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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 28, 2019
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Nets32%104104
8Celtics68%111112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 24.1
27.4
16.2
14
37%
9
3
0
1
2
1
4
5
0-0
-
7-18
2-5
39%
45%
0-1
0%
Rodions Kurucs
F · 6'8" 200 · 21.0
26.3
19.8
5
25%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-6
3-5
0%
54%
1-3
33%
D'Angelo Russell
G · 6'5" 195 · 22.9
23.5
27.5
25
61%
2
4
3
1
0
5
2
0
1-1
100%
6-12
4-9
50%
47%
4-8
50%
Jarrett Allen
C · 6'11" 234 · 20.8
22.5
23.6
6
50%
10
1
1
1
1
1
4
6
0-0
-
3-5
4-6
60%
58%
0-1
0%
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 27.4
19.3
28.4
5
31%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
53%
1-4
25%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 32.5
27.7
26.0
12
53%
5
2
2
1
0
2
0
5
2-3
67%
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
2-5
40%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.5
26.5
19.5
20
54%
2
5
2
1
0
4
0
2
4-6
67%
2-8
2-4
25%
43%
4-8
50%
Theo Pinson
G-F · 6'6" 218 · 23.2
25.5
14.2
3
30%
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
1-4
25%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.6
22.7
22.7
8
68%
11
3
0
1
1
1
5
6
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
58%
0-0
-
Mitchell Creek
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 26.8
18.6
2.0
6
51%
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
2-5
0-0
40%
45%
0-0
-
Treveon Graham
G-F · 6'5" 219 · 25.3
22.9
1
1-2
45%
Alan Williams
F-C · 6'8" 265 · 26.0
Caris LeVert
G-F · 6'7" 203 · 24.4
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 25.8
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
Dzanan Musa
G · 6'9" 195 · 19.7
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 33.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.9
35.3
21.5
14
47%
7
7
2
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
45%
2-8
25%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.9
33.0
27.6
21
63%
2
7
5
2
2
2
0
2
3-4
75%
3-5
1-3
60%
47%
4-10
40%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.4
30.8
27.0
15
54%
8
3
1
1
2
4
2
6
2-2
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
50%
1-4
25%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 20.9
30.4
30.3
6
33%
6
1
1
1
2
2
2
4
0-0
-
3-8
5-10
38%
52%
0-1
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.7
29.3
30.5
14
59%
11
5
1
1
6
2
4
7
2-2
100%
6-10
4-8
60%
57%
0-1
0%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 22.3
31.5
23.0
21
66%
6
2
0
1
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
6-11
3-6
55%
53%
3-5
60%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.1
21.4
13.8
16
67%
6
1
0
0
3
2
4
2
2-2
100%
4-6
1-3
67%
52%
2-5
40%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 28.9
20.5
22.4
2
17%
3
3
1
1
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
51%
0-4
0%
Brad Wanamaker
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.5
5.7
6.6
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Semi Ojeleye
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.1
2.2
3.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-1
0%
Robert Williams III
F · 6'10" 241 · 21.3
9.2
0
1-2
59%
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 26.8
7.3
0
1-2
59%
Guerschon Yabusele
F · 6'8" 260 · 23.1
2.7
0
0-0
55%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 26.9
Jabari Bird
G · 6'6" 198 · 24.6
PJ Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.3
RJ Hunter
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.