Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, October 22, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Magic | 19% | 106 | 93 | |
4 | Celtics | 81% | 118 | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Hornets | 25% | 112 | 106 | |
2 | Raptors | 75% | 121 | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Knicks | 26% | 111 | 113 | |
8 | Bucks | 74% | 120 | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Pacers | 46% | 116 | 91 | |
11 | Timberwolves | 54% | 118 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Bulls | 37% | 115 | 109 | |
22 | Mavericks | 63% | 120 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Grizzlies | 24% | 106 | 92 | |
5 | Jazz | 76% | 116 | 84 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Wizards | 46% | 116 | 125 | |
18 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 118 | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Suns | 12% | 107 | 103 | |
1 | Warriors | 88% | 123 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Spurs | 39% | 118 | 143 | |
9 | Lakers | 61% | 122 | 142 |
Sunday, October 21, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Hawks | 33% | 116 | 133 | |
23 | Cavaliers | 67% | 122 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Kings | 22% | 112 | 131 | |
13 | Thunder | 78% | 123 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 66% | 121 | 98 | |
6 | Nuggets | 34% | 115 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Rockets | 59% | 121 | 112 | |
20 | Clippers | 41% | 118 | 115 |
Saturday, October 20, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Nets | 27% | 106 | 112 | |
11 | Pacers | 73% | 115 | 132 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Raptors | 46% | 114 | 117 | |
14 | Wizards | 54% | 115 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Celtics | 72% | 116 | 103 | |
25 | Knicks | 28% | 108 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Magic | 15% | 104 | 115 | |
5 | 76ers | 85% | 118 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Hornets | 34% | 112 | 113 | |
15 | Heat | 66% | 117 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Pistons | 64% | 118 | 118 | |
28 | Bulls | 36% | 113 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Timberwolves | 46% | 113 | 136 | |
23 | Mavericks | 54% | 115 | 140 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Suns | 22% | 109 | 91 | |
6 | Nuggets | 78% | 120 | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Spurs | 47% | 118 | 108 | |
16 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 119 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Rockets | 57% | 125 | 124 | |
9 | Lakers | 43% | 122 | 115 |
Friday, October 19, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Hornets | 48% | 114 | 120 | |
22 | Magic | 52% | 115 | 88 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Knicks | 43% | 114 | 105 | |
24 | Nets | 57% | 117 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Celtics | 42% | 112 | 101 | |
3 | Raptors | 58% | 115 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Hawks | 29% | 108 | 117 | |
20 | Grizzlies | 71% | 115 | 131 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Cavaliers | 26% | 111 | 123 | |
10 | Timberwolves | 74% | 120 | 131 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Kings | 20% | 109 | 129 | |
8 | Pelicans | 80% | 121 | 149 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Pacers | 42% | 109 | 101 | |
9 | Bucks | 58% | 112 | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 56% | 114 | 124 | |
6 | Jazz | 44% | 112 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Thunder | 48% | 113 | 92 | |
18 | Clippers | 52% | 114 | 108 |
Thursday, October 18, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Bulls | 17% | 101 | 108 | |
6 | 76ers | 83% | 114 | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Heat | 36% | 106 | 113 | |
14 | Wizards | 64% | 111 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Lakers | 49% | 111 | 119 | |
15 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 112 | 128 |
Wednesday, October 17, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Bucks | 61% | 114 | 113 | |
21 | Hornets | 39% | 110 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Nets | 32% | 104 | 100 | |
17 | Pistons | 68% | 111 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Grizzlies | 33% | 104 | 83 | |
10 | Pacers | 67% | 110 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Heat | 58% | 107 | 101 | |
23 | Magic | 42% | 105 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Hawks | 41% | 104 | 107 | |
24 | Knicks | 59% | 108 | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Cavaliers | 15% | 104 | 104 | |
3 | Raptors | 85% | 119 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Pelicans | 25% | 106 | 131 | |
2 | Rockets | 75% | 116 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Timberwolves | 53% | 114 | 108 | |
16 | Spurs | 47% | 113 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Jazz | 79% | 108 | 123 | |
29 | Kings | 21% | 97 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Nuggets | 57% | 115 | 107 | |
19 | Clippers | 43% | 112 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Mavericks | 57% | 110 | 100 | |
28 | Suns | 43% | 107 | 121 |
Tuesday, October 16, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 76ers | 38% | 103 | 87 | |
4 | Celtics | 62% | 108 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Thunder | 17% | 103 | 100 | |
1 | Warriors | 83% | 117 | 108 |