Final Win Prob. pScore
957%105
95
1643%103
92
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo Nuggets
101.194102.2
MEM logo Grizzlies
97.99487.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

GrizzliesNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMEM
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.95
92
Q4 - 0:00.0GrizzliesGrizzlies offensive rebound95
92
Q4 - 0:00.0GrizzliesMike Conley misses three point jump shot95
92
Q4 - 0:02.0NuggetsGary Harris makes regular free throw 2 of 295
92
Q4 - 0:02.0NuggetsGary Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 294
92
Q4 - 0:02.0Nuggets lineup change (Gary Harris, Nikola Jokic, Malik Beasley, Mason Plumlee, Will Barton)93
92
Q4 - 0:02.0GrizzliesKyle Anderson personal foul (Take) (Gary Harris draws the foul)93
92
Q4 - 0:03.0Nuggets 60 second timeout93
92
Q4 - 0:03.0Nuggets lineup change (Gary Harris, Nikola Jokic, Monte Morris, Malik Beasley, Will Barton)93
92
Q4 - 0:03.0GrizzliesKyle Anderson turnover (out of bounds step)93
92
Q4 - 0:03.0GrizzliesKyle Anderson offensive rebound93
92
Q4 - 0:06.0GrizzliesKyle Anderson misses two point jump shot93
92
Q4 - 0:08.0GrizzliesKyle Anderson offensive rebound93
92
Q4 - 0:10.0GrizzliesKyle Anderson misses two point jump shot93
92
Q4 - 0:28.0NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot93
92
Q4 - 0:36.0Grizzlies lineup change (Marc Gasol, Justin Holiday, Mike Conley, Kyle Anderson, Bruno Caboclo)91
92
Q4 - 0:36.0Nuggets 60 second timeout91
92
Q4 - 0:37.0GrizzliesJustin Holiday makes three point jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)91
92
Q4 - 0:43.0Grizzlies 60 second timeout91
89
Q4 - 0:43.0NuggetsWill Barton makes three point step back jump shot (Malik Beasley assists)91
89
Q4 - 0:58.0GrizzliesMike Conley turnover (out of bounds lost ball)88
89
Q4 - 1:16NuggetsMalik Beasley makes three point jump shot (Gary Harris assists)88
89
Q4 - 1:19NuggetsGary Harris offensive rebound85
89
Q4 - 1:22NuggetsMalik Beasley misses three point jump shot85
89
Q4 - 1:37GrizzliesMarc Gasol makes two point driving hook shot (Mike Conley assists)85
89
Q4 - 1:53NuggetsGary Harris makes two point finger roll layup85
87
Q4 - 1:56NuggetsGary Harris defensive rebound83
87
Q4 - 2:00GrizzliesKyle Anderson misses two point floating jump shot83
87
Q4 - 2:18NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point reverse layup (Gary Harris assists)83
87
Q4 - 2:31NuggetsGary Harris defensive rebound81
87
Q4 - 2:33GrizzliesMarc Gasol misses regular free throw 1 of 181
87
Q4 - 2:33NuggetsPaul Millsap shooting foul (Marc Gasol draws the foul)81
87
Q4 - 2:33GrizzliesMarc Gasol makes two point layup (Mike Conley assists)81
87
Q4 - 2:49Grizzlies lineup change (Shelvin Mack, Marc Gasol, Justin Holiday, Mike Conley, Kyle Anderson)81
85
Q4 - 2:49Grizzlies 60 second timeout81
85
Q4 - 2:50NuggetsWill Barton makes three point jump shot (Malik Beasley assists)81
85
Q4 - 3:04GrizzliesMarc Gasol turnover (offensive foul)78
85
Q4 - 3:04GrizzliesMarc Gasol offensive foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)78
85
Q4 - 3:23NuggetsMalik Beasley makes two point layup78
85
Q4 - 3:27GrizzliesMike Conley turnover (bad pass) (Malik Beasley steals)76
85
Q4 - 3:40NuggetsMalik Beasley makes two point layup76
85
Q4 - 3:44NuggetsMalik Beasley defensive rebound74
85
Q4 - 3:46GrizzliesMike Conley misses two point jump shot74
85
Q4 - 4:12NuggetsPaul Millsap makes regular free throw 2 of 274
85
Q4 - 4:12NuggetsPaul Millsap makes regular free throw 1 of 273
85
Q4 - 4:12Grizzlies lineup change (Joakim Noah, Marc Gasol, Justin Holiday, Mike Conley, Kyle Anderson)72
85
Q4 - 4:12GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. personal foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)72
85
Q4 - 4:22GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. personal foul (Will Barton draws the foul)72
85
Q4 - 4:31GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes regular free throw 2 of 272
85
Q4 - 4:31GrizzliesKyle Anderson misses regular free throw 1 of 272
84
Q4 - 4:31NuggetsNikola Jokic personal foul (Loose ball) (Kyle Anderson draws the foul)72
84
Q4 - 4:31GrizzliesGrizzlies defensive rebound72
84
Q4 - 4:33NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot72
84
Q4 - 4:38NuggetsWill Barton offensive rebound72
84
Q4 - 4:38NuggetsJaren Jackson Jr. blocks Paul Millsap's two point layup72
84
Q4 - 4:42NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound72
84
Q4 - 4:46NuggetsGary Harris misses three point jump shot72
84
Q4 - 4:57GrizzliesMike Conley makes regular free throw 2 of 272
84
Q4 - 4:57Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Marc Gasol, Justin Holiday, Mike Conley, Kyle Anderson)72
83
Q4 - 4:57GrizzliesMike Conley misses regular free throw 1 of 272
83
Q4 - 4:57NuggetsGary Harris shooting foul (Mike Conley draws the foul)72
83
Q4 - 5:14Grizzlies 60 second timeout72
83
Q4 - 5:14NuggetsPaul Millsap turnover (out of bounds lost ball)72
83
Q4 - 5:18NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound72
83
Q4 - 5:22GrizzliesMarc Gasol misses two point driving layup72
83
Q4 - 5:45GrizzliesBruno Caboclo defensive rebound72
83
Q4 - 5:47NuggetsWill Barton misses two point jump shot72
83
Q4 - 5:56Grizzlies delay of game violation72
83
Q4 - 5:56GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. turnover (traveling)72
83
Q4 - 6:15NuggetsWill Barton makes two point reverse layup72
83
Q4 - 6:26Stoppage (Out of bounds)70
83
Q4 - 6:26NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound70
83
Q4 - 6:28GrizzliesMarc Gasol misses three point jump shot70
83
Q4 - 6:42GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound70
83
Q4 - 6:44NuggetsMalik Beasley misses regular free throw 2 of 270
83
Q4 - 6:44NuggetsMalik Beasley makes regular free throw 1 of 270
83
Q4 - 6:44GrizzliesJustin Holiday shooting foul (Malik Beasley draws the foul)69
83
Q4 - 6:45NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound69
83
Q4 - 6:50GrizzliesBruno Caboclo misses three point jump shot69
83
Q4 - 6:55GrizzliesMike Conley defensive rebound69
83
Q4 - 6:59NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot69
83
Q4 - 7:07Stoppage (Out of bounds)69
83
Q4 - 7:21GrizzliesMike Conley makes regular free throw 3 of 369
83
Q4 - 7:21Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Marc Gasol, Justin Holiday, Mike Conley, Bruno Caboclo)69
82
Q4 - 7:21Nuggets lineup change (Gary Harris, Nikola Jokic, Paul Millsap, Malik Beasley, Will Barton)69
82
Q4 - 7:21GrizzliesMike Conley misses regular free throw 2 of 369
82
Q4 - 7:21GrizzliesMike Conley makes regular free throw 1 of 369
82
Q4 - 7:21NuggetsGary Harris shooting foul (Mike Conley draws the foul)69
81
Q4 - 7:28NuggetsMason Plumlee personal foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)69
81
Q4 - 7:28GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. offensive rebound69
81
Q4 - 7:30GrizzliesJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot69
81
Q4 - 7:41GrizzliesMarc Gasol defensive rebound69
81
Q4 - 7:45NuggetsMalik Beasley misses three point jump shot69
81
Q4 - 7:47Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Marc Gasol, Justin Holiday, Mike Conley, Kyle Anderson)69
81
Q4 - 7:47Nuggets lineup change (Gary Harris, Nikola Jokic, Malik Beasley, Mason Plumlee, Will Barton)69
81
Q4 - 7:47GrizzliesKyle Anderson personal foul (Mason Plumlee draws the foul)69
81
Q4 - 7:49GrizzliesKyle Anderson turnover (bad pass) (Will Barton steals)69
81
Q4 - 8:01NuggetsMason Plumlee turnover (bad pass) (Jaren Jackson Jr. steals)69
81
Q4 - 8:11NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound69
81
Q4 - 8:13GrizzliesJustin Holiday misses two point jump shot69
81
Q4 - 8:28NuggetsWill Barton makes two point layup69
81
Q4 - 8:33NuggetsMalik Beasley defensive rebound67
81
Q4 - 8:35GrizzliesJoakim Noah misses two point turnaround hook shot67
81
Q4 - 8:51NuggetsMason Plumlee makes two point reverse dunk (Malik Beasley assists)67
81
Q4 - 9:06GrizzliesJoakim Noah makes two point dunk (Mike Conley assists)65
81
Q4 - 9:18NuggetsWill Barton personal foul (Mike Conley draws the foul)65
79
Q4 - 9:19NuggetsMonte Morris turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Anderson steals)65
79
Q4 - 9:25NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound65
79
Q4 - 9:28GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. misses two point layup65
79
Q4 - 9:41NuggetsWill Barton turnover (out of bounds bad pass)65
79
Q4 - 9:52GrizzliesJoakim Noah personal foul (Loose ball) (Trey Lyles draws the foul)65
79
Q4 - 9:52NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound65
79
Q4 - 9:53GrizzliesMike Conley misses two point floating jump shot65
79
Q4 - 10:11Grizzlies lineup change (Joakim Noah, Jaren Jackson Jr., Justin Holiday, Mike Conley, Kyle Anderson)65
79
Q4 - 10:11Grizzlies 60 second timeout65
79
Q4 - 10:12NuggetsMalik Beasley makes three point jump shot65
79
Q4 - 10:23NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound62
79
Q4 - 10:26GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. misses three point jump shot62
79
Q4 - 10:39NuggetsMalik Beasley makes two point jump shot (Mason Plumlee assists)62
79
Q4 - 10:51Stoppage (Out of bounds)60
79
Q4 - 10:55NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound60
79
Q4 - 10:57GrizzliesKyle Anderson misses two point hook shot60
79
Q4 - 11:01Stoppage (Out of bounds)60
79
Q4 - 11:01GrizzliesGrizzlies offensive rebound60
79
Q4 - 11:04GrizzliesMike Conley misses three point step back jump shot60
79
Q4 - 11:17NuggetsMalik Beasley personal foul (Joakim Noah draws the foul)60
79
Q4 - 11:27GrizzliesBruno Caboclo defensive rebound60
79
Q4 - 11:29NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point jump shot60
79
Q4 - 11:43GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes two point floating jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)60
79
Q4 - 12:00Grizzlies lineup change (Joakim Noah, Jaren Jackson Jr., Mike Conley, Kyle Anderson, Bruno Caboclo)60
77
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.60
77
Q3 - 0:01.0GrizzliesMarc Gasol defensive rebound60
77
Q3 - 0:04.0NuggetsMonte Morris misses two point floating jump shot60
77
Q3 - 0:25.0Stoppage (Out of bounds)60
77
Q3 - 0:25.0NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound60
77
Q3 - 0:27.0GrizzliesMarc Gasol misses three point jump shot60
77
Q3 - 0:38.0NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point floating jump shot60
77
Q3 - 0:54.0GrizzliesMarc Gasol turnover (traveling)58
77
Q3 - 1:13Nuggets lineup change (Monte Morris, Malik Beasley, Mason Plumlee, Trey Lyles, Will Barton)58
77
Q3 - 1:13NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)58
77
Q3 - 1:13NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive foul (Marc Gasol draws the foul)58
77
Q3 - 1:32GrizzliesMike Conley makes two point floating jump shot (Shelvin Mack assists)58
77
Q3 - 1:37GrizzliesBruno Caboclo makes flagrant free throw 2 of 258
75
Q3 - 1:37GrizzliesBruno Caboclo makes flagrant free throw 1 of 258
74
Q3 - 1:37Grizzlies lineup change (Shelvin Mack, Marc Gasol, Mike Conley, Ivan Rabb, Bruno Caboclo)58
73
Q3 - 1:37NuggetsMason Plumlee flagrant 1 (Bruno Caboclo draws the foul)58
73
Q3 - 1:50NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot58
73
Q3 - 2:00NuggetsMonte Morris defensive rebound56
73
Q3 - 2:03GrizzliesIvan Rabb misses two point jump shot56
73
Q3 - 2:25GrizzliesShelvin Mack defensive rebound56
73
Q3 - 2:28NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot56
73
Q3 - 2:36GrizzliesMarc Gasol turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)56
73
Q3 - 2:53NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 156
73
Q3 - 2:53Stoppage (Blood rule)55
73
Q3 - 2:53GrizzliesBruno Caboclo shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)55
73
Q3 - 2:53NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving layup (Monte Morris assists)55
73
Q3 - 2:58GrizzliesJustin Holiday turnover (out of bounds bad pass)53
73
Q3 - 3:02GrizzliesShelvin Mack defensive rebound53
73
Q3 - 3:06NuggetsMarc Gasol blocks Nikola Jokic's two point layup53
73
Q3 - 3:23NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound53
73
Q3 - 3:27GrizzliesShelvin Mack misses three point jump shot53
73
Q3 - 3:38GrizzliesShelvin Mack defensive rebound53
73
Q3 - 3:43NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot53
73
Q3 - 3:54Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Monte Morris, Malik Beasley, Mason Plumlee, Will Barton)53
73
Q3 - 3:54Stoppage (Out of bounds)53
73
Q3 - 3:54NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound53
73
Q3 - 3:55GrizzliesBruno Caboclo misses three point jump shot53
73
Q3 - 4:12NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving layup (Torrey Craig assists)53
73
Q3 - 4:25NuggetsTorrey Craig defensive rebound51
73
Q3 - 4:27GrizzliesMarc Gasol misses regular free throw 2 of 251
73
Q3 - 4:27GrizzliesMarc Gasol makes regular free throw 1 of 251
73
Q3 - 4:27NuggetsTorrey Craig shooting foul (Marc Gasol draws the foul)51
72
Q3 - 4:46Grizzlies lineup change (Shelvin Mack, Marc Gasol, Justin Holiday, Ivan Rabb, Bruno Caboclo)51
72
Q3 - 4:46Nuggets lineup change (Gary Harris, Torrey Craig, Nikola Jokic, Monte Morris, Mason Plumlee)51
72
Q3 - 4:46Grizzlies 60 second timeout51
72
Q3 - 4:46NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)51
72
Q3 - 4:50GrizzliesMike Conley turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)51
72
Q3 - 5:17NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point finger roll layup (Gary Harris assists)51
72
Q3 - 5:35GrizzliesMarc Gasol makes regular free throw 2 of 249
72
Q3 - 5:35GrizzliesMarc Gasol makes regular free throw 1 of 249
71
Q3 - 5:35NuggetsTorrey Craig shooting foul (Marc Gasol draws the foul)49
70
Q3 - 5:53NuggetsPaul Millsap makes regular free throw 2 of 249
70
Q3 - 5:53NuggetsPaul Millsap makes regular free throw 1 of 248
70
Q3 - 5:53GrizzliesBruno Caboclo shooting foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)47
70
Q3 - 6:03GrizzliesGrizzlies turnover (shot clock violation)47
70
Q3 - 6:29NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving layup47
70
Q3 - 6:36NuggetsTorrey Craig offensive rebound45
70
Q3 - 6:39NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point jump shot45
70
Q3 - 6:54Grizzlies lineup change (Joakim Noah, Marc Gasol, Justin Holiday, Mike Conley, Bruno Caboclo)45
70
Q3 - 6:54Nuggets lineup change (Gary Harris, Torrey Craig, Nikola Jokic, Paul Millsap, Monte Morris)45
70
Q3 - 6:54Nuggets 60 second timeout45
70
Q3 - 6:55GrizzliesMike Conley makes three point jump shot (Joakim Noah assists)45
70
Q3 - 6:59GrizzliesJoakim Noah offensive rebound45
67
Q3 - 7:04GrizzliesMarc Gasol misses three point jump shot45
67
Q3 - 7:15GrizzliesMike Conley defensive rebound45
67
Q3 - 7:18NuggetsMarc Gasol blocks Gary Harris's two point floating jump shot45
67
Q3 - 7:41GrizzliesMike Conley makes two point driving layup45
67
Q3 - 8:05NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 245
65
Q3 - 8:05NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 244
65
Q3 - 8:05GrizzliesKyle Anderson shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)43
65
Q3 - 8:10NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound43
65
Q3 - 8:10Jump ball. Nikola Jokic vs. Joakim Noah (Torrey Craig gains possession)43
65
Q3 - 8:18NuggetsGary Harris misses two point driving layup43
65
Q3 - 8:27GrizzliesKyle Anderson personal foul (Will Barton draws the foul)43
65
Q3 - 8:27NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound43
65
Q3 - 8:30GrizzliesTorrey Craig blocks Marc Gasol's two point layup43
65
Q3 - 8:41GrizzliesMarc Gasol defensive rebound43
65
Q3 - 8:46NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot43
65
Q3 - 8:54Grizzlies lineup change (Joakim Noah, Marc Gasol, Justin Holiday, Mike Conley, Kyle Anderson)43
65
Q3 - 8:54GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. personal foul (Loose ball) (Torrey Craig draws the foul)43
65
Q3 - 8:59NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound43
65
Q3 - 9:02GrizzliesMike Conley misses three point jump shot43
65
Q3 - 9:05GrizzliesKyle Anderson defensive rebound43
65
Q3 - 9:06NuggetsGary Harris misses three point jump shot43
65
Q3 - 9:19GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes two point finger roll layup (Mike Conley assists)43
65
Q3 - 9:21GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound43
63
Q3 - 9:24NuggetsJaren Jackson Jr. blocks Paul Millsap's two point floating jump shot43
63
Q3 - 9:32NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound43
63
Q3 - 9:35GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. misses two point floating jump shot43
63
Q3 - 9:53NuggetsPaul Millsap turnover (out of bounds step)43
63
Q3 - 9:56GrizzliesKyle Anderson turnover (lost ball) (Torrey Craig steals)43
63
Q3 - 10:00GrizzliesKyle Anderson defensive rebound43
63
Q3 - 10:05NuggetsTorrey Craig misses three point jump shot43
63
Q3 - 10:20GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)43
63
Q3 - 10:20GrizzliesMarc Gasol turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)43
63
Q3 - 10:31GrizzliesMike Conley makes technical free throw 1 of 143
63
Q3 - 10:31NuggetsMichael Malone technical foul43
62
Q3 - 10:31NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)43
62
Q3 - 10:31NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive foul (Justin Holiday draws the foul)43
62
Q3 - 10:43GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes two point finger roll layup (Mike Conley assists)43
62
Q3 - 10:47NuggetsWill Barton turnover (lost ball) (Mike Conley steals)43
60
Q3 - 10:56NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound43
60
Q3 - 10:59GrizzliesJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot43
60
Q3 - 11:11NuggetsPaul Millsap personal foul (Loose ball) (Justin Holiday draws the foul)43
60
Q3 - 11:11GrizzliesGrizzlies defensive rebound43
60
Q3 - 11:15NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot43
60
Q3 - 11:18NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound43
60
Q3 - 11:22GrizzliesMike Conley misses three point jump shot43
60
Q3 - 11:31Stoppage (Out of bounds)43
60
Q3 - 11:47NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point jump shot43
60
Q3 - 12:00Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Marc Gasol, Justin Holiday, Mike Conley, Kyle Anderson)41
60
Q3 - 12:00Nuggets lineup change (Gary Harris, Torrey Craig, Nikola Jokic, Paul Millsap, Will Barton)41
60
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.41
60
Q2 - 0:04.0Paul Millsap defensive goaltending violation41
60
Q2 - 0:04.0GrizzliesMike Conley makes two point finger roll layup41
60
Q2 - 0:10.0NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point dunk41
58
Q2 - 0:13.0GrizzliesMarc Gasol turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Jokic steals)39
58
Q2 - 0:31.0Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Paul Millsap, Monte Morris, Malik Beasley, Will Barton)39
58
Q2 - 0:31.0NuggetsGary Harris turnover (offensive foul)39
58
Q2 - 0:31.0NuggetsGary Harris offensive foul (Mike Conley draws the foul)39
58
Q2 - 0:37.0GrizzliesMarc Gasol makes regular free throw 1 of 139
58
Q2 - 0:37.0NuggetsPaul Millsap shooting foul (Marc Gasol draws the foul)39
57
Q2 - 0:37.0GrizzliesMarc Gasol makes two point layup (Mike Conley assists)39
57
Q2 - 0:42.0GrizzliesMike Conley defensive rebound39
55
Q2 - 0:47.0NuggetsGary Harris misses two point jump shot39
55
Q2 - 0:55.0Grizzlies lineup change (Marc Gasol, Justin Holiday, Mike Conley, Kyle Anderson, Bruno Caboclo)39
55
Q2 - 0:55.0GrizzliesKyle Anderson personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)39
55
Q2 - 1:05GrizzliesJustin Holiday makes three point jump shot (Marc Gasol assists)39
55
Q2 - 1:19NuggetsMonte Morris makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)39
52
Q2 - 1:36GrizzliesMike Conley makes two point floating jump shot36
52
Q2 - 1:53NuggetsWill Barton makes two point putback layup36
50
Q2 - 1:53NuggetsWill Barton offensive rebound34
50
Q2 - 1:59NuggetsWill Barton misses two point finger roll layup34
50
Q2 - 2:04NuggetsGary Harris defensive rebound34
50
Q2 - 2:09GrizzliesJoakim Noah misses two point floating jump shot34
50
Q2 - 2:26NuggetsGary Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 134
50
Q2 - 2:26Grizzlies lineup change (Joakim Noah, Marc Gasol, Justin Holiday, Mike Conley, Kyle Anderson)33
50
Q2 - 2:26GrizzliesJoakim Noah shooting foul (Gary Harris draws the foul)33
50
Q2 - 2:26NuggetsGary Harris makes two point driving layup33
50
Q2 - 2:38Nuggets lineup change (Gary Harris, Nikola Jokic, Paul Millsap, Monte Morris, Will Barton)31
50
Q2 - 2:38GrizzliesShelvin Mack turnover (offensive foul)31
50
Q2 - 2:38GrizzliesShelvin Mack offensive foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)31
50
Q2 - 2:51NuggetsGary Harris turnover (traveling)31
50
Q2 - 2:56Nuggets 60 second timeout31
50
Q2 - 2:58GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes two point floating jump shot31
50
Q2 - 2:59GrizzliesKyle Anderson defensive rebound31
48
Q2 - 3:03NuggetsJoakim Noah blocks Nikola Jokic's two point layup31
48
Q2 - 3:28GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes two point reverse layup (Shelvin Mack assists)31
48
Q2 - 3:41NuggetsWill Barton makes two point reverse layup (Nikola Jokic assists)31
46
Q2 - 3:56GrizzliesMarc Gasol makes two point driving layup (Shelvin Mack assists)29
46
Q2 - 4:16NuggetsWill Barton makes two point reverse layup (Paul Millsap assists)29
44
Q2 - 4:21GrizzliesMarc Gasol turnover (lost ball) (Paul Millsap steals)27
44
Q2 - 4:30GrizzliesJoakim Noah defensive rebound27
44
Q2 - 4:33NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot27
44
Q2 - 4:45GrizzliesJoakim Noah personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)27
44
Q2 - 4:53GrizzliesMarc Gasol makes two point jump shot27
44
Q2 - 5:17NuggetsWill Barton makes two point driving layup (Torrey Craig assists)27
42
Q2 - 5:27GrizzliesShelvin Mack turnover (lost ball) (Torrey Craig steals)25
42
Q2 - 5:38GrizzliesJoakim Noah defensive rebound25
42
Q2 - 5:39NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot25
42
Q2 - 5:57Grizzlies lineup change (Joakim Noah, Shelvin Mack, Marc Gasol, Justin Holiday, Kyle Anderson)25
42
Q2 - 5:57Nuggets lineup change (Gary Harris, Torrey Craig, Nikola Jokic, Paul Millsap, Will Barton)25
42
Q2 - 5:57GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. turnover (offensive foul)25
42
Q2 - 5:57GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. offensive foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)25
42
Q2 - 6:23NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point jump shot25
42
Q2 - 6:45NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound23
42
Q2 - 6:47GrizzliesJoakim Noah misses regular free throw 2 of 223
42
Q2 - 6:47GrizzliesJoakim Noah makes regular free throw 1 of 223
42
Q2 - 6:47NuggetsPaul Millsap shooting foul (Joakim Noah draws the foul)23
41
Q2 - 7:08GrizzliesJoakim Noah defensive rebound23
41
Q2 - 7:11NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point jump shot23
41
Q2 - 7:30Grizzlies lineup change (Joakim Noah, Jaren Jackson Jr., Justin Holiday, Mike Conley, Kyle Anderson)23
41
Q2 - 7:30Nuggets lineup change (Gary Harris, Nikola Jokic, Paul Millsap, Monte Morris, Will Barton)23
41
Q2 - 7:30Nuggets 60 second timeout23
41
Q2 - 7:30GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes two point putback layup23
41
Q2 - 7:30GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. offensive rebound23
39
Q2 - 7:31GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. misses two point floating jump shot23
39
Q2 - 7:41GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound23
39
Q2 - 7:43NuggetsTrey Lyles misses two point jump shot23
39
Q2 - 8:06GrizzliesJoakim Noah makes two point floating jump shot (Mike Conley assists)23
39
Q2 - 8:12GrizzliesJoakim Noah defensive rebound23
37
Q2 - 8:16NuggetsMalik Beasley misses three point jump shot23
37
Q2 - 8:36GrizzliesMike Conley makes two point driving layup23
37
Q2 - 8:47NuggetsMalik Beasley makes three point jump shot (Mason Plumlee assists)23
35
Q2 - 8:54Jump ball. Mason Plumlee vs. Kyle Anderson (Mason Plumlee gains possession)20
35
Q2 - 8:54NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound20
35
Q2 - 8:58NuggetsKyle Anderson blocks Mason Plumlee's two point layup20
35
Q2 - 9:11Grizzlies lineup change (Joakim Noah, Jaren Jackson Jr., Mike Conley, Kyle Anderson, Bruno Caboclo)20
35
Q2 - 9:11Stoppage (Out of bounds)20
35
Q2 - 9:11NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound20
35
Q2 - 9:13GrizzliesMike Conley misses three point jump shot20
35
Q2 - 9:23GrizzliesJoakim Noah defensive rebound20
35
Q2 - 9:27NuggetsTrey Lyles misses three point jump shot20
35
Q2 - 9:33NuggetsMonte Morris defensive rebound20
35
Q2 - 9:35GrizzliesBruno Caboclo misses three point jump shot20
35
Q2 - 9:42GrizzliesBruno Caboclo offensive rebound20
35
Q2 - 9:46GrizzliesShelvin Mack misses two point finger roll layup20
35
Q2 - 10:10NuggetsMalik Beasley makes two point jump shot20
35
Q2 - 10:29GrizzliesJoakim Noah makes two point turnaround hook shot (Shelvin Mack assists)18
35
Q2 - 10:42NuggetsMason Plumlee makes regular free throw 2 of 218
33
Q2 - 10:42NuggetsMason Plumlee makes regular free throw 1 of 217
33
Q2 - 10:42GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. shooting foul (Mason Plumlee draws the foul)16
33
Q2 - 10:56GrizzliesBruno Caboclo makes three point jump shot (Joakim Noah assists)16
33
Q2 - 11:08NuggetsTrey Lyles turnover (lost ball) (Jaren Jackson Jr. steals)16
30
Q2 - 11:23NuggetsMalik Beasley defensive rebound16
30
Q2 - 11:27GrizzliesBruno Caboclo misses three point jump shot16
30
Q2 - 11:43NuggetsMason Plumlee turnover (offensive foul)16
30
Q2 - 11:43NuggetsMason Plumlee offensive foul (Charge) (Joakim Noah draws the foul)16
30
Q2 - 11:43NuggetsMason Plumlee offensive rebound16
30
Q2 - 11:46NuggetsMalik Beasley misses three point jump shot16
30
Q2 - 12:00Grizzlies lineup change (Joakim Noah, Shelvin Mack, Jaren Jackson Jr., Mike Conley, Bruno Caboclo)16
30
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.16
30
Q1 - 0:00.0NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound16
30
Q1 - 0:00.0NuggetsMason Plumlee misses two point fadeaway jump shot16
30
Q1 - 0:08.0NuggetsJuancho Hernangomez defensive rebound16
30
Q1 - 0:11.0GrizzliesMarc Gasol misses two point jump shot16
30
Q1 - 0:32.0GrizzliesMarc Gasol defensive rebound16
30
Q1 - 0:36.0NuggetsMalik Beasley misses three point jump shot16
30
Q1 - 0:48.0NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound16
30
Q1 - 0:50.0GrizzliesBruno Caboclo misses three point step back jump shot16
30
Q1 - 1:04GrizzliesMarc Gasol defensive rebound16
30
Q1 - 1:07NuggetsMalik Beasley misses three point jump shot16
30
Q1 - 1:15GrizzliesShelvin Mack personal foul (Malik Beasley draws the foul)16
30
Q1 - 1:20NuggetsTrey Lyles defensive rebound16
30
Q1 - 1:22GrizzliesMarc Gasol misses three point jump shot16
30
Q1 - 1:24GrizzliesJoakim Noah offensive rebound16
30
Q1 - 1:28GrizzliesJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot16
30
Q1 - 1:32GrizzliesBruno Caboclo defensive rebound16
30
Q1 - 1:36NuggetsTrey Lyles misses two point floating jump shot16
30
Q1 - 1:54GrizzliesMarc Gasol makes two point jump shot16
30
Q1 - 2:15NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point floating jump shot16
28
Q1 - 2:26GrizzliesBruno Caboclo personal foul (Loose ball) (Malik Beasley draws the foul)14
28
Q1 - 2:26NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound14
28
Q1 - 2:27GrizzliesShelvin Mack misses two point jump shot14
28
Q1 - 2:37NuggetsTrey Lyles turnover (bad pass) (Joakim Noah steals)14
28
Q1 - 2:45Nuggets lineup change (Monte Morris, Malik Beasley, Mason Plumlee, Trey Lyles, Juancho Hernangomez)14
28
Q1 - 2:45Nuggets 60 second timeout14
28
Q1 - 2:47GrizzliesShelvin Mack makes three point jump shot (Marc Gasol assists)14
28
Q1 - 3:02GrizzliesMarc Gasol defensive rebound14
25
Q1 - 3:06NuggetsTrey Lyles misses three point jump shot14
25
Q1 - 3:20GrizzliesMarc Gasol makes two point jump shot (Shelvin Mack assists)14
25
Q1 - 3:28Grizzlies lineup change (Joakim Noah, Shelvin Mack, Marc Gasol, Justin Holiday, Bruno Caboclo)14
23
Q1 - 3:28Nuggets lineup change (Torrey Craig, Monte Morris, Malik Beasley, Mason Plumlee, Trey Lyles)14
23
Q1 - 3:28Grizzlies 60 second timeout14
23
Q1 - 3:34NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot14
23
Q1 - 3:51GrizzliesMarc Gasol makes three point jump shot (Shelvin Mack assists)11
23
Q1 - 3:57GrizzliesBruno Caboclo defensive rebound11
20
Q1 - 4:01NuggetsGary Harris misses three point jump shot11
20
Q1 - 4:11NuggetsMason Plumlee offensive rebound11
20
Q1 - 4:11NuggetsJaren Jackson Jr. blocks Mason Plumlee's two point putback layup11
20
Q1 - 4:11NuggetsMason Plumlee offensive rebound11
20
Q1 - 4:14NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point driving layup11
20
Q1 - 4:38GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes two point dunk (Justin Holiday assists)11
20
Q1 - 4:46Nuggets lineup change (Gary Harris, Torrey Craig, Nikola Jokic, Monte Morris, Mason Plumlee)11
18
Q1 - 4:46Grizzlies lineup change (Shelvin Mack, Jaren Jackson Jr., Marc Gasol, Justin Holiday, Bruno Caboclo)11
18
Q1 - 4:46Stoppage (Out of bounds)11
18
Q1 - 4:47GrizzliesGrizzlies offensive rebound11
18
Q1 - 4:47GrizzliesPaul Millsap blocks Jaren Jackson Jr.'s two point driving layup11
18
Q1 - 4:49GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. offensive rebound11
18
Q1 - 4:53GrizzliesJustin Holiday misses two point jump shot11
18
Q1 - 5:13NuggetsTorrey Craig makes two point layup (Nikola Jokic assists)11
18
Q1 - 5:25NuggetsTorrey Craig offensive rebound9
18
Q1 - 5:31NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot9
18
Q1 - 5:42GrizzliesJustin Holiday personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)9
18
Q1 - 5:54Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Marc Gasol, Justin Holiday, Mike Conley, Bruno Caboclo)9
18
Q1 - 5:54GrizzliesMarc Gasol turnover (out of bounds bad pass)9
18
Q1 - 6:06GrizzliesMarc Gasol defensive rebound9
18
Q1 - 6:09NuggetsPaul Millsap misses three point jump shot9
18
Q1 - 6:17NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound9
18
Q1 - 6:19GrizzliesMarc Gasol misses three point jump shot9
18
Q1 - 6:42NuggetsTorrey Craig makes three point jump shot (Will Barton assists)9
18
Q1 - 6:57NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound6
18
Q1 - 7:01GrizzliesMike Conley misses three point jump shot6
18
Q1 - 7:14NuggetsGary Harris makes two point step back jump shot6
18
Q1 - 7:36GrizzliesMarc Gasol makes two point jump shot (Mike Conley assists)4
18
Q1 - 7:54NuggetsWill Barton makes two point layup4
16
Q1 - 8:23GrizzliesMarc Gasol makes three point jump shot (Mike Conley assists)2
16
Q1 - 8:40NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (out of bounds lost ball)2
13
Q1 - 8:51Nuggets 60 second timeout2
13
Q1 - 8:52GrizzliesMike Conley makes three point jump shot2
13
Q1 - 8:57GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound2
10
Q1 - 9:00NuggetsPaul Millsap misses two point layup2
10
Q1 - 9:16GrizzliesJustin Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 12
10
Q1 - 9:16NuggetsGary Harris shooting foul (Justin Holiday draws the foul)2
9
Q1 - 9:16GrizzliesJustin Holiday makes two point layup (Mike Conley assists)2
9
Q1 - 9:21GrizzliesMike Conley defensive rebound2
7
Q1 - 9:24NuggetsPaul Millsap misses two point step back jump shot2
7
Q1 - 9:40GrizzliesMarc Gasol makes two point jump shot (Mike Conley assists)2
7
Q1 - 9:54NuggetsGary Harris makes two point reverse layup (Will Barton assists)2
5
Q1 - 9:57Stoppage (Out of bounds)0
5
Q1 - 9:57NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound0
5
Q1 - 9:58NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot0
5
Q1 - 10:02GrizzliesKyle Anderson turnover (bad pass) (Torrey Craig steals)0
5
Q1 - 10:14GrizzliesJustin Holiday defensive rebound0
5
Q1 - 10:16NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot0
5
Q1 - 10:34GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes two point dunk (Kyle Anderson assists)0
5
Q1 - 10:37GrizzliesJustin Holiday defensive rebound0
3
Q1 - 10:40NuggetsTorrey Craig misses two point driving layup0
3
Q1 - 10:52NuggetsTorrey Craig defensive rebound0
3
Q1 - 10:55GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. misses three point jump shot0
3
Q1 - 10:58GrizzliesMarc Gasol offensive rebound0
3
Q1 - 11:01GrizzliesJustin Holiday misses three point step back jump shot0
3
Q1 - 11:17GrizzliesMarc Gasol defensive rebound0
3
Q1 - 11:19NuggetsGary Harris misses three point jump shot0
3
Q1 - 11:46GrizzliesMike Conley makes three point jump shot (Marc Gasol assists)0
3
Q1 - 12:00Nikola Jokic vs. Marc Gasol (Mike Conley gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Marc Gasol, Justin Holiday, Mike Conley, Kyle Anderson)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Nuggets lineup change (Gary Harris, Torrey Craig, Nikola Jokic, Paul Millsap, Will Barton)0
0
ClockTeamEventDENMEM
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.03 51.6%
MEM
1.06 52.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
18
28
64%
MEM
15
19
79%
Midrange
DEN
11
20
55%
MEM
11
27
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
8
12.0
36
22%
33%
MEM
9
13.5
32
28%
42%
Free Throws
DEN
13
14
93%
MEM
13
19
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić2457%12.0 / 21
W. Barton2067%10.0 / 15
M. Beasley1864%9.0 / 14
G. Harris1146%5.5 / 12
M. Morris956%4.5 / 8
T. Craig563%2.5 / 4
P. Millsap429%2.0 / 7
M. Plumlee440%2.0 / 5
T. Lyles0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Gasol2867%14.0 / 21
M. Conley2364%11.5 / 18
J. Holiday950%4.5 / 9
K. Anderson950%4.5 / 9
J. Jackson840%4.0 / 10
J. Noah758%3.5 / 6
B. Caboclo542%2.5 / 6
S. Mack338%1.5 / 4
I. Rabb0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
79
+13
-15
92
MEM
75
+12
-19
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.03 51.6%
MEM
1.06 52.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
6
112.6
27
106.1
DEN 101.1 +3.2
MEM 97.9
Pace
26
98.0
30
96.6
DEN 102.2 +15.1
MEM 87.0
Avg. Poss. Time
10
14.7
1
15.4
DEN 14.1 −2.4
MEM 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
15
52.7%
27
50.8%
DEN 48.8%
MEM 50.6% +1.8%
TO %
10
13.1%
19
13.5%
DEN 14.3% −4.5%
MEM 18.8%
ORB %
1
26.6%
29
20.1%
DEN 21.4%
MEM 24.3% +2.9%
FTrt
27
23.2
7
27.2
DEN 16.7
MEM 24.4 +7.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
2
65.3%
6
63.1%
DEN 45.9%
MEM 74.3% +28.4%
STL %
12
7.9%
6
8.5%
DEN 10.6% +5.3%
MEM 5.3%
BLK %
22
8.2%
2
10.7%
DEN 4.3%
MEM 14.6% +10.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
15
54.5%
25
53.4%
DEN 51.6%
MEM 52.9% +1.3%
Rim FG%
20
59.6%
19
59.9%
DEN 64.3%
MEM 78.9% +14.6%
Mid FG%
3
43.3%
16
40.0%
DEN 55.0% +14.3%
MEM 40.7%
3P %
17
35.1%
25
34.2%
DEN 22.2%
MEM 28.1% +5.9%
FT %
20
75.5%
15
77.2%
DEN 92.9% +24.5%
MEM 68.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
12
37.5%
23
34.8%
DEN 33.3% +9.0%
MEM 24.4%
Mid Att. %
16
27.7%
22
31.0%
DEN 23.8% −10.8%
MEM 34.6%
3P Att. %
15
34.8%
19
34.2%
DEN 42.9% +1.8%
MEM 41.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENMEM
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points9592
Rebounds3742
Assists1726
Steals105
Blocks27
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)19 (1)
Fouls1822
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (6)33 (2)
Field Goals37-8435-78
At-the-Rim FG18-2815-19
Midrange FG11-2011-27
2-Point FG29-4826-46
3-Point FG8-369-32
Free Throws13-1413-19
Fast Break Pts1316
2nd Chance Pts169
Points in Paint4844
Pts off Turnovers3012
Bench Points3115
Biggest Lead325

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#5 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 28
35.7
20
67%
5
2
1
0
2
1
2
3
0-0
-
7-9
78%
2-6
33%
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 24
34.6
24
57%
5
3
4
0
4
3
1
4
3-3
100%
9-12
75%
1-8
13%
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24
31.4
11
46%
4
3
0
0
2
4
1
3
3-3
100%
4-7
57%
0-4
0%
#4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 34
29.3
4
29%
5
1
1
1
2
4
0
5
4-4
100%
0-4
0%
0-1
0%
#3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 28
20.7
5
63%
4
2
3
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
#11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 24
24.6
9
56%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
#25 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22
24.4
18
64%
3
3
1
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
4-4
100%
3-9
33%
#24 · PF · 7'0" 254 · 29
18.7
4
40%
7
2
0
0
2
3
3
4
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
#7 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 23
13.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
#41 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23
7.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#20 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#6 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#45 · C · 7'0" 255 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#8 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 20
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
#0 · PG · 5'9" 185 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hip Surgery
#1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Low Back Surgery
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
52%
37
17
10
2
15
18
9
28
13-14
93%
29-48
60%
8-36
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.