Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, March 19, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Bucks | 46% | 111 | 117 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Lakers | 44% | 108 | 100 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Hornets | 27% | 106 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Nets | 64% | 108 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 12 | Heat | 52% | 108 | 149 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Bulls | 42% | 107 | 92 |
 | 24 | Knicks | 58% | 110 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Pistons | 61% | 104 | 106 |
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Sunday, March 18, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Thunder | 34% | 106 | 132 |
 | 4 | Raptors | 66% | 112 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Celtics | 47% | 103 | 89 |
 | 17 | Pelicans | 53% | 105 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 11 | Timberwolves | 39% | 110 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Saturday, March 17, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 11 | Bucks | 74% | 112 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 40% | 105 | 102 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rockets | 65% | 114 | 107 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 35% | 109 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Mavericks | 43% | 103 | 106 |
| 22 | Nets | 57% | 106 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hornets | 64% | 112 | 101 |
| 28 | Knicks | 36% | 107 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Cavaliers | 64% | 113 | 114 |
| 29 | Bulls | 36% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 66% | 110 | 94 |
| 24 | Grizzlies | 34% | 104 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 42% | 104 | 101 |
| 5 | Spurs | 58% | 107 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 11% | 92 | 97 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warriors | 70% | 113 | 124 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 32% | 101 | 87 |
| 6 | Blazers | 68% | 107 | 100 |
Friday, March 16, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Celtics | 63% | 105 | 92 |
 | 26 | Magic | 37% | 100 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 26% | 104 | 116 |
| 3 | 76ers | 74% | 113 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 24% | 100 | 115 |
| 4 | Raptors | 76% | 110 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | 37% | 107 | 113 |
| 9 | Thunder | 63% | 112 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 20% | 97 | 98 |
| 12 | Warriors | 80% | 109 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 42% | 107 | 92 |
| 13 | Lakers | 58% | 110 | 91 |
Thursday, March 15, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raptors | 61% | 110 | 106 |
| 13 | Pacers | 39% | 106 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hornets | 63% | 111 | 129 |
| 24 | Hawks | 37% | 107 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 76ers | 75% | 113 | 118 |
| 27 | Knicks | 25% | 104 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 26% | 107 | 96 |
| 2 | Rockets | 74% | 117 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 46% | 103 | 111 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 54% | 105 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pelicans | 40% | 103 | 93 |
| 7 | Spurs | 60% | 107 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 29% | 104 | 113 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 71% | 112 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Suns | 13% | 98 | 88 |
| 3 | Jazz | 87% | 114 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Cavaliers | 34% | 107 | 105 |
| 6 | Blazers | 66% | 112 | 113 |
Wednesday, March 14, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 69% | 108 | 117 |
| 27 | Magic | 31% | 101 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 33% | 102 | 125 |
| 6 | Celtics | 67% | 108 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 67% | 105 | 119 |
| 25 | Kings | 33% | 99 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Lakers | 30% | 109 | 106 |
| 8 | Warriors | 70% | 117 | 117 |
Tuesday, March 13, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 33% | 103 | 101 |
| 4 | 76ers | 67% | 110 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Timberwolves | 48% | 109 | 116 |
| 17 | Wizards | 52% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Thunder | 60% | 108 | 119 |
| 26 | Hawks | 40% | 105 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Raptors | 71% | 115 | 116 |
| 23 | Nets | 29% | 107 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 54% | 106 | 110 |
| 27 | Knicks | 46% | 104 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Clippers | 65% | 114 | 112 |
| 24 | Bulls | 35% | 109 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hornets | 46% | 111 | 115 |
| 20 | Pelicans | 54% | 112 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 28% | 98 | 72 |
| 9 | Spurs | 72% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 24% | 96 | 79 |
| 2 | Jazz | 76% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cavaliers | 71% | 117 | 129 |
| 30 | Suns | 29% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 52% | 114 | 103 |
| 18 | Lakers | 48% | 113 | 112 |
Monday, March 12, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Spurs | 30% | 101 | 93 |
| 1 | Rockets | 70% | 108 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 70% | 105 | 121 |
| 30 | Grizzlies | 30% | 98 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 18% | 98 | 101 |
| 9 | Thunder | 82% | 110 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 42% | 102 | 99 |
| 8 | Blazers | 58% | 105 | 115 |
Sunday, March 11, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 79% | 115 | 132 |
| 27 | Knicks | 21% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | 46% | 105 | 129 |
| 25 | Hawks | 54% | 106 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 57% | 114 | 103 |
| 14 | Timberwolves | 43% | 112 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jazz | 61% | 107 | 116 |
| 20 | Pelicans | 39% | 103 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 20% | 101 | 104 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 80% | 113 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rockets | 77% | 113 | 105 |
| 23 | Mavericks | 23% | 102 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 38% | 102 | 99 |
| 8 | Celtics | 62% | 106 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 76ers | 64% | 113 | 120 |
| 22 | Nets | 36% | 108 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 51% | 115 | 113 |
| 19 | Lakers | 49% | 114 | 127 |
Saturday, March 10, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 25% | 108 | 115 |
| 16 | Hornets | 75% | 118 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wizards | 43% | 103 | 102 |
| 18 | Heat | 57% | 106 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Grizzlies | 22% | 97 | 80 |
| 21 | Mavericks | 78% | 107 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spurs | 46% | 102 | 94 |
| 10 | Thunder | 54% | 104 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 26% | 105 | 105 |
| 13 | Clippers | 74% | 114 | 113 |
Friday, March 9, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 32% | 103 | 83 |
| 21 | Pistons | 68% | 109 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hawks | 29% | 101 | 87 |
| 18 | Pacers | 71% | 109 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rockets | 49% | 112 | 105 |
| 3 | Raptors | 51% | 113 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jazz | 79% | 104 | 95 |
| 30 | Grizzlies | 21% | 93 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 26% | 101 | 112 |
| 12 | Bucks | 74% | 110 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wizards | 46% | 110 | 116 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 54% | 111 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 30% | 109 | 116 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 70% | 116 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 53% | 110 | 108 |
| 11 | Blazers | 47% | 108 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 54% | 107 | 88 |
| 28 | Kings | 46% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cavaliers | 45% | 113 | 102 |
| 17 | Clippers | 55% | 115 | 116 |
Thursday, March 8, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 35% | 108 | 125 |
| 15 | Hornets | 65% | 114 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 76ers | 56% | 106 | 99 |
| 16 | Heat | 44% | 104 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 52% | 107 | 117 |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 48% | 106 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Suns | 19% | 104 | 87 |
| 9 | Thunder | 81% | 116 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spurs | 18% | 104 | 107 |
| 1 | Warriors | 82% | 116 | 110 |
Wednesday, March 7, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 57% | 102 | 104 |
| 20 | Pacers | 43% | 100 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Raptors | 60% | 109 | 121 |
| 21 | Pistons | 40% | 105 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 43% | 101 | 110 |
| 25 | Bulls | 57% | 103 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 61% | 110 | 110 |
| 13 | Bucks | 39% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pelicans | 66% | 111 | 114 |
| 29 | Kings | 34% | 105 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Cavaliers | 39% | 111 | 113 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 61% | 115 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 33% | 108 | 107 |
| 19 | Lakers | 67% | 114 | 108 |
Tuesday, March 6, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 76ers | 53% | 110 | 128 |
| 12 | Hornets | 47% | 108 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 12% | 100 | 90 |
| 3 | Raptors | 88% | 116 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 34% | 101 | 113 |
| 10 | Wizards | 66% | 107 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 66% | 113 | 122 |
| 11 | Thunder | 34% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 62% | 111 | 107 |
| 23 | Mavericks | 38% | 106 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 26% | 101 | 87 |
| 9 | Blazers | 74% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 12% | 106 | 101 |
| 1 | Warriors | 88% | 123 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pelicans | 43% | 112 | 121 |
| 14 | Clippers | 57% | 115 | 116 |