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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 13, 2019
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Warriors59%116119
12Mavericks41%113114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.3
38.0
30.1
28
58%
7
5
1
1
2
2
0
7
6-7
86%
8-17
6-11
47%
56%
2-4
50%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.8
36.9
30.2
48
72%
6
5
1
1
2
0
3
3
3-3
100%
6-13
4-7
46%
55%
11-19
58%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 28.9
33.9
29.6
16
40%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
5-9
5-9
56%
51%
2-11
18%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.9
32.4
26.4
4
33%
6
7
1
1
1
3
1
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
53%
0-3
0%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
16.9
23.2
2
33%
5
1
2
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
60%
0-1
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 35.0
30.0
21.2
6
61%
7
6
3
1
0
1
2
5
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
57%
1-3
33%
Alfonzo McKinnie
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.3
16.3
16.1
10
100%
5
0
0
0
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
52%
2-3
67%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 33.3
14.2
10.2
2
50%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 31.9
13.7
18.0
3
38%
8
0
0
0
0
2
4
4
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
54%
1-1
100%
Jordan Bell
C-F · 6'9" 224 · 24.0
7.9
11.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
56%
0-0
-
Quinn Cook
G · 6'2" 179 · 25.8
16.4
0
2-4
52%
Jacob Evans
G · 6'6" 199 · 21.6
3.3
0
0-1
48%
Damion Lee
G · 6'6" 210 · 26.2
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 23.5
Marcus Derrickson
F · 6'7" 249 · 22.9
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.6
36.8
31.8
22
62%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
6-6
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
49%
4-10
40%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 19.9
31.9
32.0
26
60%
6
5
1
1
0
5
0
6
5-8
63%
3-8
5-9
38%
50%
5-10
50%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.5
30.5
29.1
13
64%
14
3
0
1
0
0
7
7
3-5
60%
5-8
4-6
63%
65%
0-0
-
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 27.0
26.5
23.8
6
38%
8
0
1
1
1
2
3
5
2-2
100%
2-6
2-3
33%
60%
0-1
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.2
23.5
25.6
8
36%
2
5
0
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
2-6
33%
Jalen Brunson
G · 6'2" 198 · 22.4
29.8
13.8
12
51%
4
1
0
0
1
2
1
3
4-4
100%
1-7
2-3
14%
49%
2-3
67%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.7
26.1
18.8
7
50%
7
2
2
1
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
53%
1-3
33%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 27.5
17.0
17.0
8
48%
3
1
1
1
0
0
2
1
2-3
67%
3-6
3-4
50%
65%
0-1
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.9
10.8
7.6
9
83%
1
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-1
0%
3-3
1-1
100%
50%
1-2
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40.6
7.1
11.5
3
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Ryan Broekhoff
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.4
3.6
0
0-0
53%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 32.6
2.4
0
0-1
61%
Daryl Macon
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.1
0.5
0
0-0
44%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 34.5
Kostas Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 195 · 21.1
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 21.1
Ray Spalding
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.