Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, January 28, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Knicks | 92 | |||
20 | Hornets | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 67% | 116 | 132 | |
10 | Pacers | 33% | 110 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Nets | 104 | |||
3 | Celtics | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Nuggets | 57% | 105 | 95 | |
22 | Grizzlies | 43% | 103 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Hawks | 123 | |||
19 | Clippers | 118 |
Sunday, January 27, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Cavaliers | 33% | 107 | 104 | |
28 | Bulls | 67% | 114 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Kings | 108 | |||
19 | Clippers | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Magic | 25% | 107 | 98 | |
4 | Rockets | 75% | 116 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Bucks | 112 | |||
9 | Thunder | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Raptors | 61% | 113 | 123 | |
17 | Mavericks | 39% | 109 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Jazz | 125 | |||
16 | Timberwolves | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Heat | 68% | 110 | 106 | |
27 | Knicks | 32% | 104 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Wizards | 119 | |||
12 | Spurs | 132 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Suns | 27% | 106 | 102 | |
15 | Lakers | 73% | 115 | 116 |
Saturday, January 26, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Spurs | 126 | |||
12 | Pelicans | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Pacers | 58% | 103 | 103 | |
22 | Grizzlies | 42% | 100 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 115 | |||
4 | Celtics | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 76ers | 41% | 111 | 110 | |
8 | Nuggets | 59% | 114 | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Hawks | 111 | |||
11 | Trail Blazers | 120 |
Friday, January 25, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Wizards | 95 | |||
24 | Magic | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Knicks | 26% | 107 | 99 | |
19 | Nets | 74% | 116 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Heat | 100 | |||
30 | Cavaliers | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Clippers | 66% | 114 | 106 | |
29 | Bulls | 34% | 108 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Raptors | 119 | |||
5 | Rockets | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Kings | 41% | 106 | 99 | |
21 | Grizzlies | 59% | 109 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Pistons | 101 | |||
17 | Mavericks | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Hornets | 24% | 110 | 99 | |
4 | Bucks | 76% | 120 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Suns | 95 | |||
8 | Nuggets | 132 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Timberwolves | 22% | 103 | 102 | |
6 | Jazz | 78% | 114 | 106 |
Thursday, January 24, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 126 | |||
15 | Wizards | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Pelicans | 23% | 110 | 116 | |
8 | Thunder | 77% | 120 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Trail Blazers | 120 | |||
28 | Suns | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Timberwolves | 48% | 113 | 120 | |
16 | Lakers | 52% | 114 | 105 |
Wednesday, January 23, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Raptors | 106 | |||
8 | Pacers | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Cavaliers | 12% | 99 | 103 | |
3 | Celtics | 88% | 116 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Magic | 110 | |||
19 | Nets | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Clippers | 35% | 105 | 111 | |
17 | Heat | 65% | 111 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Rockets | 114 | |||
27 | Knicks | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Spurs | 43% | 112 | 120 | |
9 | 76ers | 57% | 114 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Hawks | 121 | |||
29 | Bulls | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Hornets | 46% | 105 | 118 | |
21 | Grizzlies | 54% | 107 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Pistons | 98 | |||
11 | Pelicans | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Nuggets | 39% | 106 | 108 | |
6 | Jazz | 61% | 110 | 114 |
Tuesday, January 22, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Kings | 105 | |||
2 | Raptors | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 110 | 114 | |
9 | Thunder | 60% | 113 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Clippers | 98 | |||
17 | Mavericks | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Timberwolves | 63% | 117 | 118 | |
28 | Suns | 37% | 112 | 91 |
Monday, January 21, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Thunder | 76% | 116 | 127 | |
27 | Knicks | 24% | 107 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Bulls | 104 | |||
29 | Cavaliers | 88 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Pistons | 39% | 110 | 87 | |
15 | Wizards | 61% | 114 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Mavericks | 106 | |||
5 | Bucks | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Magic | 47% | 111 | 122 | |
26 | Hawks | 53% | 112 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Kings | 94 | |||
20 | Nets | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Pelicans | 49% | 108 | 105 | |
21 | Grizzlies | 51% | 109 | 85 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Heat | 99 | |||
3 | Celtics | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Rockets | 45% | 115 | 93 | |
8 | 76ers | 55% | 117 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Trail Blazers | 109 | |||
6 | Jazz | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 75% | 119 | 130 | |
14 | Lakers | 25% | 109 | 111 |
Sunday, January 20, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Hornets | 95 | |||
9 | Pacers | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Suns | 24% | 109 | 114 | |
15 | Timberwolves | 76% | 119 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Clippers | 103 | |||
11 | Spurs | 95 |
Saturday, January 19, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Thunder | 117 | |||
10 | 76ers | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Suns | 34% | 109 | 115 | |
22 | Hornets | 66% | 115 | 135 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Kings | 103 | |||
23 | Pistons | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Mavericks | 40% | 107 | 99 | |
9 | Pacers | 60% | 110 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Bucks | 118 | |||
25 | Magic | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Celtics | 71% | 116 | 113 | |
26 | Hawks | 29% | 108 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Grizzlies | 90 | |||
2 | Raptors | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Heat | 62% | 108 | 117 | |
29 | Bulls | 38% | 104 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Lakers | 134 | |||
3 | Rockets | 138 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Cavaliers | 8% | 102 | 102 | |
7 | Nuggets | 92% | 122 | 124 |
Friday, January 18, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Grizzlies | 25% | 98 | 116 | |
5 | Celtics | 75% | 107 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Heat | 93 | |||
23 | Pistons | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Nets | 52% | 109 | 117 | |
25 | Magic | 48% | 108 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Spurs | 116 | |||
14 | Timberwolves | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Cavaliers | 10% | 99 | 99 | |
4 | Jazz | 90% | 117 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 112 | |||
19 | Clippers | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Pelicans | 49% | 116 | 112 | |
13 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 117 | 128 |
Thursday, January 17, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Knicks | 22% | 108 | 100 | |
15 | Wizards | 78% | 119 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Kings | 95 | |||
22 | Hornets | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | 76ers | 43% | 109 | 120 | |
7 | Pacers | 57% | 112 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Suns | 109 | |||
2 | Raptors | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Bulls | 17% | 102 | 105 | |
9 | Nuggets | 83% | 116 | 135 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Lakers | 138 | |||
8 | Thunder | 128 |
Wednesday, January 16, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Magic | 40% | 105 | 115 | |
23 | Pistons | 60% | 108 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Raptors | 108 | |||
4 | Celtics | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Nets | 27% | 109 | 145 | |
3 | Rockets | 73% | 117 | 142 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Bucks | 111 | |||
20 | Grizzlies | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Spurs | 46% | 111 | 105 | |
16 | Mavericks | 54% | 112 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Cavaliers | 112 | |||
13 | Trail Blazers | 129 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Pelicans | 31% | 115 | 140 | |
1 | Warriors | 69% | 122 | 147 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Jazz | 129 | |||
18 | Clippers | 109 |
Tuesday, January 15, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Suns | 23% | 102 | 97 | |
9 | Pacers | 77% | 113 | 131 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Timberwolves | 107 | |||
12 | 76ers | 149 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Thunder | 76% | 119 | 126 | |
26 | Hawks | 24% | 109 | 142 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Heat | 86 | |||
6 | Bucks | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 57% | 116 | 142 | |
7 | Nuggets | 43% | 113 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Bulls | 100 | |||
15 | Lakers | 107 |