Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, January 13, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 29 | Knicks | 27% | 110 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Raptors | 59% | 115 | 140 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Bucks | 76% | 121 | 133 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 25 | Magic | 34% | 105 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 12 | Mavericks | 41% | 113 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 23 | Lakers | 80% | 117 | 95 |
Saturday, January 12, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Pistons | 36% | 110 | 109 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 14 | Heat | 56% | 100 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Celtics | 68% | 110 | 103 |
| 25 | Magic | 32% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Pelicans | 51% | 118 | 106 |
 | 17 | Timberwolves | 49% | 117 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 6 | Thunder | 62% | 114 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 77% | 115 | 93 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Hornets | 38% | 115 | 97 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Bulls | 12% | 96 | 102 |
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Friday, January 11, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hawks | 23% | 109 | 123 |
| 10 | 76ers | 77% | 120 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bucks | 58% | 117 | 106 |
| 19 | Wizards | 42% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 29 | Knicks | 27% | 106 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Nets | 23% | 106 | 105 |
| 2 | Raptors | 77% | 116 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 11% | 103 | 113 |
| 6 | Rockets | 89% | 121 | 141 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Mavericks | 48% | 113 | 119 |
| 18 | Timberwolves | 52% | 114 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Lakers | 26% | 102 | 95 |
| 3 | Jazz | 74% | 111 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 35% | 111 | 96 |
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 65% | 116 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 10% | 103 | 109 |
| 1 | Warriors | 90% | 121 | 146 |
Thursday, January 10, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 51% | 106 | 99 |
| 15 | Heat | 49% | 105 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 34% | 112 | 100 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 66% | 118 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thunder | 55% | 112 | 147 |
| 10 | Spurs | 45% | 111 | 154 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 34% | 110 | 102 |
| 21 | Kings | 66% | 116 | 112 |
Wednesday, January 9, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 33% | 104 | 108 |
| 4 | Celtics | 67% | 110 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 76ers | 54% | 116 | 106 |
| 20 | Wizards | 46% | 114 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hawks | 26% | 108 | 100 |
| 19 | Nets | 74% | 117 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bucks | 49% | 114 | 116 |
| 8 | Rockets | 51% | 115 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spurs | 51% | 105 | 86 |
| 17 | Grizzlies | 49% | 104 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 10% | 106 | 124 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 90% | 124 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 18% | 104 | 94 |
| 13 | Mavericks | 82% | 117 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 20% | 99 | 93 |
| 3 | Jazz | 80% | 110 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 22% | 102 | 112 |
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 78% | 113 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 45% | 107 | 100 |
| 23 | Lakers | 55% | 109 | 113 |
Tuesday, January 8, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 81% | 114 | 123 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 19% | 102 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 35% | 111 | 115 |
| 11 | 76ers | 65% | 116 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 49% | 107 | 103 |
| 16 | Heat | 51% | 108 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hawks | 15% | 107 | 101 |
| 2 | Raptors | 85% | 122 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Timberwolves | 33% | 109 | 119 |
| 6 | Thunder | 67% | 115 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 57% | 116 | 111 |
| 29 | Suns | 43% | 113 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 7% | 107 | 95 |
| 1 | Warriors | 93% | 128 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 35% | 114 | 109 |
| 15 | Clippers | 65% | 120 | 128 |
Monday, January 7, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spurs | 57% | 112 | 119 |
| 21 | Pistons | 43% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 24% | 105 | 95 |
| 6 | Celtics | 76% | 115 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 49% | 112 | 113 |
| 8 | Rockets | 51% | 113 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jazz | 44% | 110 | 102 |
| 4 | Bucks | 56% | 113 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Grizzlies | 43% | 106 | 95 |
| 16 | Pelicans | 57% | 108 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Lakers | 31% | 107 | 107 |
| 17 | Mavericks | 69% | 114 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 24% | 109 | 101 |
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 76% | 119 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 35% | 110 | 95 |
| 22 | Kings | 65% | 116 | 111 |
Sunday, January 6, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 61% | 110 | 117 |
| 28 | Bulls | 39% | 107 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Lakers | 39% | 110 | 86 |
| 18 | Timberwolves | 61% | 114 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 30% | 109 | 96 |
| 14 | Clippers | 70% | 116 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 68% | 114 | 82 |
| 29 | Hawks | 32% | 107 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 28% | 108 | 116 |
| 6 | Thunder | 72% | 116 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pacers | 49% | 107 | 105 |
| 8 | Raptors | 51% | 108 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 49% | 114 | 119 |
| 26 | Suns | 51% | 115 | 113 |
Saturday, January 5, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 24% | 107 | 110 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 76% | 117 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jazz | 59% | 108 | 110 |
| 21 | Pistons | 41% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Mavericks | 34% | 110 | 100 |
| 11 | 76ers | 66% | 116 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pelicans | 77% | 120 | 133 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 23% | 110 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Raptors | 49% | 113 | 123 |
| 7 | Bucks | 51% | 114 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Grizzlies | 32% | 101 | 88 |
| 10 | Spurs | 68% | 108 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 51% | 112 | 101 |
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 111 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 70% | 122 | 127 |
| 22 | Kings | 30% | 115 | 123 |
Friday, January 4, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jazz | 84% | 114 | 117 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 16% | 100 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Mavericks | 38% | 105 | 93 |
| 10 | Celtics | 62% | 110 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 37% | 106 | 109 |
| 12 | Heat | 63% | 111 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pacers | 77% | 109 | 119 |
| 29 | Bulls | 23% | 98 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 38% | 102 | 109 |
| 13 | Grizzlies | 62% | 106 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 33% | 107 | 103 |
| 15 | Timberwolves | 67% | 113 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 17% | 109 | 112 |
| 5 | Bucks | 83% | 122 | 144 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 64% | 118 | 121 |
| 26 | Suns | 36% | 113 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Knicks | 30% | 108 | 119 |
| 23 | Lakers | 70% | 115 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Thunder | 54% | 111 | 111 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 46% | 110 | 109 |
Thursday, January 3, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 54% | 113 | 107 |
| 9 | Spurs | 46% | 112 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 60% | 117 | 117 |
| 22 | Kings | 40% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rockets | 26% | 110 | 135 |
| 1 | Warriors | 74% | 119 | 134 |
Wednesday, January 2, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Mavericks | 48% | 113 | 122 |
| 22 | Hornets | 52% | 114 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 72% | 110 | 117 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 28% | 102 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 33% | 112 | 98 |
| 19 | Wizards | 67% | 118 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pelicans | 48% | 115 | 121 |
| 23 | Nets | 52% | 116 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Timberwolves | 37% | 107 | 102 |
| 8 | Celtics | 63% | 111 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 49% | 104 | 112 |
| 26 | Bulls | 51% | 105 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 28% | 98 | 101 |
| 11 | Grizzlies | 72% | 106 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 76ers | 59% | 114 | 132 |
| 27 | Suns | 41% | 111 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Thunder | 59% | 111 | 107 |
| 20 | Lakers | 41% | 108 | 100 |
Tuesday, January 1, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jazz | 45% | 106 | 116 |
| 5 | Raptors | 55% | 107 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 28% | 108 | 98 |
| 4 | Bucks | 72% | 116 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 15% | 105 | 108 |
| 3 | Nuggets | 85% | 119 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 117 | 113 |
| 22 | Kings | 49% | 116 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 76ers | 46% | 116 | 119 |
| 16 | Clippers | 54% | 117 | 113 |
Monday, December 31, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 19% | 104 | 108 |
| 9 | Pacers | 81% | 117 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 30% | 106 | 100 |
| 13 | Hornets | 70% | 114 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 37% | 101 | 101 |
| 7 | Rockets | 63% | 106 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 54% | 112 | 111 |
| 10 | Spurs | 46% | 110 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 43% | 114 | 114 |
| 18 | Pelicans | 57% | 116 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Mavericks | 33% | 108 | 102 |
| 8 | Thunder | 67% | 114 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 81% | 120 | 132 |
| 27 | Suns | 19% | 108 | 109 |