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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 3, 2018
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Pistons
96
17Heat
105
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 24.6
38
32
22
18
2
4
1
2
5
11
7
4-8
50%
9-16
6-11
56%
53%
0-0
-
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 29.0
36
29
31
4
6
0
1
0
1
0
4
8-8
100%
7-15
5-9
47%
49%
3-6
50%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 27.0
33
31
11
8
3
2
1
0
2
2
6
2-2
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
51%
1-6
17%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 27.7
30
23
7
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
52%
1-4
25%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.7
28
26
4
3
3
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-1
0%
2-6
4-9
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 21.8
21
24
5
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.0
20
18
7
1
3
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
45%
1-1
100%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.2
12
13
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
42%
0-2
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.8
12
19
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 26.2
11
12
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.7
7
0
1-1
46%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 36.1
4
0
0-1
45%
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 21.1
4
0
0-1
47%
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 22.9
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 27.9
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 28.8
Reggie Hearn
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.5
35
33
17
4
2
2
1
2
0
2
2
2-2
100%
6-11
4-8
55%
50%
1-2
50%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.8
31
31
13
2
5
2
1
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
3-7
6-11
43%
51%
1-2
50%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.0
27
22
14
2
1
3
1
1
1
0
2
0-4
0%
4-4
3-5
100%
56%
2-3
67%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.7
25
3
9
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
42%
3-8
38%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.7
25
24
8
19
1
0
1
1
3
8
11
4-5
80%
2-10
5-9
20%
58%
0-0
-
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 21.9
27
25
13
4
2
2
1
1
1
2
2
2-2
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
45%
1-3
33%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 26.9
23
15
17
5
4
1
0
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
59%
3-5
60%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 36.1
23
24
11
6
1
0
1
0
4
1
5
5-9
56%
3-7
4-9
43%
48%
0-2
0%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.6
23
16
3
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
1-4
25%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 37.7
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 20.6
20
1
3-5
56%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 21.0
15
0
1-2
54%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 23.6
3
0
0-1
51%
Derrick Walton Jr.
G · 6'1" 185 · 22.9
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 25.8
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.2
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.