Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, March 8, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Nets | 35% | 108 | 125 |
 | 15 | Hornets | 65% | 114 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Heat | 44% | 104 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Celtics | 52% | 107 | 117 |
 | 19 | Timberwolves | 48% | 106 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 9 | Thunder | 81% | 116 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wednesday, March 7, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Raptors | 60% | 109 | 121 |
 | 21 | Pistons | 40% | 105 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 25 | Bulls | 57% | 103 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 13 | Bucks | 40% | 106 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Pelicans | 66% | 111 | 114 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Magic | 33% | 108 | 107 |
 | 19 | Lakers | 67% | 114 | 108 |
Tuesday, March 6, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 76ers | 53% | 109 | 128 |
| 12 | Hornets | 47% | 108 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 3 | Raptors | 88% | 116 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 34% | 101 | 113 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 66% | 113 | 122 |
| 11 | Thunder | 34% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 62% | 111 | 107 |
 | 23 | Mavericks | 38% | 106 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Knicks | 26% | 101 | 87 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 12% | 106 | 101 |
| 1 | Warriors | 88% | 123 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pelicans | 43% | 112 | 121 |
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Monday, March 5, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 38% | 108 | 90 |
| 10 | Cavaliers | 62% | 112 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 45% | 103 | 89 |
| 20 | Pacers | 55% | 104 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 22% | 101 | 103 |
| 17 | Heat | 78% | 112 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Celtics | 66% | 106 | 105 |
| 25 | Bulls | 34% | 100 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 20% | 92 | 98 |
| 7 | Spurs | 80% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 22% | 99 | 80 |
| 4 | Jazz | 78% | 110 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 110 | 108 |
| 18 | Lakers | 49% | 109 | 103 |
Sunday, March 4, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 38% | 108 | 112 |
| 25 | Hawks | 62% | 112 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 26% | 105 | 98 |
| 3 | Raptors | 74% | 114 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 38% | 104 | 98 |
| 8 | Wizards | 62% | 108 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pelicans | 53% | 109 | 126 |
| 22 | Mavericks | 47% | 108 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 76ers | 55% | 107 | 110 |
| 13 | Bucks | 45% | 105 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 32% | 110 | 120 |
| 12 | Clippers | 68% | 116 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 57% | 106 | 99 |
| 30 | Kings | 43% | 104 | 102 |
Saturday, March 3, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Grizzlies | 30% | 99 | 100 |
| 24 | Magic | 70% | 106 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 43% | 112 | 126 |
| 11 | Cavaliers | 57% | 115 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 36% | 98 | 96 |
| 17 | Heat | 64% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Celtics | 28% | 102 | 120 |
| 2 | Rockets | 72% | 110 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Lakers | 40% | 104 | 116 |
| 15 | Spurs | 60% | 108 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Thunder | 38% | 103 | 100 |
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 62% | 108 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 74% | 106 | 98 |
| 29 | Kings | 26% | 97 | 91 |
Friday, March 2, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pistons | 54% | 107 | 106 |
| 24 | Magic | 46% | 106 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 33% | 105 | 99 |
| 4 | 76ers | 67% | 111 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 87% | 119 | 114 |
| 25 | Hawks | 13% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Raptors | 57% | 110 | 102 |
| 10 | Wizards | 43% | 108 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 58% | 108 | 100 |
| 27 | Bulls | 42% | 105 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 72% | 109 | 108 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 28% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 40% | 103 | 103 |
| 15 | Bucks | 60% | 106 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Thunder | 73% | 116 | 124 |
| 29 | Suns | 27% | 107 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Timberwolves | 29% | 101 | 108 |
| 5 | Jazz | 71% | 108 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 26% | 106 | 105 |
| 12 | Clippers | 74% | 115 | 128 |
Thursday, March 1, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Lakers | 37% | 103 | 131 |
| 12 | Heat | 63% | 108 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 76ers | 52% | 112 | 108 |
| 13 | Cavaliers | 48% | 111 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 57% | 109 | 111 |
| 28 | Kings | 43% | 107 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | 49% | 108 | 99 |
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 109 | 108 |
Wednesday, February 28, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bucks | 46% | 103 | 87 |
| 19 | Pistons | 54% | 105 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Raptors | 72% | 115 | 117 |
| 24 | Magic | 28% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 59% | 107 | 102 |
| 26 | Hawks | 41% | 104 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 34% | 102 | 106 |
| 8 | Celtics | 66% | 108 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 71% | 116 | 109 |
| 13 | Wizards | 29% | 108 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Suns | 37% | 105 | 110 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 63% | 110 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Thunder | 57% | 108 | 111 |
| 22 | Mavericks | 43% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pelicans | 40% | 104 | 121 |
| 10 | Spurs | 60% | 107 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 65% | 116 | 105 |
| 17 | Clippers | 35% | 110 | 92 |
Tuesday, February 27, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 21% | 102 | 103 |
| 17 | Hornets | 79% | 113 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 25% | 108 | 123 |
| 13 | Cavaliers | 75% | 118 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 76ers | 53% | 104 | 101 |
| 18 | Heat | 47% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 45% | 105 | 107 |
| 14 | Bucks | 55% | 107 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 17% | 97 | 99 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 83% | 111 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Clippers | 40% | 112 | 122 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 60% | 116 | 120 |
Monday, February 26, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Lakers | 59% | 111 | 123 |
| 27 | Hawks | 41% | 107 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 19% | 93 | 98 |
| 7 | Celtics | 81% | 106 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 40% | 107 | 87 |
| 23 | Nets | 60% | 110 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 86% | 119 | 125 |
| 26 | Knicks | 14% | 104 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pistons | 16% | 101 | 94 |
| 3 | Raptors | 84% | 115 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Suns | 25% | 108 | 116 |
| 13 | Pelicans | 75% | 118 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 26% | 105 | 105 |
| 8 | Thunder | 74% | 114 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 46% | 105 | 103 |
| 22 | Mavericks | 54% | 106 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 47% | 105 | 96 |
| 4 | Jazz | 53% | 106 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 67% | 111 | 118 |
| 28 | Kings | 33% | 105 | 100 |
Sunday, February 25, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 39% | 104 | 98 |
| 15 | Hornets | 61% | 108 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pelicans | 42% | 106 | 123 |
| 12 | Bucks | 58% | 109 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spurs | 52% | 108 | 110 |
| 14 | Cavaliers | 48% | 107 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 76ers | 43% | 107 | 94 |
| 13 | Wizards | 57% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 56% | 114 | 119 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 44% | 111 | 114 |
Saturday, February 24, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 22% | 104 | 105 |
| 5 | 76ers | 78% | 114 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Grizzlies | 27% | 94 | 89 |
| 17 | Heat | 73% | 102 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Celtics | 62% | 106 | 121 |
| 26 | Knicks | 38% | 101 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Thunder | 21% | 108 | 80 |
| 1 | Warriors | 79% | 119 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | 33% | 107 | 104 |
| 18 | Timberwolves | 67% | 113 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 70% | 113 | 106 |
| 30 | Suns | 30% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 25% | 98 | 90 |
| 4 | Jazz | 75% | 107 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 53% | 109 | 113 |
| 29 | Kings | 47% | 108 | 108 |
Friday, February 23, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Celtics | 56% | 103 | 110 |
| 19 | Pistons | 44% | 101 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hawks | 36% | 103 | 93 |
| 20 | Pacers | 64% | 108 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 41% | 106 | 122 |
| 13 | Wizards | 59% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 27% | 104 | 122 |
| 3 | Raptors | 73% | 112 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Timberwolves | 36% | 109 | 102 |
| 2 | Rockets | 64% | 114 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Cavaliers | 49% | 107 | 112 |
| 24 | Grizzlies | 51% | 108 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 44% | 104 | 123 |
| 17 | Pelicans | 56% | 106 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Spurs | 44% | 104 | 119 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 56% | 107 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Clippers | 71% | 119 | 128 |
| 30 | Suns | 29% | 112 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 36% | 100 | 100 |
| 4 | Jazz | 64% | 105 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 44% | 108 | 102 |
| 21 | Lakers | 56% | 110 | 124 |