Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, November 15, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wednesday, November 14, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 24 | Magic | 33% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Heat | 53% | 112 | 120 |
 | 22 | Nets | 47% | 111 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Bulls | 17% | 101 | 82 |
 | 4 | Celtics | 83% | 115 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Pistons | 19% | 109 | 106 |
 | 1 | Raptors | 81% | 121 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 3 | Bucks | 73% | 115 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Pelicans | 52% | 119 | 100 |
 | 17 | Timberwolves | 48% | 118 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Knicks | 24% | 105 | 103 |
 | 13 | Thunder | 76% | 115 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 23 | Mavericks | 35% | 109 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Spurs | 65% | 115 | 96 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 14 | Lakers | 52% | 116 | 126 |
Tuesday, November 13, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Hornets | 73% | 118 | 89 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 27% | 109 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 51% | 112 | 109 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 49% | 111 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hawks | 18% | 113 | 103 |
| 8 | Warriors | 82% | 126 | 110 |
Monday, November 12, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 29% | 110 | 109 |
| 19 | Wizards | 71% | 118 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 76ers | 48% | 112 | 124 |
| 16 | Heat | 52% | 113 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pelicans | 22% | 112 | 126 |
| 1 | Raptors | 78% | 123 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 54% | 113 | 103 |
| 26 | Bulls | 46% | 112 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 55% | 106 | 96 |
| 15 | Grizzlies | 45% | 104 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 24% | 107 | 101 |
| 14 | Thunder | 76% | 117 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 44% | 115 | 113 |
| 21 | Timberwolves | 56% | 117 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Spurs | 56% | 117 | 99 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 51% | 119 | 116 |
| 9 | Clippers | 49% | 118 | 121 |
Sunday, November 11, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hornets | 47% | 113 | 113 |
| 18 | Pistons | 53% | 115 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 2 | Rockets | 63% | 111 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 47% | 110 | 115 |
| 25 | Knicks | 53% | 111 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 42% | 115 | 121 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 58% | 118 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 49% | 110 | 94 |
| 11 | Blazers | 51% | 111 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hawks | 22% | 114 | 106 |
| 10 | Lakers | 78% | 125 | 107 |
Saturday, November 10, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 12% | 105 | 112 |
| 1 | Raptors | 88% | 121 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 54% | 122 | 126 |
| 10 | Clippers | 46% | 120 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 29% | 112 | 99 |
| 17 | Pelicans | 71% | 120 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 41% | 113 | 116 |
| 15 | Heat | 59% | 116 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 35% | 108 | 98 |
| 26 | Bulls | 65% | 114 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 76ers | 46% | 108 | 106 |
| 14 | Grizzlies | 54% | 109 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 63% | 115 | 89 |
| 20 | Spurs | 37% | 111 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 27% | 111 | 100 |
| 9 | Warriors | 73% | 120 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Thunder | 60% | 116 | 96 |
| 24 | Mavericks | 40% | 112 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lakers | 62% | 123 | 101 |
| 23 | Kings | 38% | 119 | 86 |
Friday, November 9, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 34% | 112 | 132 |
| 5 | 76ers | 66% | 118 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 59% | 117 | 108 |
| 25 | Magic | 41% | 113 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pistons | 65% | 118 | 124 |
| 29 | Hawks | 35% | 113 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pacers | 51% | 109 | 110 |
| 16 | Heat | 49% | 108 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 28% | 107 | 112 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 72% | 115 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 43% | 107 | 115 |
| 7 | Jazz | 57% | 109 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | 57% | 120 | 110 |
| 24 | Kings | 43% | 118 | 121 |
Thursday, November 8, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 62% | 116 | 80 |
| 16 | Thunder | 38% | 112 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 77% | 117 | 116 |
| 28 | Suns | 23% | 106 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 42% | 116 | 105 |
| 12 | Blazers | 58% | 118 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bucks | 31% | 119 | 134 |
| 1 | Warriors | 69% | 126 | 111 |
Wednesday, November 7, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Thunder | 70% | 119 | 95 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 30% | 111 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 56% | 112 | 103 |
| 24 | Magic | 44% | 110 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 59% | 117 | 112 |
| 30 | Hawks | 41% | 114 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Spurs | 42% | 112 | 88 |
| 17 | Heat | 58% | 115 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 76ers | 47% | 109 | 100 |
| 9 | Pacers | 53% | 110 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 57% | 109 | 87 |
| 18 | Grizzlies | 43% | 107 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 24% | 111 | 98 |
| 11 | Pelicans | 76% | 121 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 23% | 106 | 102 |
| 8 | Jazz | 77% | 117 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raptors | 81% | 126 | 114 |
| 26 | Kings | 19% | 114 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Timberwolves | 42% | 119 | 110 |
| 13 | Lakers | 58% | 122 | 114 |
Tuesday, November 6, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hawks | 24% | 113 | 102 |
| 17 | Hornets | 76% | 123 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 53% | 119 | 100 |
| 23 | Mavericks | 47% | 118 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 54% | 115 | 104 |
| 27 | Suns | 46% | 114 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bucks | 54% | 119 | 103 |
| 14 | Blazers | 46% | 117 | 118 |
Monday, November 5, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 40% | 111 | 100 |
| 24 | Magic | 60% | 115 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 49% | 111 | 120 |
| 21 | Pistons | 51% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 48% | 110 | 98 |
| 9 | Pacers | 52% | 111 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 45% | 110 | 116 |
| 25 | Knicks | 55% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pelicans | 41% | 118 | 116 |
| 10 | Thunder | 59% | 121 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Raptors | 44% | 109 | 124 |
| 8 | Jazz | 56% | 111 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 51% | 111 | 107 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 49% | 110 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Grizzlies | 11% | 105 | 101 |
| 1 | Warriors | 89% | 123 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Timberwolves | 35% | 117 | 109 |
| 13 | Clippers | 65% | 122 | 120 |
Sunday, November 4, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 22% | 116 | 109 |
| 5 | Bucks | 78% | 127 | 144 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 41% | 114 | 95 |
| 21 | Wizards | 59% | 117 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 76ers | 59% | 116 | 97 |
| 22 | Nets | 41% | 112 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 31% | 109 | 117 |
| 15 | Spurs | 69% | 116 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | 63% | 113 | 100 |
| 28 | Suns | 37% | 109 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 41% | 116 | 81 |
| 14 | Blazers | 59% | 119 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 53% | 119 | 121 |
| 10 | Lakers | 47% | 118 | 107 |
Saturday, November 3, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pistons | 33% | 111 | 99 |
| 7 | 76ers | 67% | 117 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 25% | 111 | 94 |
| 16 | Hornets | 75% | 120 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 55% | 108 | 101 |
| 9 | Pacers | 45% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 71% | 121 | 118 |
| 30 | Hawks | 29% | 113 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 74% | 121 | 96 |
| 28 | Bulls | 26% | 112 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pelicans | 49% | 118 | 95 |
| 19 | Spurs | 51% | 119 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 39% | 108 | 88 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 61% | 112 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 48% | 118 | 114 |
| 15 | Blazers | 52% | 119 | 110 |
Friday, November 2, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Clippers | 52% | 116 | 120 |
| 25 | Magic | 48% | 115 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Rockets | 57% | 115 | 119 |
| 23 | Nets | 43% | 113 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pacers | 72% | 114 | 107 |
| 28 | Bulls | 28% | 106 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Thunder | 45% | 118 | 134 |
| 19 | Wizards | 55% | 120 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 41% | 112 | 118 |
| 22 | Mavericks | 59% | 116 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Grizzlies | 32% | 103 | 110 |
| 6 | Jazz | 68% | 110 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 80% | 123 | 107 |
| 27 | Suns | 20% | 111 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 19% | 116 | 99 |
| 1 | Warriors | 81% | 128 | 116 |