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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 13, 2018
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Lakers30%110111
3Rockets70%117126
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Kuzma
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.4
37.0
35.7
24
60%
3
5
2
1
1
2
1
2
7-7
100%
7-12
5-10
58%
54%
1-5
20%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 34.0
36.4
34.2
29
70%
5
4
2
1
0
3
0
5
2-6
33%
9-12
8-14
75%
59%
3-6
50%
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 21.1
34.9
32.2
7
35%
3
8
1
2
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
3-3
3-6
100%
45%
0-6
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 30.9
30.2
18.5
11
71%
5
0
1
0
2
2
2
3
1-4
25%
5-6
4-6
83%
62%
0-0
-
Josh Hart
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.8
28.7
30.3
15
80%
2
1
0
1
2
1
1
1
1-3
33%
4-5
2-3
80%
55%
2-3
67%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 28.3
22.9
11.9
17
71%
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
2-3
57%
50%
3-5
60%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.8
22.0
23.4
8
43%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
3-5
60%
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
1-6
17%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 36.2
17.7
21.7
0
0%
8
1
0
0
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
62%
0-0
-
Svi Mykhailiuk
F · 6'8" 212 · 21.5
9.1
13.2
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-1
0%
Isaac Bonga
G · 6'9" 203 · 19.1
1.0
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.9
3.4
0
1-1
51%
Ivica Zubac
C · 7'1" 240 · 21.7
2.3
0
0-1
52%
Moritz Wagner
F · 7'0" 241 · 21.6
2.2
0
0-1
52%
Johnathan Williams
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.6
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 24.8
Brandon Ingram
F-G · 6'9" 190 · 21.3
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 32.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 33.6
37.4
29.6
6
44%
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-2
0%
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
2-4
50%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 33.6
37.2
31.8
14
55%
1
9
3
2
0
2
1
0
5-6
83%
0-6
4-7
0%
52%
3-4
75%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 29.3
35.5
32.6
50
73%
10
11
2
2
0
6
2
8
18-19
95%
10-14
5-9
71%
53%
4-12
33%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 24.6
35.0
28.7
16
56%
14
1
1
1
2
1
4
10
2-3
67%
7-13
7-11
54%
64%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 30.0
32.6
33.4
13
59%
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
49%
1-4
25%
Danuel House Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 25.5
29.3
16.7
15
84%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
54%
3-5
60%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 32.9
16.4
18.4
6
60%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
2-4
50%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.2
13.1
16.9
6
75%
7
0
0
1
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
56%
0-0
-
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 27.0
3.7
11.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Gary Clark
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.1
5.7
0
0-0
56%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 27.2
2.9
0
0-1
42%
Vincent Edwards
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.7
Isaiah Hartenstein
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 20.6
Zhou Qi
F-C · 7'1" 210 · 22.9
Marquese Chriss
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.4
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 28.5
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.