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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 6, 2019
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Nuggets58%117115
18Lakers42%11499
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.1
40.0
29.8
16
50%
8
3
0
1
1
0
7
1
2-2
100%
7-12
4-7
58%
51%
0-3
0%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.0
35.4
31.1
12
70%
17
8
3
1
0
2
4
13
6-8
75%
3-4
7-13
75%
56%
0-1
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.2
33.0
31.3
23
66%
4
5
0
1
1
1
1
3
2-3
67%
3-5
4-7
60%
49%
5-11
45%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.0
32.9
29.1
19
48%
8
4
0
1
0
2
0
8
0-0
-
5-11
4-8
45%
49%
3-9
33%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.5
29.8
24.9
19
83%
6
4
1
1
0
0
4
2
1-1
100%
6-7
3-6
86%
53%
2-4
50%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.3
17.5
22.8
8
40%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
55%
2-7
29%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.0
15.3
18.7
9
60%
4
3
0
1
1
1
1
3
1-1
100%
4-7
3-5
57%
59%
0-0
-
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.7
15.1
17.8
5
50%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
53%
1-2
50%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 30.1
14.2
15.5
4
34%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
2-2
2-4
100%
48%
0-3
0%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.2
4.3
8.8
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
57%
0-2
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.4
0.8
7.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.1
0.8
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
54%
0-0
-
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 19.9
0.8
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.3
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.7
Brandon Goodwin
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Hart
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.0
38.7
22.1
7
48%
5
2
0
1
0
0
1
4
2-3
67%
1-4
1-3
25%
54%
1-2
50%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 33.0
34.6
31.7
4
29%
7
11
2
1
1
2
1
6
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
47%
0-3
0%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 34.2
31.1
37.8
31
61%
7
7
1
1
1
4
0
7
3-8
38%
11-15
7-13
73%
59%
2-7
29%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 31.1
21.0
15.6
16
77%
6
0
1
0
1
1
0
6
0-1
0%
8-10
4-6
80%
62%
0-0
-
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 28.0
20.2
28.6
2
20%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 25.0
29.3
3.1
15
63%
6
3
0
0
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
5-7
0-0
71%
50%
1-4
25%
Moritz Wagner
F · 7'0" 241 · 21.9
27.0
3.5
11
48%
3
2
1
0
1
3
1
2
1-1
100%
2-5
0-1
40%
54%
2-6
33%
Johnathan Williams
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.8
14.7
3.7
8
69%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-4
50%
3-4
0-1
75%
51%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 28.5
9.4
8.4
3
30%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
1-4
25%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.0
7.0
17.7
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 27.7
4.8
11.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-2
0%
Isaac Bonga
G · 6'9" 203 · 19.3
2.2
2.0
2
114%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-0
-
Brandon Ingram
F-G · 6'9" 190 · 21.5
25.1
0
5-9
51%
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 21.4
Kyle Kuzma
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.6
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 36.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.