Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, November 9, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | Magic | 41% | 113 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Hornets | 132 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Pistons | 64% | 118 | 124 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Heat | 102 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Nets | 29% | 107 | 112 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Celtics | 115 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Timberwolves | 58% | 120 | 110 |
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Thursday, November 8, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 8 | Thunder | 38% | 111 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 116 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Bucks | 134 | ||
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Wednesday, November 7, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Thunder | 70% | 118 | 95 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 103 | ||
| 27 | Magic | 96 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Knicks | 59% | 116 | 112 |
| 29 | Hawks | 41% | 113 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 16 | Heat | 95 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 76ers | 46% | 109 | 100 |
| 9 | Pacers | 54% | 110 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 87 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Bulls | 24% | 111 | 98 |
 | 11 | Pelicans | 76% | 121 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Mavericks | 102 | ||
| 5 | Jazz | 117 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Raptors | 81% | 125 | 114 |
| 25 | Kings | 19% | 113 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | 110 | ||
 | 14 | Lakers | 114 | ||
Tuesday, November 6, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hawks | 24% | 113 | 102 |
| 18 | Hornets | 76% | 123 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 100 | ||
| 24 | Mavericks | 119 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 54% | 115 | 104 |
| 29 | Suns | 46% | 114 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bucks | 103 | ||
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 118 | ||
Monday, November 5, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 120 | ||
| 21 | Pistons | 115 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 48% | 110 | 98 |
| 9 | Pacers | 52% | 111 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 100 | ||
| 25 | Magic | 102 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 45% | 110 | 116 |
| 24 | Knicks | 55% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pelicans | 116 | ||
| 8 | Thunder | 122 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 51% | 111 | 107 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 49% | 110 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 124 | ||
| 5 | Jazz | 111 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Grizzlies | 10% | 105 | 101 |
| 1 | Warriors | 90% | 122 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 109 | ||
| 14 | Clippers | 120 | ||
Sunday, November 4, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 22% | 115 | 109 |
| 6 | Bucks | 78% | 126 | 144 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 76ers | 97 | ||
| 22 | Nets | 122 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 41% | 114 | 95 |
| 20 | Wizards | 59% | 117 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 100 | ||
| 29 | Suns | 102 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 31% | 109 | 117 |
| 16 | Spurs | 69% | 116 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 81 | ||
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 111 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 54% | 118 | 121 |
| 13 | Lakers | 46% | 117 | 107 |
Saturday, November 3, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pistons | 33% | 111 | 99 |
| 8 | 76ers | 67% | 117 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Cavaliers | 94 | ||
| 19 | Hornets | 126 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 55% | 108 | 101 |
| 11 | Pacers | 45% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 118 | ||
| 30 | Hawks | 123 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 74% | 120 | 96 |
| 27 | Bulls | 26% | 111 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pelicans | 95 | ||
| 17 | Spurs | 109 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 40% | 108 | 88 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 60% | 112 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lakers | 114 | ||
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 110 | ||
Friday, November 2, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 52% | 115 | 120 |
| 26 | Magic | 48% | 114 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 119 | ||
| 23 | Nets | 111 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Thunder | 45% | 118 | 134 |
| 17 | Wizards | 55% | 120 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 107 | ||
| 28 | Bulls | 105 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 41% | 112 | 118 |
| 22 | Mavericks | 59% | 116 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Grizzlies | 110 | ||
| 5 | Jazz | 100 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 80% | 123 | 107 |
| 29 | Suns | 20% | 111 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 99 | ||
| 1 | Warriors | 116 | ||
Thursday, November 1, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thunder | 48% | 117 | 111 |
| 20 | Hornets | 52% | 118 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 110 | ||
| 25 | Cavaliers | 91 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 32% | 114 | 113 |
| 8 | 76ers | 68% | 121 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 146 | ||
| 29 | Hawks | 115 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bucks | 39% | 113 | 113 |
| 4 | Celtics | 61% | 117 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pelicans | 119 | ||
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 132 | ||
Wednesday, October 31, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 119 | ||
| 22 | Nets | 120 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 67% | 112 | 107 |
| 24 | Knicks | 33% | 106 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 108 | ||
| 29 | Bulls | 107 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 61% | 117 | 125 |
| 12 | Timberwolves | 39% | 113 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pelicans | 121 | ||
| 1 | Warriors | 131 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 29% | 116 | 113 |
| 10 | Lakers | 71% | 124 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Spurs | 120 | ||
| 28 | Suns | 90 | ||
Tuesday, October 30, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 113 | ||
| 19 | Hornets | 125 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hawks | 45% | 115 | 114 |
| 26 | Cavaliers | 55% | 117 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 107 | ||
| 25 | Magic | 99 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pistons | 28% | 106 | 105 |
| 4 | Celtics | 72% | 114 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 76ers | 112 | ||
| 2 | Raptors | 129 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 34% | 113 | 104 |
| 3 | Rockets | 66% | 119 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 95 | ||
| 21 | Grizzlies | 107 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | 46% | 117 | 110 |
| 13 | Thunder | 54% | 118 | 128 |
Monday, October 29, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 110 | 103 |
| 9 | Pacers | 63% | 114 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hawks | 92 | ||
| 8 | 76ers | 113 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 27% | 110 | 123 |
| 14 | Heat | 73% | 119 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 96 | ||
| 24 | Knicks | 115 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 84% | 124 | 149 |
| 29 | Bulls | 16% | 110 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 109 | ||
| 7 | Bucks | 124 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 47% | 121 | 120 |
| 13 | Timberwolves | 53% | 122 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 108 | ||
| 16 | Spurs | 113 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pelicans | 39% | 117 | 111 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 61% | 121 | 116 |
Sunday, October 28, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 78% | 122 | 120 |
| 22 | Nets | 22% | 111 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 113 | ||
| 23 | Mavericks | 104 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 19% | 110 | 110 |
| 10 | Thunder | 81% | 122 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 104 | ||
| 18 | Clippers | 136 | ||
Saturday, October 27, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 109 | ||
| 19 | Pistons | 89 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 62% | 116 | 132 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 38% | 111 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bulls | 97 | ||
| 26 | Hawks | 85 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 72% | 114 | 119 |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 28% | 106 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 103 | ||
| 8 | 76ers | 105 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 113 | 111 |
| 15 | Heat | 55% | 115 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 96 | ||
| 21 | Grizzlies | 117 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 28% | 110 | 91 |
| 7 | Bucks | 72% | 119 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lakers | 106 | ||
| 17 | Spurs | 110 | ||