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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 16, 2018
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Heat41%111102
11Pelicans59%11496
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.3
36
31
22
1
4
3
1
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
7-12
4-8
58%
46%
2-8
25%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.4
23
26
0
8
3
0
1
0
1
4
4
0-0
-
0-5
2-5
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.5
23
17
17
12
0
0
0
3
1
6
6
1-3
33%
8-14
4-6
57%
55%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.8
16
20
3
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
5
1-3
33%
1-2
3-5
50%
54%
0-2
0%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.7
15
29
2
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 27.7
32
25
8
6
1
0
1
0
1
1
5
4-4
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
58%
0-5
0%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 26.6
26
22
15
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
49%
3-8
38%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 21.4
25
26
5
8
5
0
1
1
4
2
6
2-2
100%
0-1
4-7
0%
54%
1-1
100%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 36.9
23
16
19
6
2
0
1
0
5
3
3
4-4
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
3-6
50%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 21.8
21
22
11
8
0
2
1
0
0
5
3
0-3
0%
4-5
2-5
80%
52%
1-2
50%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.0
13
0
0-1
44%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 38.5
2
0
0-0
44%
Yante Maten
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.3
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.0
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 32.6
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 28.5
41
36
22
2
4
3
2
1
3
1
1
2-2
100%
4-11
6-11
36%
55%
4-8
50%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 25.8
39
35
27
12
7
3
2
3
1
3
9
5-6
83%
8-16
10-18
50%
55%
2-3
67%
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.0
30
30
17
10
2
1
1
1
1
2
8
4-5
80%
5-12
7-13
42%
57%
1-1
100%
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 27.7
26
27
10
7
1
1
1
0
0
2
5
1-2
50%
3-4
1-2
75%
45%
1-2
50%
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 28.1
12
31
0
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-1
0%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 29.8
35
20
11
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
54%
3-6
50%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 28.7
31
23
3
2
4
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
55%
1-8
13%
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 24.1
14
5
6
2
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
1-6
17%
Cheick Diallo
F-C · 6'8" 219 · 22.3
7
14
0
0
0
2
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
55%
0-0
-
Frank Jackson
G · 6'3" 205 · 20.6
5
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-1
0%
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 27.8
6
0
1-1
53%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 31.4
4
0
0-0
49%
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 23.0
1
0
0-1
53%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.0
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 24.8
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 27.8
Trevon Bluiett
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.