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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 15, 2018
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Hawks
93
7Nuggets
138
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Omari Spellman
F · 6'9" 253 · 21.3
27
20
10
10
3
3
1
1
1
3
7
2-2
100%
4-8
2-3
50%
47%
0-7
0%
Trae Young
G · 6'2" 178 · 20.2
27
28
6
2
5
1
1
0
5
0
2
2-2
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
46%
0-4
0%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 29.4
21
27
14
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
5-5
100%
3-4
3-7
75%
46%
1-4
25%
DeAndre' Bembry
F-G · 6'6" 210 · 24.4
16
19
2
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
46%
0-2
0%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 25.4
13
24
6
5
0
0
1
2
2
3
2
2-3
67%
2-5
4-7
40%
53%
0-1
0%
Kevin Huerter
G · 6'7" 194 · 20.2
28
17
10
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-1
0%
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
2-6
33%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.2
25
19
16
5
5
0
1
0
4
2
3
5-7
71%
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
3-7
43%
Alex Poythress
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.2
24
13
11
4
4
1
0
0
1
3
1
1-2
50%
5-5
1-3
100%
49%
0-3
0%
Tyler Dorsey
G · 6'5" 183 · 22.7
19
4
3
6
1
1
0
0
0
1
5
1-1
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
42%
0-2
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 41.8
16
16
11
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
3-5
60%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.2
16
12
3
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
56%
0-0
-
Daniel Hamilton
G · 6'7" 195 · 23.3
8
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Taurean Prince
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.7
33
1
3-7
47%
John Collins
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.1
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 25.0
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 29.3
Jaylen Adams
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.1
31
29
25
9
1
1
1
0
1
4
5
5-7
71%
7-7
2-3
100%
56%
2-5
40%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.4
29
26
8
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
51%
0-2
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.2
27
33
18
3
4
0
2
2
1
0
3
2-3
67%
5-6
5-9
83%
56%
2-3
67%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.7
25
30
12
9
7
4
1
1
2
1
8
1-2
50%
4-9
6-10
44%
58%
1-2
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 33.8
25
26
18
9
5
4
1
2
1
3
6
1-1
100%
7-11
4-7
64%
52%
1-2
50%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.0
27
18
14
8
4
0
1
0
5
1
7
3-4
75%
4-6
3-5
67%
55%
1-1
100%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.0
24
14
15
3
3
1
0
0
1
1
2
2-3
67%
5-9
1-2
56%
53%
1-5
20%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 21.7
23
34
14
4
5
0
1
1
1
0
4
3-3
100%
1-4
6-11
25%
53%
3-6
50%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.7
12
15
6
5
1
0
1
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
59%
0-0
-
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.6
7
1
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
2-3
67%
DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 25.4
6
1
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.9
4
8
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
58%
0-0
-
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.4
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 19.6
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 27.9
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.8
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 29.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.