Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, March 3, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Grizzlies | 100 | |||
24 | Magic | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Nuggets | 43% | 112 | 126 | |
14 | Cavaliers | 57% | 115 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pistons | 96 | |||
17 | Heat | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Celtics | 28% | 102 | 120 | |
2 | Rockets | 72% | 110 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Lakers | 116 | |||
4 | Spurs | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Thunder | 38% | 103 | 100 | |
13 | Trail Blazers | 62% | 108 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Jazz | 98 | |||
30 | Kings | 91 |
Friday, March 2, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pistons | 106 | |||
25 | Magic | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Hornets | 33% | 105 | 99 | |
8 | 76ers | 67% | 111 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 114 | |||
28 | Hawks | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Raptors | 57% | 110 | 102 | |
9 | Wizards | 43% | 108 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Mavericks | 100 | |||
27 | Bulls | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Nuggets | 72% | 109 | 108 | |
23 | Grizzlies | 28% | 101 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Pacers | 103 | |||
16 | Bucks | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Thunder | 73% | 116 | 124 | |
29 | Suns | 27% | 107 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Timberwolves | 108 | |||
5 | Jazz | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Knicks | 26% | 106 | 105 | |
15 | Clippers | 74% | 115 | 128 |
Thursday, March 1, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Lakers | 131 | |||
16 | Heat | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 76ers | 52% | 112 | 108 | |
13 | Cavaliers | 48% | 111 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Nets | 111 | |||
30 | Kings | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Timberwolves | 49% | 108 | 99 | |
15 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 109 | 108 |
Wednesday, February 28, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Bucks | 46% | 103 | 87 | |
20 | Pistons | 54% | 105 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Raptors | 117 | |||
25 | Magic | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Pacers | 59% | 107 | 102 | |
28 | Hawks | 41% | 104 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Hornets | 106 | |||
9 | Celtics | 134 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 71% | 116 | 109 | |
8 | Wizards | 29% | 108 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Suns | 110 | |||
23 | Grizzlies | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Thunder | 57% | 108 | 111 | |
21 | Mavericks | 43% | 106 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Pelicans | 121 | |||
3 | Spurs | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Rockets | 65% | 116 | 105 | |
14 | Clippers | 35% | 110 | 92 |
Tuesday, February 27, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Bulls | 21% | 102 | 103 | |
17 | Hornets | 79% | 113 | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Nets | 123 | |||
12 | Cavaliers | 129 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | 76ers | 53% | 104 | 101 | |
18 | Heat | 47% | 103 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Wizards | 107 | |||
16 | Bucks | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Kings | 17% | 97 | 99 | |
15 | Trail Blazers | 83% | 111 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Clippers | 122 | |||
8 | Nuggets | 120 |
Monday, February 26, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Lakers | 59% | 111 | 123 | |
28 | Hawks | 41% | 107 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Grizzlies | 98 | |||
10 | Celtics | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Bulls | 40% | 107 | 87 | |
24 | Nets | 60% | 110 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 125 | |||
25 | Knicks | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pistons | 16% | 101 | 94 | |
3 | Raptors | 84% | 115 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Suns | 116 | |||
8 | Pelicans | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Magic | 26% | 105 | 105 | |
6 | Thunder | 74% | 114 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Pacers | 103 | |||
21 | Mavericks | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Rockets | 47% | 105 | 96 | |
5 | Jazz | 53% | 106 | 85 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Timberwolves | 118 | |||
29 | Kings | 100 |
Sunday, February 25, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pistons | 98 | |||
17 | Hornets | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Pelicans | 42% | 106 | 123 | |
16 | Bucks | 58% | 109 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Spurs | 110 | |||
12 | Cavaliers | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | 76ers | 43% | 107 | 94 | |
10 | Wizards | 57% | 109 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Rockets | 119 | |||
8 | Nuggets | 114 |
Saturday, February 24, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Magic | 105 | |||
11 | 76ers | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Grizzlies | 27% | 94 | 89 | |
18 | Heat | 73% | 102 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Celtics | 121 | |||
25 | Knicks | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Thunder | 21% | 108 | 80 | |
1 | Warriors | 79% | 119 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Bulls | 104 | |||
7 | Timberwolves | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Trail Blazers | 70% | 113 | 106 | |
30 | Suns | 30% | 106 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Mavericks | 90 | |||
5 | Jazz | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Lakers | 53% | 109 | 113 | |
29 | Kings | 47% | 108 | 108 |
Friday, February 23, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Celtics | 56% | 103 | 110 | |
20 | Pistons | 44% | 101 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Hawks | 93 | |||
19 | Pacers | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Hornets | 41% | 106 | 122 | |
8 | Wizards | 59% | 109 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Bucks | 122 | |||
3 | Raptors | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Timberwolves | 36% | 109 | 102 | |
2 | Rockets | 64% | 114 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Cavaliers | 112 | |||
21 | Grizzlies | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Heat | 44% | 104 | 123 | |
10 | Pelicans | 56% | 106 | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Spurs | 119 | |||
9 | Nuggets | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Clippers | 71% | 119 | 128 | |
30 | Suns | 29% | 112 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Trail Blazers | 100 | |||
5 | Jazz | 81 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Mavericks | 44% | 108 | 102 | |
23 | Lakers | 56% | 110 | 124 |
Thursday, February 22, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Nets | 31% | 106 | 96 | |
17 | Hornets | 69% | 113 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Knicks | 120 | |||
26 | Magic | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Wizards | 47% | 110 | 110 | |
13 | Cavaliers | 53% | 111 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | 76ers | 116 | |||
28 | Bulls | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Thunder | 72% | 110 | 110 | |
29 | Kings | 28% | 102 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Clippers | 127 | |||
1 | Warriors | 134 |