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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 8, 2018
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Spurs18%103107
1Warriors82%116110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.6
36.9
27.2
30
60%
17
4
0
0
0
2
5
12
8-11
73%
11-19
6-13
58%
49%
0-1
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.5
33.5
24.9
12
47%
11
4
5
1
0
1
2
9
2-2
100%
5-11
3-5
45%
52%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.6
30.9
27.0
8
40%
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
2-6
33%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 21.5
29.6
22.2
14
50%
5
6
1
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
7-14
4-8
50%
45%
0-0
-
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 25.3
28.1
18.6
13
46%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
57%
3-9
33%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.7
21.3
24.6
2
20%
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.8
18.2
21.5
11
66%
1
7
0
1
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
48%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.6
15.9
18.4
10
63%
5
0
1
1
1
0
1
4
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.4
11.1
10.9
2
33%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 40.6
7.3
19.3
2
100%
0
0
0
1
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.6
7.3
6.5
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
1-2
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 37.7
25.6
0
4-8
47%
Brandon Paul
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.9
1.1
0
0-0
50%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.9
Matt Costello
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.6
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.7
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 29.4
38.8
32.9
37
64%
11
4
0
1
4
3
1
10
5-7
71%
10-19
6-11
53%
57%
4-7
57%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 28.1
36.5
35.4
13
39%
2
6
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
4-11
4-8
36%
52%
1-5
20%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.0
36.2
34.9
11
46%
12
10
3
1
2
2
2
10
2-2
100%
3-4
3-7
75%
53%
1-7
14%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 30.1
17.2
13.6
13
70%
7
0
0
0
4
0
3
4
3-3
100%
5-8
3-4
63%
62%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.0
2.4
30.9
2
53%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
3-6
0%
56%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 32.8
26.9
14.6
12
61%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
2-7
29%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 32.5
24.1
14.4
9
41%
7
7
0
0
1
2
2
5
1-2
50%
4-10
2-4
40%
52%
0-0
-
Quinn Cook
G · 6'2" 179 · 25.0
21.5
4.9
2
17%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
49%
0-3
0%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.1
14.2
11.5
4
100%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
55%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.7
11.9
3.2
2
50%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
53%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 34.1
10.3
5.7
5
47%
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
2
3-3
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
54%
0-1
0%
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 22.4
Jordan Bell
C-F · 6'9" 224 · 23.2
Chris Boucher
F · 6'10" 200 · 25.2
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 22.7
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 34.1
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.