Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, March 29, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Pistons | 47% | 106 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Bulls | 25% | 100 | 92 |
 | 11 | Heat | 75% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Thunder | 44% | 102 | 99 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Bucks | 40% | 107 | 116 |
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Wednesday, March 28, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Hornets | 63% | 115 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Nets | 54% | 110 | 111 |
 | 25 | Magic | 46% | 109 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Knicks | 21% | 103 | 101 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 14 | Timberwolves | 74% | 115 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Celtics | 29% | 94 | 97 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Mavericks | 32% | 103 | 93 |
 | 20 | Lakers | 68% | 109 | 103 |
Tuesday, March 27, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 53% | 104 | 106 |
| 13 | Wizards | 47% | 103 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Raptors | 75% | 117 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 45% | 109 | 79 |
| 11 | Heat | 55% | 111 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 19% | 102 | 86 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Blazers | 58% | 109 | 107 |
 | 18 | Pelicans | 42% | 106 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 56% | 104 | 103 |
| 28 | Kings | 44% | 102 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 54% | 106 | 92 |
| 22 | Warriors | 46% | 105 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 46% | 110 | 98 |
| 15 | Clippers | 54% | 112 | 105 |
Monday, March 26, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 29% | 105 | 128 |
| 19 | Hornets | 71% | 113 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Lakers | 40% | 106 | 106 |
| 15 | Pistons | 60% | 109 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 38% | 108 | 104 |
| 5 | 76ers | 62% | 112 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 25% | 102 | 101 |
| 14 | Timberwolves | 75% | 111 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Celtics | 71% | 108 | 102 |
| 30 | Suns | 29% | 100 | 94 |
Sunday, March 25, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 57% | 116 | 121 |
| 22 | Nets | 43% | 113 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 56% | 105 | 103 |
| 17 | Bucks | 44% | 103 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 42% | 102 | 107 |
| 10 | Pacers | 58% | 105 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | 25% | 108 | 117 |
| 2 | Raptors | 75% | 117 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 29% | 104 | 101 |
| 12 | Wizards | 71% | 112 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Celtics | 68% | 103 | 104 |
| 27 | Kings | 32% | 96 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Blazers | 44% | 106 | 108 |
| 7 | Thunder | 56% | 108 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hawks | 14% | 102 | 99 |
| 1 | Rockets | 86% | 117 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jazz | 63% | 105 | 110 |
| 21 | Warriors | 37% | 100 | 91 |
Saturday, March 24, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 32% | 108 | 108 |
| 4 | 76ers | 68% | 114 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 20% | 100 | 95 |
| 14 | Pistons | 80% | 112 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Suns | 29% | 104 | 99 |
| 26 | Magic | 71% | 112 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pelicans | 22% | 106 | 91 |
| 1 | Rockets | 78% | 117 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Lakers | 67% | 110 | 100 |
| 29 | Grizzlies | 33% | 104 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 48% | 106 | 102 |
| 23 | Mavericks | 52% | 107 | 98 |
Friday, March 23, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | 43% | 108 | 104 |
| 11 | Pacers | 57% | 110 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 49% | 110 | 108 |
| 14 | Wizards | 51% | 111 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Suns | 17% | 107 | 95 |
| 10 | Cavaliers | 83% | 120 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 62% | 115 | 108 |
| 24 | Knicks | 38% | 110 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 20% | 105 | 112 |
| 2 | Raptors | 80% | 116 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bucks | 56% | 108 | 118 |
| 25 | Bulls | 44% | 106 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 37% | 103 | 99 |
| 7 | Thunder | 63% | 108 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jazz | 42% | 97 | 120 |
| 5 | Spurs | 58% | 100 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Celtics | 33% | 98 | 105 |
| 6 | Blazers | 67% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 17% | 102 | 94 |
| 12 | Warriors | 83% | 116 | 106 |
Thursday, March 22, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 29% | 101 | 79 |
| 19 | Hornets | 71% | 109 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 76ers | 68% | 110 | 118 |
| 28 | Magic | 32% | 103 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pistons | 17% | 102 | 96 |
| 1 | Rockets | 83% | 115 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Lakers | 49% | 111 | 125 |
| 17 | Pelicans | 51% | 112 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jazz | 65% | 103 | 119 |
| 21 | Mavericks | 35% | 97 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hawks | 49% | 106 | 90 |
| 27 | Kings | 51% | 107 | 105 |
Wednesday, March 21, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 53% | 113 | 129 |
| 14 | Cavaliers | 47% | 112 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 15% | 97 | 105 |
| 4 | 76ers | 85% | 111 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 49% | 111 | 111 |
| 23 | Nets | 51% | 112 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 27% | 101 | 98 |
| 11 | Heat | 73% | 110 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 51% | 109 | 92 |
| 18 | Pelicans | 49% | 108 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 72% | 114 | 135 |
| 29 | Bulls | 28% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 37% | 108 | 127 |
| 12 | Bucks | 63% | 113 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wizards | 41% | 101 | 90 |
| 5 | Spurs | 59% | 105 | 98 |
Tuesday, March 20, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Raptors | 78% | 114 | 93 |
| 27 | Magic | 22% | 103 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Thunder | 57% | 104 | 99 |
| 21 | Celtics | 43% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 41% | 112 | 109 |
| 12 | Timberwolves | 59% | 115 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 36% | 104 | 105 |
| 18 | Pelicans | 64% | 109 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hawks | 15% | 96 | 99 |
| 2 | Jazz | 85% | 110 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 66% | 111 | 115 |
| 30 | Suns | 34% | 105 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rockets | 62% | 111 | 115 |
| 6 | Blazers | 38% | 107 | 111 |
Monday, March 19, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bucks | 46% | 111 | 117 |
| 15 | Cavaliers | 54% | 112 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Lakers | 44% | 108 | 100 |
| 18 | Pacers | 56% | 110 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 27% | 106 | 94 |
| 3 | 76ers | 73% | 114 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 36% | 103 | 115 |
| 22 | Nets | 64% | 108 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 48% | 107 | 141 |
| 12 | Heat | 52% | 108 | 149 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 42% | 107 | 92 |
| 24 | Knicks | 58% | 110 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Warriors | 39% | 101 | 75 |
| 5 | Spurs | 61% | 105 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pistons | 61% | 104 | 106 |
| 27 | Kings | 39% | 100 | 90 |
Sunday, March 18, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Thunder | 34% | 106 | 132 |
| 4 | Raptors | 66% | 112 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Celtics | 47% | 103 | 89 |
| 17 | Pelicans | 53% | 105 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rockets | 61% | 114 | 129 |
| 11 | Timberwolves | 39% | 110 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Blazers | 41% | 108 | 122 |
| 12 | Clippers | 59% | 111 | 109 |
Saturday, March 17, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hawks | 26% | 103 | 117 |
| 11 | Bucks | 74% | 112 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 40% | 105 | 102 |
| 13 | Wizards | 60% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rockets | 65% | 114 | 107 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 35% | 109 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 43% | 103 | 106 |
| 22 | Nets | 57% | 106 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hornets | 64% | 112 | 101 |
| 28 | Knicks | 36% | 107 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Cavaliers | 64% | 113 | 114 |
| 29 | Bulls | 36% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 66% | 110 | 94 |
| 24 | Grizzlies | 34% | 104 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 42% | 104 | 101 |
| 5 | Spurs | 58% | 107 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 11% | 92 | 97 |
| 2 | Jazz | 89% | 109 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warriors | 70% | 113 | 124 |
| 30 | Suns | 30% | 106 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 32% | 101 | 87 |
| 6 | Blazers | 68% | 107 | 100 |
Friday, March 16, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Celtics | 63% | 105 | 92 |
| 26 | Magic | 37% | 100 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 26% | 104 | 116 |
| 3 | 76ers | 74% | 113 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 24% | 100 | 115 |
| 4 | Raptors | 76% | 110 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | 37% | 107 | 113 |
| 9 | Thunder | 63% | 112 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 20% | 97 | 98 |
| 12 | Warriors | 80% | 109 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 42% | 107 | 92 |
| 13 | Lakers | 58% | 110 | 91 |