2
3
2-3
67%
3-3
3-7
100%
51%
3-6
50%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.4
35
31
15
0
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
6-14
4-7
43%
56%
1-3
33%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.8
34
29
17
8
5
2
1
2
0
2
6
1-2
50%
8-14
2-5
57%
51%
0-5
0%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.0
33
27
23
13
11
0
1
1
1
5
8
5-6
83%
6-10
5-8
60%
57%
2-5
40%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.0
20
19
7
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
0-0
2-3
-
47%
1-4
25%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.3
17
23
11
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
51%
0-1
0%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.2
13
7
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.9
6
8
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
1-1
100%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.6
1
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.4
11
0
1-1
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.2
4
0
1-1
54%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 37.6
3
0
0-0
54%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 27.9
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.2
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.8
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 33.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.