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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 29, 2018
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Wizards
92
21Pistons
103
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 28.6
36
25
11
6
5
1
1
4
1
2
4
0-0
-
4-9
3-6
44%
51%
1-6
17%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 24.8
36
32
15
5
1
2
1
0
6
1
4
2-3
67%
5-9
5-9
56%
51%
1-8
13%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.4
35
28
11
5
6
1
1
0
1
3
2
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
53%
1-3
33%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 34.1
28
21
10
12
3
1
0
0
2
2
10
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
54%
0-0
-
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 24.8
16
27
7
2
2
0
1
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
1-4
4-7
25%
54%
1-3
33%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 22.3
32
27
14
4
3
1
1
1
0
0
4
4-5
80%
5-8
3-6
63%
49%
0-4
0%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 29.7
19
20
8
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-8
3-5
50%
56%
0-2
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 32.0
15
20
6
2
6
2
1
0
0
1
1
2-3
67%
2-3
2-5
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.6
14
14
6
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
2-5
40%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 31.4
9
16
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
57%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.6
34
1
6-12
47%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 32.1
6
0
1-2
49%
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 27.4
5
0
0-1
45%
Devin Robinson
F · 6'8" 200 · 23.1
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 24.6
38
34
24
23
4
0
2
1
1
5
18
4-7
57%
10-16
6-12
63%
54%
0-0
-
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 21.8
37
22
9
5
2
4
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
45%
1-3
33%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.8
32
24
14
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
5-5
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
54%
1-3
33%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 27.0
29
28
14
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
3-5
80%
54%
2-4
50%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 28.0
28
23
13
2
8
0
1
0
4
0
2
1-2
50%
6-12
4-8
50%
48%
0-4
0%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.7
20
23
6
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.8
19
23
8
1
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
1-2
50%
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 21.2
16
3
9
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-6
0-1
33%
49%
1-1
100%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 27.7
11
19
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
55%
0-1
0%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 26.3
10
6
2
2
2
1
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 36.1
6
0
0-1
46%
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.1
5
0
1-2
47%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.3
4
0
0-1
43%
Reggie Hearn
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.6
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 29.0
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 28.9
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.