Final Win Prob. pScore
1647%105
93
1753%106
98
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
97.99594.9
DET logo Pistons
103.29595.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.93
0%
98
100%
Q4 - HeatHeat offensive rebound93
98
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot93
98
Q4 - PistonsBlake Griffin makes regular free throw 2 of 293
98
Q4 - PistonsBlake Griffin makes regular free throw 1 of 293
97
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Blake Griffin draws the foul)93
96
Q4 - PistonsBlake Griffin defensive rebound93
96
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot93
96
Q4 - Pistons lineup change (Blake Griffin, Stanley Johnson, Bruce Brown, Reggie Bullock, Reggie Jackson)93
96
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Dwyane Wade, Tyler Johnson, Kelly Olynyk, Rodney McGruder)93
96
Q4 - Heat 60 second timeout93
96
Q4 - PistonsReggie Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 293
96
Q4 - Pistons lineup change (Blake Griffin, Bruce Brown, Reggie Bullock, Zaza Pachulia, Reggie Jackson)93
95
Q4 - PistonsReggie Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 293
95
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Reggie Jackson draws the foul)93
94
Q4 - Pistons lineup change (Blake Griffin, Luke Kennard, Langston Galloway, Reggie Bullock, Reggie Jackson)93
94
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Dwyane Wade, Rodney McGruder, James Johnson, Bam Adebayo)93
94
Q4 - Pistons 60 second timeout93
94
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point reverse layup93
94
Q4 - Pistons lineup change (Blake Griffin, Bruce Brown, Reggie Bullock, Zaza Pachulia, Reggie Jackson)91
94
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Dwyane Wade, Tyler Johnson, Rodney McGruder, Bam Adebayo)91
94
Q4 - Heat 60 second timeout91
94
Q4 - PistonsZaza Pachulia makes two point putback layup91
94
Q4 - PistonsZaza Pachulia offensive rebound91
92
Q4 - PistonsBlake Griffin misses two point putback layup91
92
Q4 - PistonsBlake Griffin offensive rebound91
92
Q4 - PistonsBlake Griffin misses two point putback layup91
92
Q4 - PistonsBlake Griffin offensive rebound91
92
Q4 - PistonsBlake Griffin misses two point driving layup91
92
Q4 - Pistons lineup change (Blake Griffin, Luke Kennard, Reggie Bullock, Zaza Pachulia, Reggie Jackson)91
92
Q4 - Pistons 60 second timeout91
92
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point driving layup91
92
Q4 - PistonsBlake Griffin makes regular free throw 2 of 289
92
Q4 - Pistons lineup change (Blake Griffin, Bruce Brown, Reggie Bullock, Zaza Pachulia, Reggie Jackson)89
91
Q4 - PistonsBlake Griffin makes regular free throw 1 of 289
91
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade personal foul (Blake Griffin draws the foul)89
90
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Reggie Jackson draws the foul)89
90
Q4 - PistonsZaza Pachulia defensive rebound89
90
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point driving hook shot89
90
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound89
90
Q4 - PistonsBlake Griffin misses three point jump shot89
90
Q4 - HeatRodney McGruder makes three point jump shot89
90
Q4 - HeatRodney McGruder offensive rebound86
90
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot86
90
Q4 - PistonsReggie Bullock makes three point jump shot (Blake Griffin assists)86
90
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point floating jump shot86
87
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound84
87
Q4 - PistonsBlake Griffin misses two point turnaround hook shot84
87
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point layup (Dwyane Wade assists)84
87
Q4 - PistonsReggie Bullock makes two point jump shot (Reggie Jackson assists)82
87
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)82
85
Q4 - PistonsZaza Pachulia personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)80
85
Q4 - PistonsReggie Bullock makes two point finger roll layup (Blake Griffin assists)80
85
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop layup (Dwyane Wade assists)80
83
Q4 - PistonsBlake Griffin makes two point turnaround hook shot78
83
Q4 - Pistons lineup change (Blake Griffin, Luke Kennard, Reggie Bullock, Zaza Pachulia, Reggie Jackson)78
81
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Dwyane Wade, Rodney McGruder, James Johnson, Bam Adebayo)78
81
Q4 - Pistons 60 second timeout78
81
Q4 - PistonsReggie Bullock defensive rebound78
81
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point step back jump shot78
81
Q4 - PistonsLuke Kennard makes three point jump shot (Stanley Johnson assists)78
81
Q4 - PistonsReggie Jackson defensive rebound78
78
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point driving layup78
78
Q4 - PistonsReggie Jackson makes three point jump shot (Luke Kennard assists)78
78
Q4 - PistonsStanley Johnson defensive rebound78
75
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot78
75
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound78
75
Q4 - PistonsReggie Jackson misses two point layup78
75
Q4 - HeatTyler Johnson makes two point driving layup (Rodney McGruder assists)78
75
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound76
75
Q4 - PistonsBlake Griffin misses three point jump shot76
75
Q4 - PistonsLuke Kennard defensive rebound76
75
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses regular free throw 1 of 176
75
Q4 - Pistons lineup change (Blake Griffin, Luke Kennard, Stanley Johnson, Reggie Bullock, Reggie Jackson)76
75
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Tyler Johnson, Kelly Olynyk, Rodney McGruder, Bam Adebayo)76
75
Q4 - PistonsZaza Pachulia shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)76
75
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point layup (Dwyane Wade assists)76
75
Q4 - PistonsStanley Johnson makes three point jump shot (Reggie Jackson assists)74
75
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point jump shot74
72
Q4 - PistonsStanley Johnson makes two point driving layup72
72
Q4 - PistonsStanley Johnson defensive rebound72
70
Q4 - HeatTyler Johnson misses two point hook shot72
70
Q4 - Heat 60 second timeout72
70
Q4 - PistonsLuke Kennard makes three point jump shot (Stanley Johnson assists)72
70
Q4 - PistonsReggie Jackson defensive rebound72
67
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point driving layup72
67
Q4 - PistonsLuke Kennard turnover (bad pass) (Justise Winslow steals)72
67
Q4 - PistonsLuke Kennard offensive rebound72
67
Q4 - PistonsLuke Kennard misses two point jump shot72
67
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade turnover (bad pass) (Luke Kennard steals)72
67
Q4 - PistonsReggie Jackson turnover (offensive foul)72
67
Q4 - PistonsReggie Jackson offensive foul (Tyler Johnson draws the foul)72
67
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 172
67
Q4 - PistonsReggie Jackson shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)71
67
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop layup (Tyler Johnson assists)71
67
Q4 - PistonsLuke Kennard makes regular free throw 2 of 269
67
Q4 - PistonsLuke Kennard makes regular free throw 1 of 269
66
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (Luke Kennard draws the foul)69
65
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade turnover (out of bounds bad pass)69
65
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound69
65
Q4 - PistonsReggie Bullock misses three point jump shot69
65
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade personal foul (Zaza Pachulia draws the foul)69
65
Q4 - PistonsStanley Johnson defensive rebound69
65
Q4 - HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot69
65
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound69
65
Q4 - PistonsReggie Jackson misses two point jump shot69
65
Q4 - Pistons lineup change (Luke Kennard, Stanley Johnson, Reggie Bullock, Zaza Pachulia, Reggie Jackson)69
65
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Dwyane Wade, Tyler Johnson, Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo)69
65
Q3 - End of 3rd Quarter.69
65
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)69
65
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Charge) (Blake Griffin draws the foul)69
65
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound69
65
Q3 - PistonsBam Adebayo blocks Stanley Johnson's two point reverse layup69
65
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson makes two point dunk (Rodney McGruder assists)69
65
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound67
65
Q3 - HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot67
65
Q3 - HeatTyler Johnson defensive rebound67
65
Q3 - PistonsLuke Kennard misses two point turnaround jump shot67
65
Q3 - HeatTyler Johnson makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)67
65
Q3 - HeatTyler Johnson defensive rebound64
65
Q3 - PistonsLangston Galloway misses three point jump shot64
65
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point reverse layup (James Johnson assists)64
65
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound62
65
Q3 - PistonsLuke Kennard misses three point jump shot62
65
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point layup (Rodney McGruder assists)62
65
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)60
65
Q3 - HeatHeat defensive rebound60
65
Q3 - PistonsStanley Johnson misses three point jump shot60
65
Q3 - Pistons lineup change (Blake Griffin, Luke Kennard, Langston Galloway, Stanley Johnson, Jose Calderon)60
65
Q3 - Heat 60 second timeout60
65
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder personal foul (Stanley Johnson draws the foul)60
65
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade turnover (out of bounds bad pass)60
65
Q3 - PistonsLuke Kennard turnover (traveling)60
65
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)60
65
Q3 - PistonsBlake Griffin makes two point hook shot57
65
Q3 - Pistons lineup change (Blake Griffin, Luke Kennard, Langston Galloway, Stanley Johnson, Reggie Jackson)57
63
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Tyler Johnson, Rodney McGruder, James Johnson, Bam Adebayo)57
63
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson turnover (offensive foul)57
63
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson offensive foul (Reggie Bullock draws the foul)57
63
Q3 - PistonsLuke Kennard makes two point jump shot (Blake Griffin assists)57
63
Q3 - PistonsZaza Pachulia offensive rebound57
61
Q3 - PistonsReggie Jackson misses two point floating jump shot57
61
Q3 - PistonsZaza Pachulia offensive rebound57
61
Q3 - PistonsBlake Griffin misses three point jump shot57
61
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)57
61
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)57
61
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Hassan Whiteside, Tyler Johnson, Rodney McGruder, James Johnson)57
61
Q3 - PistonsBlake Griffin turnover (double dribble)57
61
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson makes three point jump shot (Rodney McGruder assists)57
61
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound54
61
Q3 - PistonsLuke Kennard misses two point jump shot54
61
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson turnover (lost ball) (Blake Griffin steals)54
61
Q3 - PistonsZaza Pachulia personal foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)54
61
Q3 - HeatHeat offensive rebound54
61
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses flagrant free throw 2 of 254
61
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses flagrant free throw 1 of 254
61
Q3 - PistonsZaza Pachulia flagrant 1 (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)54
61
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound54
61
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot54
61
Q3 - PistonsBlake Griffin turnover (offensive foul)54
61
Q3 - PistonsBlake Griffin offensive foul (Charge) (Justise Winslow draws the foul)54
61
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder turnover (bad pass) (Zaza Pachulia steals)54
61
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)54
61
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound54
61
Q3 - PistonsBlake Griffin misses two point jump shot54
61
Q3 - PistonsZaza Pachulia defensive rebound54
61
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point driving layup54
61
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound54
61
Q3 - PistonsReggie Jackson misses three point jump shot54
61
Q3 - Pistons lineup change (Blake Griffin, Luke Kennard, Reggie Bullock, Zaza Pachulia, Reggie Jackson)54
61
Q3 - Pistons 60 second timeout54
61
Q3 - HeatTyler Johnson makes three point jump shot (James Johnson assists)54
61
Q3 - PistonsReggie Bullock personal foul (Loose ball) (Justise Winslow draws the foul)51
61
Q3 - HeatHeat offensive rebound51
61
Q3 - HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot51
61
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound51
61
Q3 - PistonsHassan Whiteside blocks Reggie Bullock's two point driving layup51
61
Q3 - HeatTyler Johnson makes three point jump shot (James Johnson assists)51
61
Q3 - PistonsReggie Jackson personal foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)48
61
Q3 - PistonsBlake Griffin makes three point step back jump shot48
61
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (James Johnson assists)48
58
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound45
58
Q3 - PistonsBlake Griffin misses two point jump shot45
58
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder turnover (out of bounds step)45
58
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound45
58
Q3 - PistonsZaza Pachulia misses two point jump shot45
58
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point putback dunk45
58
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound43
58
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder misses two point floating jump shot43
58
Q3 - PistonsBlake Griffin turnover (out of bounds bad pass)43
58
Q3 - PistonsBlake Griffin defensive rebound43
58
Q3 - HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot43
58
Q3 - PistonsBlake Griffin makes regular free throw 2 of 243
58
Q3 - PistonsBlake Griffin makes regular free throw 1 of 243
57
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside shooting foul (Blake Griffin draws the foul)43
56
Q3 - PistonsBruce Brown defensive rebound43
56
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point floating jump shot43
56
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)43
56
Q3 - PistonsBruce Brown turnover (bad pass) (Rodney McGruder steals)43
56
Q3 - HeatTyler Johnson makes two point reverse layup (James Johnson assists)43
56
Q3 - PistonsBlake Griffin makes regular free throw 1 of 141
56
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow shooting foul (Blake Griffin draws the foul)41
55
Q3 - PistonsBlake Griffin makes two point layup (Reggie Bullock assists)41
55
Q3 - PistonsBlake Griffin defensive rebound41
53
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot41
53
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound41
53
Q3 - PistonsReggie Bullock misses three point jump shot41
53
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point putback layup41
53
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound39
53
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point floating jump shot39
53
Q3 - Pistons lineup change (Blake Griffin, Bruce Brown, Reggie Bullock, Zaza Pachulia, Reggie Jackson)39
53
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Hassan Whiteside, Tyler Johnson, Rodney McGruder, James Johnson)39
53
Q2 - End of 1st Half.39
53
Q2 - PistonsBlake Griffin defensive rebound39
53
Q2 - HeatJames Johnson misses two point floating jump shot39
53
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson defensive rebound39
53
Q2 - PistonsLuke Kennard misses three point jump shot39
53
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point dunk (Tyler Johnson assists)39
53
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound37
53
Q2 - PistonsBlake Griffin misses two point driving layup37
53
Q2 - PistonsZaza Pachulia defensive rebound37
53
Q2 - HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot37
53
Q2 - PistonsBlake Griffin makes three point jump shot37
53
Q2 - PistonsReggie Jackson defensive rebound37
50
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 2 of 237
50
Q2 - Pistons lineup change (Blake Griffin, Luke Kennard, Bruce Brown, Zaza Pachulia, Reggie Jackson)37
50
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 1 of 237
50
Q2 - PistonsStanley Johnson personal foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)37
50
Q2 - PistonsLuke Kennard makes two point jump shot (Blake Griffin assists)37
50
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point driving layup37
48
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound35
48
Q2 - PistonsReggie Bullock misses three point jump shot35
48
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)35
48
Q2 - PistonsReggie Jackson makes two point step back jump shot32
48
Q2 - James Johnson kicked ball violation32
46
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Dwyane Wade, Hassan Whiteside, Tyler Johnson, James Johnson)32
46
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow turnover (out of bounds bad pass)32
46
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound32
46
Q2 - PistonsBlake Griffin misses three point jump shot32
46
Q2 - PistonsReggie Jackson defensive rebound32
46
Q2 - HeatWayne Ellington misses three point jump shot32
46
Q2 - PistonsReggie Bullock makes two point layup (Blake Griffin assists)32
46
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 232
44
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Wayne Ellington, Hassan Whiteside, Tyler Johnson, James Johnson)31
44
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 231
44
Q2 - PistonsReggie Jackson personal foul (Tyler Johnson draws the foul)31
44
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound31
44
Q2 - PistonsDerrick Jones Jr. blocks Blake Griffin's two point driving layup31
44
Q2 - PistonsBlake Griffin defensive rebound31
44
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point driving hook shot31
44
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound31
44
Q2 - PistonsReggie Jackson misses two point jump shot31
44
Q2 - PistonsLuke Kennard defensive rebound31
44
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point floating jump shot31
44
Q2 - PistonsStanley Johnson makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Luke Kennard assists)31
44
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Wayne Ellington assists)31
42
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound28
42
Q2 - PistonsReggie Bullock misses regular free throw 3 of 328
42
Q2 - PistonsReggie Bullock makes regular free throw 2 of 328
42
Q2 - PistonsReggie Bullock makes regular free throw 1 of 328
41
Q2 - HeatWayne Ellington shooting foul (Reggie Bullock draws the foul)28
40
Q2 - PistonsBlake Griffin defensive rebound28
40
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 2 of 228
40
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 1 of 228
40
Q2 - PistonsReggie Bullock shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)28
40
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound28
40
Q2 - PistonsLuke Kennard misses three point jump shot28
40
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 228
40
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 227
40
Q2 - PistonsBlake Griffin shooting foul (Tyler Johnson draws the foul)26
40
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound26
40
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point putback layup26
40
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson offensive rebound26
40
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson misses two point floating jump shot26
40
Q2 - PistonsBlake Griffin makes two point driving layup (Luke Kennard assists)26
40
Q2 - Pistons lineup change (Blake Griffin, Luke Kennard, Stanley Johnson, Reggie Bullock, Reggie Jackson)26
38
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Wayne Ellington, Hassan Whiteside, Tyler Johnson, Derrick Jones Jr.)26
38
Q2 - Pistons 60 second timeout26
38
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point layup26
38
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson defensive rebound24
38
Q2 - PistonsLangston Galloway misses two point layup24
38
Q2 - PistonsLangston Galloway offensive rebound24
38
Q2 - PistonsTyler Johnson blocks Langston Galloway's two point layup24
38
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade turnover (out of bounds bad pass)24
38
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound24
38
Q2 - PistonsLangston Galloway misses three point jump shot24
38
Q2 - PistonsStanley Johnson defensive rebound24
38
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot24
38
Q2 - HeatHeat defensive rebound24
38
Q2 - PistonsDion Waiters blocks Jose Calderon's two point driving layup24
38
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (offensive foul)24
38
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk offensive foul (Luke Kennard draws the foul)24
38
Q2 - PistonsStanley Johnson makes three point jump shot (Zaza Pachulia assists)24
38
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Zaza Pachulia draws the foul)24
35
Q2 - PistonsStanley Johnson defensive rebound24
35
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses regular free throw 2 of 224
35
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Dion Waiters, Tyler Johnson, Derrick Jones Jr., Kelly Olynyk)24
35
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 224
35
Q2 - PistonsStanley Johnson shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)23
35
Q2 - Heat 60 second timeout23
35
Q2 - PistonsStanley Johnson makes two point driving layup (Jose Calderon assists)23
35
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Jose Calderon steals)23
33
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound23
33
Q2 - PistonsLuke Kennard misses three point jump shot23
33
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. personal foul (Zaza Pachulia draws the foul)23
33
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)23
33
Q2 - PistonsJose Calderon defensive rebound23
33
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters misses two point driving layup23
33
Q2 - PistonsLuke Kennard makes three point jump shot (Langston Galloway assists)23
33
Q2 - PistonsStanley Johnson defensive rebound23
30
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade misses regular free throw 1 of 123
30
Q2 - PistonsLuke Kennard shooting foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)23
30
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point layup23
30
Q2 - PistonsZaza Pachulia personal foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)21
30
Q2 - PistonsLuke Kennard turnover (traveling)21
30
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)21
30
Q2 - PistonsPistons defensive rebound21
30
Q2 - HeatStanley Johnson blocks Derrick Jones Jr.'s two point driving layup21
30
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound21
30
Q2 - PistonsLuke Kennard misses two point jump shot21
30
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point jump shot21
30
Q2 - Stanley Johnson kicked ball violation19
30
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound19
30
Q2 - PistonsLangston Galloway misses three point jump shot19
30
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Dion Waiters assists)19
30
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Dion Waiters, Derrick Jones Jr., Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo)17
30
Q1 - End of 1st Quarter.17
30
Q1 - HeatHeat offensive rebound17
30
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot17
30
Q1 - PistonsLuke Kennard personal foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)17
30
Q1 - PistonsLuke Kennard makes two point jump shot17
30
Q1 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Jose Calderon steals)17
28
Q1 - PistonsLuke Kennard makes two point driving layup (Zaza Pachulia assists)17
28
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Stanley Johnson draws the foul)17
26
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade turnover (bad pass) (Stanley Johnson steals)17
26
Q1 - Pistons lineup change (Luke Kennard, Langston Galloway, Stanley Johnson, Jose Calderon, Zaza Pachulia)17
26
Q1 - PistonsJose Calderon turnover (out of bounds bad pass)17
26
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters makes two point layup17
26
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound15
26
Q1 - PistonsLuke Kennard misses two point jump shot15
26
Q1 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point finger roll layup (Dwyane Wade assists)15
26
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Dion Waiters, Derrick Jones Jr., Rodney McGruder, Bam Adebayo)13
26
Q1 - PistonsPistons turnover (shot clock violation)13
26
Q1 - PistonsZaza Pachulia defensive rebound13
26
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point fadeaway jump shot13
26
Q1 - PistonsLuke Kennard makes three point jump shot (Jose Calderon assists)13
26
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters turnover (bad pass) (Zaza Pachulia steals)13
23
Q1 - PistonsBlake Griffin makes three point jump shot (Jose Calderon assists)13
23
Q1 - PistonsZaza Pachulia defensive rebound13
20
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow misses regular free throw 2 of 213
20
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow misses regular free throw 1 of 213
20
Q1 - Pistons lineup change (Blake Griffin, Luke Kennard, Langston Galloway, Jose Calderon, Zaza Pachulia)13
20
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Dwyane Wade, Dion Waiters, James Johnson, Bam Adebayo)13
20
Q1 - PistonsBruce Brown shooting foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)13
20
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound13
20
Q1 - PistonsZaza Pachulia misses two point putback layup13
20
Q1 - PistonsZaza Pachulia offensive rebound13
20
Q1 - PistonsBruce Brown misses two point driving layup13
20
Q1 - PistonsBlake Griffin defensive rebound13
20
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot13
20
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound13
20
Q1 - PistonsBruce Brown misses two point driving layup13
20
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Reggie Bullock draws the foul)13
20
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Dwyane Wade assists)13
20
Q1 - Stoppage (Blood rule)11
20
Q1 - Pistons lineup change (Blake Griffin, Bruce Brown, Ish Smith, Reggie Bullock, Zaza Pachulia)11
20
Q1 - PistonsBlake Griffin personal foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)11
20
Q1 - PistonsBlake Griffin turnover (bad pass) (James Johnson steals)11
20
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow turnover (out of bounds bad pass)11
20
Q1 - Pistons lineup change (Blake Griffin, Bruce Brown, Ish Smith, Andre Drummond, Reggie Bullock)11
20
Q1 - Heat 60 second timeout11
20
Q1 - PistonsBlake Griffin makes two point driving dunk11
20
Q1 - PistonsBlake Griffin defensive rebound11
18
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot11
18
Q1 - PistonsBlake Griffin makes regular free throw 2 of 211
18
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Dwyane Wade, Rodney McGruder, James Johnson, Bam Adebayo)11
17
Q1 - PistonsBlake Griffin misses regular free throw 1 of 211
17
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson shooting foul (Blake Griffin draws the foul)11
17
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson turnover (traveling)11
17
Q1 - PistonsBlake Griffin makes two point floating jump shot11
17
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson makes two point driving layup (Tyler Johnson assists)11
15
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Tyler Johnson, Rodney McGruder, James Johnson, Bam Adebayo)9
15
Q1 - Pistons 60 second timeout9
15
Q1 - PistonsBlake Griffin turnover (out of bounds bad pass)9
15
Q1 - PistonsBlake Griffin defensive rebound9
15
Q1 - HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot9
15
Q1 - PistonsBlake Griffin makes two point layup9
15
Q1 - PistonsAndre Drummond defensive rebound9
13
Q1 - HeatAndre Drummond blocks Rodney McGruder's two point layup9
13
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound9
13
Q1 - PistonsReggie Bullock misses three point jump shot9
13
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Tyler Johnson, Rodney McGruder, James Johnson, Bam Adebayo)9
13
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside turnover (offensive foul)9
13
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive foul (Charge) (Blake Griffin draws the foul)9
13
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound9
13
Q1 - PistonsHassan Whiteside blocks Andre Drummond's two point driving layup9
13
Q1 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)9
13
Q1 - PistonsPistons offensive rebound9
13
Q1 - PistonsBlake Griffin misses three point jump shot9
13
Q1 - PistonsAndre Drummond defensive rebound9
13
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 2 of 29
13
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 1 of 29
13
Q1 - PistonsAndre Drummond shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)9
13
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound9
13
Q1 - PistonsBlake Griffin misses regular free throw 2 of 29
13
Q1 - PistonsBlake Griffin makes regular free throw 1 of 29
13
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside shooting foul (Blake Griffin draws the foul)9
12
Q1 - PistonsAndre Drummond defensive rebound9
12
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot9
12
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound9
12
Q1 - PistonsReggie Bullock misses three point jump shot9
12
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder makes three point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)9
12
Q1 - PistonsBruce Brown makes two point driving layup (Blake Griffin assists)6
12
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point floating jump shot6
10
Q1 - PistonsReggie Bullock makes two point jump shot (Blake Griffin assists)4
10
Q1 - PistonsReggie Jackson defensive rebound4
8
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson misses two point layup4
8
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound4
8
Q1 - PistonsBlake Griffin misses three point jump shot4
8
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point dunk (Justise Winslow assists)4
8
Q1 - PistonsReggie Bullock makes three point jump shot (Blake Griffin assists)2
8
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder makes two point driving layup2
5
Q1 - PistonsReggie Bullock makes three point jump shot (Blake Griffin assists)0
5
Q1 - PistonsReggie Bullock defensive rebound0
2
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot0
2
Q1 - PistonsReggie Jackson makes two point floating jump shot0
2
Q1 - Hassan Whiteside vs. Andre Drummond (Reggie Jackson gains possession)0
0
Q1 - Pistons lineup change (Blake Griffin, Bruce Brown, Andre Drummond, Reggie Bullock, Reggie Jackson)0
0
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Hassan Whiteside, Tyler Johnson, Rodney McGruder, James Johnson)0
0
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 54.1%
DET
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
24
31
77%
DET
13
26
50%
Midrange
MIA
5
17
29%
DET
9
23
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
29
34%
52%
DET
13
19.5
33
39%
59%
Free Throws
MIA
5
19
26%
DET
15
18
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2071%10.0 / 14
T. Johnson1657%8.0 / 14
J. Winslow1542%7.5 / 18
R. McGruder1169%5.5 / 8
B. Adebayo9150%4.5 / 3
H. Whiteside844%4.0 / 9
J. Johnson750%3.5 / 7
K. Olynyk338%1.5 / 4
D. Jones250%1.0 / 2
D. Waiters233%1.0 / 3
W. Ellington0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Griffin3257%16.0 / 28
L. Kennard2273%11.0 / 15
R. Bullock1973%9.5 / 13
S. Johnson12100%6.0 / 6
R. Jackson950%4.5 / 9
B. Brown233%1.0 / 3
Z. Pachulia233%1.0 / 3
A. Drummond0-0.0 / 1
L. Galloway0-0.0 / 5
J. Calderon0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+12
-19
88
DET
84
+10
-11
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 54.1%
DET
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
109.0
MIA 97.9
DET 103.2 +5.3
Pace
98.1
97.3
MIA 94.9
DET 95.1 +0.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.2
MIA 15.2
DET 15.1 −0.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
50.8%
MIA 57.1% +6.5%
DET 50.6%
TO %
14.3%
13.2%
MIA 18.2%
DET 11.8% −6.4%
ORB %
24.8%
24.9%
MIA 17.1%
DET 17.4% +0.3%
FTrt
24.7
26.1
MIA 24.7 +2.7
DET 22.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
57.9%
MIA 64.1%
DET 65.7% +1.6%
STL %
7.8%
7.1%
MIA 3.2%
DET 7.4% +4.2%
BLK %
10.2%
7.1%
MIA 12.2% +8.0%
DET 4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
53.0%
MIA 54.1% +1.4%
DET 52.7%
Rim FG%
60.8%
57.5%
MIA 77.4% +27.4%
DET 50.0%
Mid FG%
36.8%
38.4%
MIA 29.4%
DET 39.1% +9.7%
3P %
34.9%
34.8%
MIA 34.5%
DET 39.4% +4.9%
FT %
69.5%
74.7%
MIA 26.3%
DET 83.3% +57.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
36.7%
MIA 40.3% +8.6%
DET 31.7%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
23.9%
MIA 22.1% −6.0%
DET 28.0%
3P Att. %
36.8%
39.4%
MIA 37.7%
DET 40.2% +2.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points9398
Rebounds4542
Assists2523
Steals37
Blocks62
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)11 (1)
Fouls2020
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (5)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (1)34 (0)
Field Goals39-7735-82
At-the-Rim FG24-3113-26
Midrange FG5-179-23
2-Point FG29-4822-49
3-Point FG10-2913-33
Free Throws5-1915-18
Fast Break Pts47
2nd Chance Pts144
Points in Paint5232
Pts off Turnovers1018
Bench Points3636
Biggest Lead516

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#20 · SG · 6'7" 225 · 23
35.7
15
42%
9
2
1
0
2
4
0
9
0-2
0%
3-10
30%
3-7
43%
#8 · PG · 6'3" 186 · 27
34.7
16
57%
5
3
0
1
0
0
1
4
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
3-8
38%
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
30.7
7
50%
3
5
1
0
4
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
#17 · SF · 6'4" 200 · 27
30.1
11
69%
4
4
1
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
3-5
60%
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
19.3
8
44%
10
0
0
2
1
3
4
6
0-8
0%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
28.5
20
71%
4
8
0
0
5
3
0
4
0-1
0%
10-12
83%
0-2
0%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 22
26.4
9
150%
6
1
0
1
2
2
1
5
1-1
100%
4-4
100%
0-0
-
#9 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 28
12.2
3
38%
1
0
0
0
1
3
0
1
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
10.0
2
50%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
8.6
2
33%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
#2 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31
3.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#0 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision | Illness
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two Way
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two Way
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
54%
45
25
3
6
19
20
7
38
5-19
26%
29-48
60%
10-29
34%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.