Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, December 13, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Lakers | 111 | |||
4 | Rockets | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Clippers | 49% | 115 | 87 | |
24 | Spurs | 51% | 116 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Bulls | 91 | |||
25 | Magic | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Mavericks | 65% | 112 | 89 | |
30 | Suns | 35% | 107 | 99 |
Wednesday, December 12, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pistons | 36% | 110 | 107 | |
13 | Hornets | 64% | 115 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Knicks | 106 | |||
27 | Cavaliers | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Bucks | 49% | 111 | 97 | |
10 | Pacers | 51% | 112 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Nets | 127 | |||
8 | 76ers | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Celtics | 64% | 113 | 130 | |
22 | Wizards | 36% | 109 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Trail Blazers | 83 | |||
14 | Grizzlies | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Thunder | 54% | 116 | 114 | |
11 | Pelicans | 46% | 114 | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Hawks | 107 | |||
18 | Mavericks | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Heat | 35% | 103 | 84 | |
9 | Jazz | 65% | 109 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Timberwolves | 130 | |||
24 | Kings | 141 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Raptors | 29% | 111 | 113 | |
1 | Warriors | 71% | 119 | 93 |
Tuesday, December 11, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Trail Blazers | 104 | |||
4 | Rockets | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Suns | 22% | 108 | 86 | |
23 | Spurs | 78% | 119 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Raptors | 123 | |||
12 | Clippers | 99 |
Monday, December 10, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Wizards | 39% | 109 | 101 | |
10 | Pacers | 61% | 113 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pistons | 102 | |||
8 | 76ers | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Pelicans | 43% | 110 | 100 | |
3 | Celtics | 57% | 112 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Kings | 108 | |||
28 | Bulls | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Cavaliers | 14% | 106 | 92 | |
4 | Bucks | 86% | 121 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Jazz | 113 | |||
6 | Thunder | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Magic | 37% | 107 | 76 | |
19 | Mavericks | 63% | 112 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Grizzlies | 99 | |||
7 | Nuggets | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Clippers | 74% | 118 | 123 | |
30 | Suns | 26% | 108 | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Timberwolves | 108 | |||
1 | Warriors | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Heat | 37% | 109 | 105 | |
15 | Lakers | 63% | 114 | 108 |
Sunday, December 9, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Pelicans | 54% | 115 | 116 | |
20 | Pistons | 46% | 114 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Bucks | 104 | |||
2 | Raptors | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Hornets | 68% | 118 | 119 | |
26 | Knicks | 32% | 111 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Jazz | 97 | |||
23 | Spurs | 110 |
Saturday, December 8, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Rockets | 104 | |||
18 | Mavericks | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Kings | 34% | 109 | 97 | |
10 | Pacers | 66% | 115 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Nuggets | 98 | |||
29 | Hawks | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Wizards | 71% | 118 | 101 | |
28 | Cavaliers | 29% | 110 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Nets | 112 | |||
26 | Knicks | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Celtics | 76% | 113 | 133 | |
27 | Bulls | 24% | 103 | 77 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Lakers | 111 | |||
13 | Grizzlies | 88 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Timberwolves | 52% | 114 | 105 | |
17 | Trail Blazers | 48% | 113 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Heat | 121 | |||
11 | Clippers | 98 |
Friday, December 7, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Nuggets | 107 | |||
15 | Hornets | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 76ers | 49% | 111 | 117 | |
21 | Pistons | 51% | 112 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Pacers | 112 | |||
23 | Magic | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Raptors | 72% | 117 | 105 | |
22 | Nets | 28% | 109 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Kings | 129 | |||
27 | Cavaliers | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Thunder | 74% | 114 | 112 | |
28 | Bulls | 26% | 105 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Grizzlies | 107 | |||
10 | Pelicans | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Lakers | 56% | 115 | 120 | |
24 | Spurs | 44% | 113 | 133 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Heat | 115 | |||
30 | Suns | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 51% | 120 | 105 | |
7 | Bucks | 49% | 119 | 95 |
Thursday, December 6, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Knicks | 19% | 104 | 100 | |
4 | Celtics | 81% | 116 | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Suns | 86 | |||
16 | Trail Blazers | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Rockets | 51% | 109 | 91 | |
8 | Jazz | 49% | 108 | 118 |
Wednesday, December 5, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 80% | 121 | 129 | |
27 | Cavaliers | 20% | 109 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Nuggets | 124 | |||
23 | Magic | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Wizards | 60% | 117 | 131 | |
29 | Hawks | 40% | 114 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Thunder | 114 | |||
22 | Nets | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 76ers | 25% | 111 | 102 | |
2 | Raptors | 75% | 120 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Clippers | 86 | |||
14 | Grizzlies | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Pistons | 32% | 110 | 92 | |
6 | Bucks | 68% | 117 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Hornets | 104 | |||
13 | Timberwolves | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Mavericks | 36% | 114 | 106 | |
9 | Pelicans | 64% | 119 | 132 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Spurs | 113 | |||
18 | Lakers | 121 |
Tuesday, December 4, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Bulls | 90 | |||
12 | Pacers | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Magic | 40% | 106 | 105 | |
19 | Heat | 60% | 110 | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Trail Blazers | 102 | |||
17 | Mavericks | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Kings | 60% | 115 | 122 | |
29 | Suns | 40% | 111 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Spurs | 105 | |||
8 | Jazz | 139 |
Monday, December 3, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Thunder | 52% | 111 | 110 | |
15 | Pistons | 48% | 110 | 83 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 128 | |||
30 | Hawks | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Cavaliers | 30% | 107 | 99 | |
21 | Nets | 70% | 114 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Wizards | 110 | |||
25 | Knicks | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Nuggets | 32% | 109 | 106 | |
2 | Raptors | 68% | 116 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Rockets | 91 | |||
14 | Timberwolves | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Clippers | 41% | 116 | 129 | |
9 | Pelicans | 59% | 119 | 126 |
Sunday, December 2, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Suns | 24% | 107 | 96 | |
18 | Lakers | 76% | 117 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Pelicans | 119 | |||
15 | Hornets | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Jazz | 56% | 108 | 100 | |
20 | Heat | 44% | 106 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Grizzlies | 95 | |||
9 | 76ers | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Clippers | 55% | 116 | 110 | |
19 | Mavericks | 45% | 114 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Trail Blazers | 118 | |||
23 | Spurs | 131 |
Saturday, December 1, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Bucks | 134 | |||
25 | Knicks | 136 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Warriors | 64% | 117 | 102 | |
17 | Pistons | 36% | 112 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Raptors | 106 | |||
27 | Cavaliers | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Nets | 44% | 114 | 88 | |
22 | Wizards | 56% | 116 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Bulls | 105 | |||
3 | Rockets | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Celtics | 45% | 109 | 118 | |
14 | Timberwolves | 55% | 111 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Pacers | 110 | |||
26 | Kings | 111 |
Friday, November 30, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Cavaliers | 18% | 102 | 95 | |
5 | Celtics | 82% | 115 | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Jazz | 119 | |||
15 | Hornets | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Bulls | 28% | 105 | 88 | |
16 | Pistons | 72% | 114 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Wizards | 98 | |||
9 | 76ers | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Grizzlies | 52% | 106 | 131 | |
22 | Nets | 48% | 105 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Pelicans | 101 | |||
20 | Heat | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Hawks | 16% | 106 | 109 | |
6 | Thunder | 84% | 120 | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Rockets | 136 | |||
23 | Spurs | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Magic | 54% | 111 | 99 | |
29 | Suns | 46% | 109 | 85 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Mavericks | 103 | |||
18 | Lakers | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Nuggets | 52% | 112 | 113 | |
17 | Trail Blazers | 48% | 111 | 112 |