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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 3, 2018
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Grizzlies
100
24Magic
107
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.1
38
20
20
7
4
1
1
0
0
3
4
2-4
50%
6-9
2-4
67%
48%
2-5
40%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 27.7
37
21
10
13
7
3
1
2
2
3
10
6-7
86%
2-10
3-5
20%
53%
0-2
0%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.1
37
30
9
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
4-11
4-7
36%
49%
0-3
0%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 23.8
35
30
19
11
2
0
1
0
1
2
9
4-7
57%
6-10
4-7
60%
48%
1-2
50%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 31.8
28
25
15
1
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
3-6
50%
Kobi Simmons
G · 6'4" 170 · 20.7
20
16
14
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
6-8
2-4
75%
47%
0-1
0%
Ivan Rabb
F · 6'10" 220 · 21.1
15
16
5
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
2-3
3-5
67%
53%
0-0
-
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.4
13
6
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Brice Johnson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.7
9
6
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-8
1-2
13%
51%
0-0
-
Myke Henry
F · 6'6" 210 · 25.2
8
20
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 21.2
17
0
3-5
58%
Wayne Selden
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 23.4
13
0
1-2
47%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 33.1
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28.5
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 23.3
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 30.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
33
31
14
8
2
2
1
2
3
1
7
6-7
86%
4-7
5-9
57%
54%
0-1
0%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 25.3
30
32
19
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
4-5
80%
6-7
4-7
86%
52%
1-6
17%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 30.3
29
31
16
3
5
0
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
46%
2-4
50%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 28.5
28
28
11
6
1
0
1
0
2
2
4
3-4
75%
1-3
4-7
33%
52%
2-2
100%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.4
28
31
19
6
2
0
1
1
0
1
5
2-5
40%
7-12
6-11
58%
53%
1-2
50%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 23.0
22
21
16
2
2
1
1
3
2
0
2
4-4
100%
3-4
3-5
75%
52%
2-8
25%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 27.9
19
20
6
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Jonathan Isaac
F · 6'10" 210 · 20.4
18
13
0
5
0
0
0
3
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 25.5
15
15
4
7
0
0
0
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
55%
0-0
-
Rashad Vaughn
G · 6'6" 202 · 21.5
10
6
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
Wes Iwundu
F · 6'7" 195 · 23.2
5
12
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Khem Birch
C · 6'9" 220 · 25.4
4
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 30.6
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Jamel Artis
G · 6'7" 213 · 25.1
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 27.1
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 32.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.