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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
October 22, 2018
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Spurs
143
13Lakers
142
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.2
45
34
32
8
14
1
1
0
2
1
7
8-9
89%
9-24
8-16
38%
48%
2-5
40%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.3
40
36
37
10
5
1
1
1
1
5
5
11-18
61%
13-22
9-18
59%
50%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.2
37
26
16
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
44%
4-8
50%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.2
33
24
16
6
2
1
1
1
3
1
5
0-0
-
5-5
4-9
100%
48%
2-3
67%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.5
29
13
3
12
1
2
0
1
0
2
10
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
1-1
100%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.2
31
25
12
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-5
60%
3-5
2-3
60%
47%
1-2
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 32.6
23
18
15
1
1
2
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
3-6
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 38.3
18
18
9
4
3
0
0
1
0
0
4
4-4
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 25.9
8
19
3
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
1-1
100%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 23.0
13
0
2-3
61%
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 21.6
4
0
0-1
49%
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.7
4
0
0-1
49%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.6
3
0
0-0
45%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 19.9
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.3
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 22.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Kuzma
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.2
45
28
37
8
3
0
1
0
2
0
8
3-4
75%
11-15
4-7
73%
52%
4-10
40%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 33.8
43
36
32
8
14
1
1
1
5
2
6
8-11
73%
9-17
9-15
53%
59%
2-8
25%
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 21.0
33
22
14
6
6
1
1
0
1
0
6
1-2
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
45%
3-7
43%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 30.8
28
18
16
8
1
1
0
1
1
5
3
2-3
67%
7-13
4-7
54%
63%
0-0
-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.7
19
23
4
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Josh Hart
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.6
39
28
20
10
1
2
1
0
1
0
10
0-0
-
4-7
3-5
57%
55%
4-7
57%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 28.1
17
19
8
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
51%
1-3
33%
Svi Mykhailiuk
F · 6'8" 212 · 21.4
17
3
0
2
3
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-2
0%
Johnathan Williams
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.4
14
3
8
4
1
0
0
3
0
2
2
0-1
0%
4-5
0-1
80%
52%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.8
6
3
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
1-1
33%
52%
0-0
-
Ivica Zubac
C · 7'1" 240 · 21.6
5
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 32.7
28
1
3-7
48%
Brandon Ingram
F-G · 6'9" 190 · 21.1
24
1
4-7
50%
Moritz Wagner
F · 7'0" 241 · 21.5
Isaac Bonga
G · 6'9" 203 · 19.0
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.