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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 21, 2019
2:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Mavericks
106
5Bucks
116
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 19.9
33
28
18
11
10
1
1
1
3
2
9
4-5
80%
4-12
4-9
33%
47%
2-5
40%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.6
31
32
8
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-2
0%
4-7
4-8
57%
46%
0-8
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.3
31
28
15
3
3
3
1
4
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
44%
3-8
38%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.5
31
29
15
15
1
0
1
2
3
5
10
3-6
50%
6-11
4-6
55%
63%
0-0
-
Jalen Brunson
G · 6'2" 198 · 22.4
30
20
16
3
5
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-12
2-5
33%
46%
2-3
67%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.7
33
22
13
5
2
2
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
51%
3-5
60%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.9
18
12
9
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 27.0
17
24
8
6
0
0
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
58%
2-6
33%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 27.5
16
16
4
2
1
1
1
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
63%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40.6
9
0
1-2
45%
Kostas Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 195 · 21.2
7
0
1-1
48%
Ryan Broekhoff
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.4
7
0
0-1
48%
Daryl Macon
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.1
2
0
0-0
43%
Ray Spalding
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.9
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 32.6
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 34.6
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 21.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 24.1
36
29
31
15
5
0
1
0
5
3
12
10-12
83%
9-18
8-13
50%
60%
1-2
50%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 30.8
34
26
16
10
0
0
0
5
1
0
10
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
55%
4-7
57%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.4
33
28
13
8
3
0
1
1
3
2
6
0-0
-
5-11
4-8
45%
52%
1-7
14%
Malcolm Brogdon
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.1
33
27
19
4
2
5
1
1
2
1
3
6-6
100%
5-12
4-8
42%
56%
1-2
50%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 29.1
33
27
21
4
5
2
1
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
7-9
4-7
78%
55%
1-7
14%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 32.7
22
20
5
6
2
0
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
52%
1-2
50%
Sterling Brown
G · 6'6" 230 · 23.9
19
20
11
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
53%
3-3
100%
D.J. Wilson
F · 6'10" 236 · 22.9
14
20
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
55%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.7
7
16
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
51%
0-1
0%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 27.2
6
14
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Thon Maker
C-F · 7'1" 223 · 21.9
4
6
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.0
6
0
0-1
56%
Donte DiVincenzo
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.0
3
0
0-0
54%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 32.9
Trevon Duval
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.5
Bonzie Colson
F · 6'6" 225 · 23.0
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.