Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, December 16, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Nets | 144 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Knicks | 99 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Lakers | 48% | 116 | 110 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 17 | Mavericks | 113 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Heat | 41% | 111 | 102 |
 | 11 | Pelicans | 59% | 114 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Raptors | 86 | ||
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Saturday, December 15, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 25 | Magic | 39% | 103 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Lakers | 128 | ||
 | 12 | Hornets | 100 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Celtics | 54% | 109 | 104 |
 | 20 | Pistons | 46% | 107 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Bulls | 30% | 106 | 98 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 5 | Thunder | 110 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Timberwolves | 73% | 117 | 99 |
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Friday, December 14, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hawks | 108 | ||
| 3 | Celtics | 129 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 26% | 111 | 126 |
| 12 | Hornets | 74% | 120 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wizards | 118 | ||
| 21 | Nets | 125 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Bucks | 82% | 118 | 114 |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 18% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 113 | ||
| 10 | 76ers | 101 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 39% | 100 | 100 |
| 15 | Grizzlies | 61% | 104 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Thunder | 98 | ||
| 7 | Nuggets | 109 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 66% | 115 | 122 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 24 | Kings | 125 | ||
Thursday, December 13, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Lakers | 111 | ||
| 4 | Rockets | 126 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 49% | 115 | 87 |
| 24 | Spurs | 51% | 116 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 91 | ||
| 25 | Magic | 97 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Mavericks | 65% | 112 | 89 |
| 30 | Suns | 35% | 107 | 99 |
Wednesday, December 12, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pistons | 36% | 110 | 107 |
| 13 | Hornets | 64% | 115 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 106 | ||
| 27 | Cavaliers | 113 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bucks | 49% | 111 | 97 |
| 10 | Pacers | 51% | 112 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 127 | ||
| 8 | 76ers | 124 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 64% | 113 | 130 |
| 22 | Wizards | 36% | 109 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 83 | ||
| 14 | Grizzlies | 92 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Thunder | 54% | 116 | 114 |
| 11 | Pelicans | 46% | 114 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hawks | 107 | ||
| 18 | Mavericks | 114 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 35% | 103 | 84 |
| 9 | Jazz | 65% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 130 | ||
| 24 | Kings | 141 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 29% | 111 | 113 |
| 1 | Warriors | 71% | 119 | 93 |
Tuesday, December 11, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 104 | ||
| 4 | Rockets | 111 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Suns | 22% | 108 | 86 |
| 23 | Spurs | 78% | 119 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 123 | ||
| 12 | Clippers | 99 | ||
Monday, December 10, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 39% | 109 | 101 |
| 10 | Pacers | 61% | 113 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pistons | 102 | ||
| 8 | 76ers | 116 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pelicans | 43% | 110 | 100 |
| 3 | Celtics | 57% | 112 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 108 | ||
| 28 | Bulls | 89 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 14% | 106 | 92 |
| 4 | Bucks | 86% | 121 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 113 | ||
| 6 | Thunder | 122 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 37% | 107 | 76 |
| 19 | Mavericks | 63% | 112 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Grizzlies | 99 | ||
| 7 | Nuggets | 105 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Clippers | 74% | 118 | 123 |
| 30 | Suns | 26% | 108 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | 108 | ||
| 1 | Warriors | 116 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 37% | 109 | 105 |
| 15 | Lakers | 63% | 114 | 108 |
Sunday, December 9, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pelicans | 54% | 115 | 116 |
| 20 | Pistons | 46% | 114 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bucks | 104 | ||
| 2 | Raptors | 99 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hornets | 68% | 118 | 119 |
| 26 | Knicks | 32% | 111 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 97 | ||
| 23 | Spurs | 110 | ||
Saturday, December 8, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 104 | ||
| 18 | Mavericks | 107 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 34% | 109 | 97 |
| 10 | Pacers | 66% | 115 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 98 | ||
| 29 | Hawks | 106 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 71% | 118 | 101 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 29% | 110 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 112 | ||
| 26 | Knicks | 104 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 76% | 113 | 133 |
| 27 | Bulls | 24% | 103 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Lakers | 111 | ||
| 13 | Grizzlies | 88 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Timberwolves | 52% | 114 | 105 |
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 48% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 121 | ||
| 11 | Clippers | 98 | ||
Friday, December 7, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 107 | ||
| 15 | Hornets | 113 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 76ers | 49% | 111 | 117 |
| 21 | Pistons | 51% | 112 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 112 | ||
| 23 | Magic | 90 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 72% | 117 | 105 |
| 22 | Nets | 28% | 109 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 129 | ||
| 27 | Cavaliers | 110 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Thunder | 74% | 114 | 112 |
| 28 | Bulls | 26% | 105 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Grizzlies | 107 | ||
| 10 | Pelicans | 103 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Lakers | 56% | 115 | 120 |
| 24 | Spurs | 44% | 113 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Heat | 115 | ||
| 30 | Suns | 98 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 51% | 120 | 105 |
| 7 | Bucks | 49% | 119 | 95 |
Thursday, December 6, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 19% | 104 | 100 |
| 4 | Celtics | 81% | 116 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Suns | 86 | ||
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 108 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 51% | 109 | 91 |
| 8 | Jazz | 49% | 108 | 118 |
Wednesday, December 5, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 80% | 121 | 129 |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 20% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 124 | ||
| 23 | Magic | 118 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 60% | 117 | 131 |
| 29 | Hawks | 40% | 114 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Thunder | 114 | ||
| 22 | Nets | 112 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 76ers | 25% | 111 | 102 |
| 2 | Raptors | 75% | 120 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Clippers | 86 | ||
| 14 | Grizzlies | 96 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 32% | 110 | 92 |
| 6 | Bucks | 68% | 117 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hornets | 104 | ||
| 13 | Timberwolves | 121 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Mavericks | 36% | 114 | 106 |
| 9 | Pelicans | 64% | 119 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Spurs | 113 | ||
| 18 | Lakers | 121 | ||
Tuesday, December 4, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 90 | ||
| 12 | Pacers | 96 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 40% | 106 | 105 |
| 19 | Heat | 60% | 110 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 102 | ||
| 17 | Mavericks | 111 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 60% | 115 | 122 |
| 29 | Suns | 40% | 111 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Spurs | 105 | ||
| 8 | Jazz | 139 | ||
Monday, December 3, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Thunder | 52% | 111 | 110 |
| 15 | Pistons | 48% | 110 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 128 | ||
| 30 | Hawks | 111 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 30% | 107 | 99 |
| 21 | Nets | 70% | 114 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wizards | 110 | ||
| 25 | Knicks | 107 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 32% | 109 | 106 |
| 2 | Raptors | 68% | 116 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 91 | ||
| 14 | Timberwolves | 103 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Clippers | 41% | 116 | 129 |
| 9 | Pelicans | 59% | 119 | 126 |