FinalWin Prob.pScore
1441%109
113
659%112
116
ORTG#PossPace
POR logo POR
116.59795.2
DEN logo DEN
120.89697.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsBlazersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsBlazersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPORDEN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.113
0%
116
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR
1.12 55.9%
DEN
1.26 63.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
POR
16
23
70%
DEN
22
35
63%
Midrange
POR
12
31
39%
DEN
14
24
58%
3PT | Effective 3PT
POR
12
18.0
34
35%
53%
DEN
9
13.5
22
41%
61%
Free Throws
POR
21
22
95%
DEN
17
20
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
POR logo Blazers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Lillard2657%13.0 / 23
C. McCollum1847%9.0 / 19
J. Layman13108%6.5 / 6
E. Turner1381%6.5 / 8
J. Nurkić1246%6.0 / 13
A. Aminu956%4.5 / 8
Z. Collins8100%4.0 / 4
M. Leonard788%3.5 / 4
S. Curry467%2.0 / 3
N. Stauskas350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić4080%20.0 / 25
J. Murray2467%12.0 / 18
M. Beasley1372%6.5 / 9
P. Millsap1169%5.5 / 8
M. Morris10100%5.0 / 5
M. Plumlee857%4.0 / 7
W. Barton750%3.5 / 7
T. Craig338%1.5 / 4
J. Hernangomez0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

POR
88
+13
-9
101
DEN
85
+6
-11
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR
1.12 55.9%
DEN
1.26 63.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.2
112.6
POR 116.5
DEN 120.8 +4.3
Pace
99.5
98.0
POR 95.2
DEN 97.8 +2.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
14.7
POR 15.1
DEN 14.7 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.8%
52.7%
POR 52.3%
DEN 61.1% +8.8%
TO %
13.2%
13.1%
POR 8.4% +3.4%
DEN 11.8%
ORB %
26.6%
26.6%
POR 20.5% +9.1%
DEN 11.4%
FTrt
25.8
23.2
POR 25.0 +0.3
DEN 24.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
65.3%
POR 62.5% +15.8%
DEN 46.7%
STL %
6.6%
7.9%
POR 5.2%
DEN 5.2%
BLK %
8.3%
8.2%
POR 1.7% +1.7%
DEN 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.6%
54.5%
POR 55.9%
DEN 63.0% +7.1%
Rim FG%
59.0%
59.6%
POR 69.6% +6.7%
DEN 62.9%
Mid FG%
42.5%
43.3%
POR 38.7%
DEN 58.3% +19.6%
3P %
35.9%
35.1%
POR 35.3%
DEN 40.9% +5.6%
FT %
81.4%
75.5%
POR 95.5% +10.5%
DEN 85.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.1%
37.5%
POR 26.1%
DEN 43.2% +17.1%
Mid Att. %
27.0%
27.7%
POR 35.2%
DEN 29.6% +5.6%
3P Att. %
33.9%
34.8%
POR 38.6% +11.5%
DEN 27.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsPORDEN
Possessions9796
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points113116
Rebounds3935
Assists2521
Steals55
Blocks10
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)11 (1)
Fouls2220
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (5)4 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)31 (5)
Field Goals40-8845-81
At-the-Rim FG16-2322-35
Midrange FG12-3114-24
2-Point FG28-5436-59
3-Point FG12-349-22
Free Throws21-2217-20
Fast Break Pts34
2nd Chance Pts168
Points in Paint4256
Pts off Turnovers1015
Bench Points3525
Biggest Lead910

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 28
38.0
26
57%
4
7
0
0
2
1
1
3
8-8
100%
6-11
55%
2-10
20%
#3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27
37.2
18
47%
3
3
0
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-9
33%
4-10
40%
#8 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28
34.3
9
56%
12
2
1
0
1
2
3
9
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
#27 · C · 7'0" 290 · 24
25.4
12
46%
8
4
3
1
2
5
3
5
2-2
100%
5-14
36%
0-0
-
#10 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 25
18.4
13
108%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
#1 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 30
27.8
13
81%
2
5
0
0
0
4
0
2
5-6
83%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
#31 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 28
19.1
4
67%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
#11 · PF · 7'1" 255 · 27
17.9
7
88%
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
#33 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 21
14.1
8
100%
3
1
0
0
1
4
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
#6 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25
7.8
3
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
#4 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 26
DND - Injury/Illness | Left Knee
#24 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 20
DNP - Coach's Decision
#9 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 20
DNP - Coach's Decision
#50 · PF · 6'8" 250 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
#2 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
56%
39
25
5
1
9
22
8
31
21-22
95%
28-54
52%
12-34
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.