FinalWin Prob.pScore
160%117
119
1240%113
114
ORTG#PossPace
GSW logo GSW
125.39597.6
DAL logo DAL
120.09592.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventGSWDAL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.119
100%
114
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.12 56.1%
DAL
1.10 54.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
GSW
15
25
60%
DAL
17
34
50%
Midrange
GSW
11
29
38%
DAL
5
19
26%
3PT | Effective 3PT
GSW
19
28.5
45
42%
63%
DAL
16
24.0
38
42%
63%
Free Throws
GSW
10
12
83%
DAL
22
29
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Curry4877%24.0 / 31
K. Durant2858%14.0 / 24
K. Thompson1644%8.0 / 18
A. McKinnie10167%5.0 / 3
A. Iguodala660%3.0 / 5
D. Green433%2.0 / 6
J. Jerebko338%1.5 / 4
K. Looney233%1.0 / 3
S. Livingston250%1.0 / 2
J. Bell0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dončić2665%13.0 / 20
H. Barnes2269%11.0 / 16
D. Jordan1365%6.5 / 10
J. Brunson1255%6.0 / 11
D. Harris9113%4.5 / 4
W. Matthews836%4.0 / 11
D. Powell850%4.0 / 8
D. Finney-Smith750%3.5 / 7
M. Kleber638%3.0 / 8
D. Nowitzki350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

GSW
85
+20
-10
105
DAL
83
+21
-12
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.12 56.1%
DAL
1.10 54.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
115.5
109.2
GSW 125.3 +5.3
DAL 120.0
Pace
101.3
99.1
GSW 97.6 +5.0
DAL 92.6
Avg. Poss. Time
13.9
14.8
GSW 14.8 +0.8
DAL 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.4%
51.8%
GSW 55.1% +4.6%
DAL 50.5%
TO %
13.5%
13.6%
GSW 8.8% +1.6%
DAL 10.4%
ORB %
22.5%
22.6%
GSW 32.7%
DAL 35.3% +2.6%
FTrt
22.7
29.1
GSW 12.1
DAL 31.9 +19.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.8%
60.3%
GSW 57.8% +2.5%
DAL 55.3%
STL %
7.4%
6.5%
GSW 9.5% +4.2%
DAL 5.3%
BLK %
11.3%
7.6%
GSW 15.1% +7.7%
DAL 7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
58.3%
54.2%
GSW 56.1% +1.3%
DAL 54.8%
Rim FG%
66.3%
62.0%
GSW 60.0% +10.0%
DAL 50.0%
Mid FG%
45.8%
39.0%
GSW 37.9% +11.6%
DAL 26.3%
3P %
38.5%
34.0%
GSW 42.2% +0.1%
DAL 42.1%
FT %
80.1%
74.2%
GSW 83.3% +7.4%
DAL 75.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
33.8%
GSW 25.3%
DAL 37.4% +12.1%
Mid Att. %
32.0%
24.0%
GSW 29.3%
DAL 20.9% +8.4%
3P Att. %
38.4%
42.2%
GSW 45.5% +3.7%
DAL 41.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.
Game TotalsGSWDAL
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points119114
Rebounds4951
Assists2621
Steals95
Blocks84
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)12 (0)
Fouls2214
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (4)18 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (4)33 (1)
Field Goals45-9938-91
At-the-Rim FG15-2517-34
Midrange FG11-295-19
2-Point FG26-5422-53
3-Point FG19-4516-38
Free Throws10-1222-29
Fast Break Pts2521
2nd Chance Pts1618
Points in Paint3436
Pts off Turnovers137
Bench Points2139
Biggest Lead108

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#35 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 30
38.0
28
58%
7
5
1
2
2
2
0
7
6-7
86%
8-17
47%
2-4
50%
#30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 31
36.9
48
77%
6
5
1
2
0
5
3
3
3-3
100%
6-13
46%
11-19
58%
#11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 29
33.9
16
44%
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
5-9
56%
2-11
18%
#23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 29
32.3
4
33%
6
7
1
1
3
4
1
5
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-3
0%
#5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 23
16.9
2
33%
5
1
2
0
1
4
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
#9 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 35
30.0
6
60%
7
6
3
0
1
0
2
5
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
#28 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26
16.3
10
167%
5
0
0
1
1
2
3
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
#34 · PG · 6'7" 192 · 33
14.2
2
50%
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#21 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 32
13.7
3
38%
8
0
0
0
2
1
4
4
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-1
100%
#2 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 24
7.9
0
0%
1
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
#4 · PG · 6'2" 179 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
#10 · SG · 6'6" 199 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#1 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#15 · C · 7'0" 245 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Pectoral Surgery
#32 · PF · 6'7" 249 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#0 · C · 6'11" 270 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Achilles Rehab
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
119
56%
49
26
9
8
10
22
16
33
10-12
83%
26-54
48%
19-45
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.