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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 13, 2019
1:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1376ers73%119108
29Knicks27%110105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Simmons
G-F · 6'10" 230 · 22.5
37.0
35.8
20
72%
22
9
0
2
0
2
5
17
0-2
0%
10-13
8-13
77%
58%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 34.6
34.2
26.4
22
67%
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
7-8
88%
3-5
3-5
60%
52%
3-8
38%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.8
32.4
20.7
26
44%
8
1
0
0
6
2
2
6
8-12
67%
9-22
5-9
41%
55%
0-2
0%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 31.7
30.0
23.0
7
60%
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
52%
1-2
50%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 29.3
28.5
33.0
16
50%
8
2
0
2
0
1
3
5
2-2
100%
7-15
6-12
47%
51%
0-0
-
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.8
21.1
27.9
6
75%
2
4
1
2
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
56%
0-0
-
Jonah Bolden
F · 6'10" 220 · 23.0
17.9
15.5
0
0%
9
0
0
0
0
2
0
9
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
59%
0-1
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 27.5
15.6
20.1
6
51%
2
2
2
1
2
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
56%
1-3
33%
Landry Shamet
G · 6'5" 188 · 21.8
14.2
19.3
5
43%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
1-4
25%
Furkan Korkmaz
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 21.5
9.2
16.4
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Shake Milton
G · 6'6" 207 · 22.3
7.7
0
1-1
51%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.1
5.0
0
0-1
52%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 31.7
2.8
0
0-1
59%
Markelle Fultz
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.6
Justin Patton
C · 7'0" 236 · 21.6
Zhaire Smith
G · 6'4" 199 · 19.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Knox
F · 6'9" 212 · 19.4
43.9
28.0
31
63%
7
0
2
1
0
4
0
7
3-4
75%
8-14
3-7
57%
45%
4-9
44%
Damyean Dotson
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.7
36.4
23.8
8
63%
4
5
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-3
67%
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
2-3
67%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.9
27.5
27.8
19
51%
4
4
1
1
0
3
2
2
4-4
100%
6-12
5-10
50%
45%
1-5
20%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.7
19.2
9.8
4
50%
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
42%
0-1
0%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 23.4
18.1
20.9
3
27%
2
1
0
1
2
0
2
0
3-6
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Luke Kornet
F-C · 7'2" 250 · 23.5
33.6
20.0
23
70%
5
5
1
0
0
1
2
3
6-8
75%
4-5
1-2
80%
49%
3-8
38%
Frank Ntilikina
G · 6'5" 190 · 20.5
27.6
8.7
8
34%
2
6
2
0
1
0
1
1
0-2
0%
4-10
1-2
40%
41%
0-1
0%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 23.9
21.9
24.9
9
61%
5
2
2
1
0
0
0
5
3-3
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
49%
0-1
0%
Allonzo Trier
G · 6'5" 198 · 23.0
11.8
17.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 26.8
27.3
1
3-7
50%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 26.2
21.0
1
4-8
47%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.3
4.7
0
0-1
49%
Isaiah Hicks
F · 6'9" 242 · 24.5
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 23.4
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 26.7
Mitchell Robinson
C · 7'1" 225 · 20.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.