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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 19, 2018
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Nuggets
141
15Heat
149
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.1
47
32
34
15
3
1
1
0
5
5
10
6-6
100%
8-17
5-9
47%
57%
4-5
80%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.9
47
33
26
5
0
2
1
1
1
1
4
1-2
50%
8-9
3-6
89%
51%
3-7
43%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 27.2
46
30
22
4
3
4
1
2
0
1
3
3-3
100%
5-11
4-7
45%
50%
3-10
30%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 33.1
45
27
14
8
2
2
1
1
2
1
7
3-4
75%
4-9
4-7
44%
49%
1-2
50%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 21.1
43
32
23
5
5
0
1
0
1
1
4
9-11
82%
1-8
4-7
13%
51%
4-8
50%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.1
27
19
13
2
9
0
1
0
3
0
2
8-8
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
48%
1-4
25%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.0
23
15
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
3
1-3
33%
1-2
2-4
50%
56%
0-0
-
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.2
11
18
6
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
51%
2-2
100%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.3
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.4
16
0
2-4
51%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.3
4
0
1-1
53%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 37.7
3
0
0-0
52%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.0
2
0
0-0
44%
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.9
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.5
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.5
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.1
46
24
31
11
6
1
1
1
1
0
11
1-3
33%
9-11
3-6
82%
57%
4-6
67%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.9
42
30
20
5
8
1
1
0
3
1
4
7-8
88%
5-12
5-10
42%
52%
1-3
33%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.5
41
21
17
5
5
1
1
4
1
1
4
3-3
100%
4-9
3-5
44%
50%
2-4
50%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 20.7
27
26
7
8
3
0
1
0
2
4
4
1-6
17%
3-9
4-7
33%
54%
0-0
-
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 25.9
21
27
8
4
3
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-6
3-5
17%
50%
2-3
67%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 26.9
41
24
30
8
6
1
1
4
2
1
7
4-5
80%
7-10
3-5
70%
59%
4-6
67%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.3
40
28
23
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
6-11
55%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.0
22
25
11
2
3
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
45%
1-3
33%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.6
9
17
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
0-0
-
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 21.1
7
0
1-1
55%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.7
7
0
0-0
46%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 23.7
3
0
0-1
53%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 37.8
2
0
0-0
49%
Derrick Walton Jr.
G · 6'1" 185 · 23.0
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.3
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.8
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 36.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.