Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, January 21, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Thunder | 76% | 117 | 127 |
 | 28 | Knicks | 24% | 107 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Bulls | 59% | 113 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Pistons | 39% | 110 | 87 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Mavericks | 30% | 109 | 106 |
 | 3 | Bucks | 70% | 117 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Magic | 47% | 111 | 122 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Nets | 58% | 116 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Pelicans | 49% | 109 | 105 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Heat | 28% | 102 | 99 |
 | 2 | Celtics | 72% | 110 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 24 | Lakers | 25% | 109 | 111 |
Sunday, January 20, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Hornets | 29% | 106 | 95 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 17 | Timberwolves | 76% | 119 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Saturday, January 19, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Thunder | 44% | 113 | 117 |
| 6 | 76ers | 56% | 115 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Suns | 34% | 109 | 115 |
| 21 | Hornets | 66% | 115 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Kings | 49% | 114 | 103 |
| 22 | Pistons | 51% | 115 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 39% | 107 | 99 |
| 9 | Pacers | 61% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 73% | 114 | 118 |
| 25 | Magic | 27% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 71% | 116 | 113 |
| 27 | Hawks | 29% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Grizzlies | 24% | 100 | 90 |
 | 4 | Raptors | 76% | 110 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 62% | 108 | 117 |
| 29 | Bulls | 38% | 104 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Lakers | 32% | 109 | 134 |
| 10 | Rockets | 68% | 115 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 8% | 102 | 102 |
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Friday, January 18, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Grizzlies | 25% | 97 | 116 |
| 2 | Celtics | 75% | 107 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 47% | 105 | 93 |
| 17 | Pistons | 53% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 52% | 109 | 117 |
| 25 | Magic | 48% | 108 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Spurs | 52% | 115 | 116 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 48% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 10% | 99 | 99 |
| 4 | Jazz | 90% | 117 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 71% | 121 | 112 |
| 19 | Clippers | 29% | 113 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pelicans | 49% | 116 | 112 |
| 14 | Blazers | 51% | 117 | 128 |
Thursday, January 17, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 22% | 108 | 100 |
| 15 | Wizards | 78% | 119 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | 47% | 116 | 95 |
| 23 | Hornets | 53% | 117 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 76ers | 43% | 109 | 120 |
| 9 | Pacers | 57% | 112 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Suns | 14% | 104 | 109 |
| 2 | Raptors | 86% | 119 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 17% | 103 | 105 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 83% | 116 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Lakers | 30% | 106 | 138 |
| 7 | Thunder | 70% | 114 | 128 |
Wednesday, January 16, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 40% | 105 | 115 |
| 19 | Pistons | 60% | 109 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 49% | 110 | 108 |
| 3 | Celtics | 51% | 111 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 27% | 108 | 145 |
| 4 | Rockets | 73% | 117 | 142 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bucks | 56% | 107 | 111 |
| 18 | Grizzlies | 44% | 105 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Spurs | 46% | 111 | 105 |
| 14 | Mavericks | 54% | 113 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 15% | 105 | 112 |
| 12 | Blazers | 85% | 119 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pelicans | 31% | 115 | 140 |
| 1 | Warriors | 69% | 122 | 147 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 54% | 112 | 129 |
| 16 | Clippers | 46% | 111 | 109 |
Tuesday, January 15, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Suns | 23% | 103 | 97 |
| 10 | Pacers | 77% | 113 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Timberwolves | 40% | 114 | 107 |
| 11 | 76ers | 60% | 117 | 149 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Thunder | 75% | 119 | 126 |
| 27 | Hawks | 25% | 110 | 142 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 31% | 107 | 86 |
| 3 | Bucks | 69% | 114 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 57% | 116 | 142 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 43% | 113 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 29% | 104 | 100 |
| 24 | Lakers | 71% | 111 | 107 |
Monday, January 14, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Celtics | 59% | 111 | 102 |
| 22 | Nets | 41% | 107 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 42% | 104 | 94 |
| 12 | Rockets | 58% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 30% | 111 | 108 |
| 8 | Spurs | 70% | 118 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 27% | 102 | 94 |
| 4 | Jazz | 73% | 111 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Blazers | 49% | 115 | 107 |
| 20 | Kings | 51% | 116 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pelicans | 47% | 119 | 121 |
| 16 | Clippers | 53% | 120 | 117 |
Sunday, January 13, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 76ers | 73% | 119 | 108 |
| 29 | Knicks | 27% | 110 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Raptors | 60% | 115 | 140 |
| 19 | Wizards | 40% | 112 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bucks | 76% | 121 | 133 |
| 26 | Hawks | 24% | 111 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 66% | 111 | 109 |
| 25 | Magic | 34% | 105 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 60% | 117 | 119 |
| 12 | Mavericks | 40% | 113 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Blazers | 41% | 109 | 113 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 59% | 112 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 20% | 105 | 101 |
| 23 | Lakers | 80% | 117 | 95 |
Saturday, January 12, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pistons | 36% | 111 | 109 |
| 18 | Clippers | 64% | 116 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Grizzlies | 44% | 98 | 108 |
| 14 | Heat | 56% | 100 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 68% | 110 | 103 |
| 25 | Magic | 32% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pelicans | 51% | 118 | 106 |
| 17 | Timberwolves | 49% | 117 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spurs | 37% | 110 | 112 |
| 6 | Thunder | 63% | 115 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 77% | 115 | 93 |
| 27 | Suns | 23% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 38% | 115 | 97 |
| 21 | Kings | 62% | 119 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 12% | 96 | 102 |
| 3 | Jazz | 88% | 112 | 110 |
Friday, January 11, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hawks | 23% | 110 | 123 |
| 10 | 76ers | 77% | 120 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bucks | 58% | 117 | 106 |
| 19 | Wizards | 42% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 73% | 115 | 121 |
| 29 | Knicks | 27% | 106 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 24% | 106 | 105 |
| 2 | Raptors | 76% | 117 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 11% | 103 | 113 |
| 6 | Rockets | 89% | 121 | 141 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Mavericks | 48% | 113 | 119 |
| 18 | Timberwolves | 52% | 114 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Lakers | 26% | 102 | 95 |
| 3 | Jazz | 74% | 111 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 35% | 111 | 96 |
| 15 | Blazers | 65% | 116 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 10% | 103 | 109 |
| 1 | Warriors | 90% | 121 | 146 |
Thursday, January 10, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 51% | 107 | 99 |
| 15 | Heat | 49% | 106 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 34% | 112 | 100 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 66% | 118 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thunder | 55% | 113 | 147 |
| 10 | Spurs | 45% | 111 | 154 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 35% | 111 | 102 |
| 21 | Kings | 65% | 116 | 112 |
Wednesday, January 9, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 33% | 104 | 108 |
| 4 | Celtics | 67% | 110 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 76ers | 54% | 116 | 106 |
| 20 | Wizards | 46% | 114 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hawks | 26% | 109 | 100 |
| 19 | Nets | 74% | 118 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bucks | 49% | 114 | 116 |
| 8 | Rockets | 51% | 115 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spurs | 51% | 105 | 86 |
| 17 | Grizzlies | 49% | 104 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 10% | 106 | 124 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 90% | 124 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 18% | 104 | 94 |
| 13 | Mavericks | 82% | 117 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 20% | 99 | 93 |
| 3 | Jazz | 80% | 111 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 22% | 103 | 112 |
| 12 | Blazers | 78% | 113 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 45% | 107 | 100 |
| 23 | Lakers | 55% | 109 | 113 |
Tuesday, January 8, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 80% | 114 | 123 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 20% | 102 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 35% | 111 | 115 |
| 11 | 76ers | 65% | 117 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 49% | 107 | 103 |
| 16 | Heat | 51% | 108 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hawks | 14% | 108 | 101 |
| 2 | Raptors | 86% | 123 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Timberwolves | 33% | 109 | 119 |
| 6 | Thunder | 67% | 115 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 57% | 116 | 111 |
| 29 | Suns | 43% | 114 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 7% | 107 | 95 |
| 1 | Warriors | 93% | 128 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 35% | 115 | 109 |
| 15 | Clippers | 65% | 120 | 128 |