Final Win Prob. pScore
854%107
125
1346%106
104
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo Raptors
123.8101101.7
MIA logo Heat
102.0102101.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.125
104
Q4 - RaptorsNorman Powell makes three point jump shot (Malcolm Miller assists)125
104
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Rodney McGruder assists)122
104
Q4 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)122
101
Q4 - RaptorsNorman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2122
101
Q4 - RaptorsNorman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2121
101
Q4 - HeatRyan Anderson shooting foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)120
101
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2120
101
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2120
100
Q4 - RaptorsChris Boucher shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)120
99
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound120
99
Q4 - RaptorsMalcolm Miller misses three point step back jump shot120
99
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1120
99
Q4 - RaptorsChris Boucher shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)120
98
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup120
98
Q4 - RaptorsMalcolm Miller makes three point jump shot (OG Anunoby assists)120
96
Q4 - RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound117
96
Q4 - HeatRodney McGruder misses regular free throw 2 of 2117
96
Q4 - Raptors lineup change (Chris Boucher, OG Anunoby, Malcolm Miller, Patrick McCaw, Norman Powell)117
96
Q4 - HeatRodney McGruder makes regular free throw 1 of 2117
96
Q4 - RaptorsJeremy Lin shooting foul (Rodney McGruder draws the foul)117
95
Q4 - HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound117
95
Q4 - RaptorsChris Boucher misses three point jump shot117
95
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point alley-oop dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)117
95
Q4 - RaptorsOG Anunoby turnover (bad pass) (Rodney McGruder steals)117
93
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters turnover (out of bounds bad pass)117
93
Q4 - RaptorsJeremy Lin makes two point jump shot117
93
Q4 - RaptorsJeremy Lin defensive rebound115
93
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot115
93
Q4 - RaptorsNorman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2115
93
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters, Ryan Anderson, Derrick Jones Jr., Rodney McGruder)114
93
Q4 - Raptors lineup change (Chris Boucher, OG Anunoby, Malcolm Miller, Jeremy Lin, Norman Powell)114
93
Q4 - RaptorsNorman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2114
93
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow shooting foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)113
93
Q4 - RaptorsJeremy Lin defensive rebound113
93
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson misses two point turnaround jump shot113
93
Q4 - RaptorsMarc Gasol turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)113
93
Q4 - RaptorsMarc Gasol defensive rebound113
93
Q4 - HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot113
93
Q4 - RaptorsKyle Lowry turnover (lost ball) (Rodney McGruder steals)113
93
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow turnover (bad pass) (OG Anunoby steals)113
93
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound113
93
Q4 - RaptorsOG Anunoby misses three point jump shot113
93
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 2 of 2113
93
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 1 of 2113
92
Q4 - RaptorsNorman Powell personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)113
91
Q4 - RaptorsJeremy Lin makes regular free throw 2 of 2113
91
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Rodney McGruder)112
91
Q4 - RaptorsJeremy Lin makes regular free throw 1 of 2112
91
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow shooting foul (Jeremy Lin draws the foul)111
91
Q4 - RaptorsKyle Lowry offensive rebound111
91
Q4 - RaptorsNorman Powell misses three point jump shot111
91
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. turnover (offensive foul)111
91
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive foul (Off the ball) (OG Anunoby draws the foul)111
91
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic)111
91
Q4 - Heat 60 second timeout111
91
Q4 - RaptorsOG Anunoby makes two point dunk (Jeremy Lin assists)111
91
Q4 - RaptorsMarc Gasol defensive rebound109
91
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point floating jump shot109
91
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound109
91
Q4 - RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot109
91
Q4 - HeatGoran Dragic makes two point layup (Justise Winslow assists)109
91
Q4 - RaptorsOG Anunoby makes two point dunk (Marc Gasol assists)109
89
Q4 - RaptorsMarc Gasol defensive rebound107
89
Q4 - HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot107
89
Q4 - RaptorsJeremy Lin makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
89
Q4 - RaptorsJeremy Lin makes regular free throw 1 of 2106
89
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Jeremy Lin draws the foul)105
89
Q4 - RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound105
89
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point driving layup105
89
Q4 - RaptorsOG Anunoby personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)105
89
Q4 - RaptorsJeremy Lin personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)105
89
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic)105
89
Q4 - Heat 60 second timeout105
89
Q4 - RaptorsKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Marc Gasol assists)105
89
Q4 - RaptorsMarc Gasol defensive rebound102
89
Q4 - HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot102
89
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson offensive rebound102
89
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot102
89
Q4 - RaptorsNorman Powell offensive foul (Off the ball) (Josh Richardson draws the foul)102
89
Q4 - RaptorsNorman Powell turnover (offensive foul)102
89
Q4 - RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound102
89
Q4 - HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot102
89
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Rodney McGruder)102
89
Q4 - RaptorsMarc Gasol personal foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)102
89
Q4 - RaptorsJeremy Lin makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)102
89
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point layup (Rodney McGruder assists)99
89
Q4 - HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound99
87
Q4 - RaptorsJeremy Lin misses two point driving layup99
87
Q4 - Jump ball. OG Anunoby vs. Hassan Whiteside (Kyle Lowry gains possession)99
87
Q4 - RaptorsRaptors defensive rebound99
87
Q4 - HeatOG Anunoby blocks Hassan Whiteside's two point putback layup99
87
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound99
87
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point floating jump shot99
87
Q4 - RaptorsOG Anunoby personal foul (Loose ball) (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)99
87
Q4 - RaptorsJeremy Lin turnover (traveling)99
87
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade personal foul (Marc Gasol draws the foul)99
87
Q4 - HeatRodney McGruder makes two point driving layup99
87
Q4 - Heat 60 second timeout99
85
Q4 - RaptorsKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Marc Gasol assists)99
85
Q4 - HeatRodney McGruder makes three point jump shot (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)96
85
Q4 - HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound96
82
Q4 - RaptorsOG Anunoby misses regular free throw 2 of 296
82
Q4 - RaptorsOG Anunoby makes regular free throw 1 of 296
82
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (OG Anunoby draws the foul)95
82
Q4 - RaptorsOG Anunoby defensive rebound95
82
Q4 - HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving layup95
82
Q4 - RaptorsKyle Lowry makes two point turnaround jump shot95
82
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside personal foul (Jeremy Lin draws the foul)93
82
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade turnover (bad pass) (Jeremy Lin steals)93
82
Q4 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)93
82
Q4 - HeatHeat offensive rebound93
82
Q4 - HeatJeremy Lin blocks Hassan Whiteside's two point layup93
82
Q4 - RaptorsOG Anunoby makes regular free throw 2 of 293
82
Q4 - RaptorsOG Anunoby makes regular free throw 1 of 292
82
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside shooting foul (OG Anunoby draws the foul)91
82
Q4 - HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)91
82
Q4 - Raptors lineup change (OG Anunoby, Marc Gasol, Jeremy Lin, Kyle Lowry, Norman Powell)91
79
Q3 - End of 3rd Quarter.91
79
Q3 - HeatHeat offensive rebound91
79
Q3 - HeatMarc Gasol blocks Dwyane Wade's three point jump shot91
79
Q3 - RaptorsJeremy Lin makes two point driving layup91
79
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point jump shot89
79
Q3 - Dwyane Wade defensive goaltending violation89
77
Q3 - RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point driving layup89
77
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder makes regular free throw 2 of 287
77
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder misses regular free throw 1 of 287
76
Q3 - RaptorsPascal Siakam shooting foul (Rodney McGruder draws the foul)87
76
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound87
76
Q3 - RaptorsJeremy Lin misses three point jump shot87
76
Q3 - RaptorsNorman Powell offensive rebound87
76
Q3 - RaptorsNorman Powell misses two point driving layup87
76
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder makes two point reverse layup (Goran Dragic assists)87
76
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound87
74
Q3 - RaptorsPascal Siakam misses two point driving layup87
74
Q3 - RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound87
74
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot87
74
Q3 - RaptorsNorman Powell turnover (traveling)87
74
Q3 - RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound87
74
Q3 - HeatGoran Dragic misses regular free throw 1 of 187
74
Q3 - RaptorsJeremy Lin shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)87
74
Q3 - HeatGoran Dragic makes two point layup (Dwyane Wade assists)87
74
Q3 - RaptorsMarc Gasol turnover (lost ball) (Dwyane Wade steals)87
72
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point driving layup87
72
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Hassan Whiteside, Dwyane Wade, Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic, Rodney McGruder)87
70
Q3 - Raptors lineup change (OG Anunoby, Marc Gasol, Jeremy Lin, Pascal Siakam, Norman Powell)87
70
Q3 - Raptors 60 second timeout87
70
Q3 - RaptorsJeremy Lin personal foul (Rodney McGruder draws the foul)87
70
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound87
70
Q3 - RaptorsJeremy Lin misses three point jump shot87
70
Q3 - RaptorsJeremy Lin defensive rebound87
70
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot87
70
Q3 - RaptorsPatrick McCaw makes regular free throw 2 of 287
70
Q3 - RaptorsPatrick McCaw misses regular free throw 1 of 286
70
Q3 - HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Patrick McCaw draws the foul)86
70
Q3 - RaptorsPatrick McCaw defensive rebound86
70
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade misses three point step back jump shot86
70
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Hassan Whiteside, Dwyane Wade, Goran Dragic, Rodney McGruder)86
70
Q3 - Raptors lineup change (Danny Green, Marc Gasol, Patrick McCaw, Jeremy Lin, Pascal Siakam)86
70
Q3 - RaptorsKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)86
70
Q3 - RaptorsPatrick McCaw defensive rebound86
70
Q3 - HeatSerge Ibaka blocks Kelly Olynyk's two point layup86
70
Q3 - RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point finger roll layup (Kyle Lowry assists)86
70
Q3 - RaptorsDanny Green defensive rebound84
70
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot84
70
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound84
70
Q3 - RaptorsSerge Ibaka misses two point jump shot84
70
Q3 - RaptorsSerge Ibaka defensive rebound84
70
Q3 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot84
70
Q3 - RaptorsRaptors turnover (shot clock violation)84
70
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Dion Waiters assists)84
70
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound84
68
Q3 - RaptorsPascal Siakam misses regular free throw 1 of 184
68
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)84
68
Q3 - RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point driving layup84
68
Q3 - RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound82
68
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot82
68
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters, Justise Winslow, Dwyane Wade)82
68
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)82
68
Q3 - HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound82
68
Q3 - RaptorsSerge Ibaka misses three point jump shot82
68
Q3 - RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound82
68
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot82
68
Q3 - RaptorsDanny Green personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)82
68
Q3 - RaptorsDanny Green turnover (lost ball) (Kelly Olynyk steals)82
68
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)82
68
Q3 - RaptorsRaptors defensive rebound82
68
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot82
68
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound82
68
Q3 - RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot82
68
Q3 - RaptorsSerge Ibaka defensive rebound82
68
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot82
68
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound82
68
Q3 - RaptorsDanny Green misses three point jump shot82
68
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point reverse layup (Bam Adebayo assists)82
68
Q3 - RaptorsPatrick McCaw personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)82
66
Q3 - Heat 60 second timeout82
66
Q3 - RaptorsPatrick McCaw makes three point jump shot (Danny Green assists)82
66
Q3 - RaptorsDanny Green defensive rebound79
66
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point driving jump shot79
66
Q3 - Pascal Siakam kicked ball violation79
66
Q3 - RaptorsDanny Green makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)79
66
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Josh Richardson assists)76
66
Q3 - RaptorsKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)76
64
Q3 - HeatDion Waiters makes two point driving layup76
64
Q3 - RaptorsDanny Green turnover (traveling)76
62
Q3 - HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)76
62
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)76
59
Q3 - RaptorsKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)76
59
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)73
59
Q3 - HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)73
59
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)73
56
Q3 - RaptorsKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)73
56
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Patrick McCaw draws the foul)70
56
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point driving layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)70
56
Q3 - RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)70
54
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)68
54
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound68
54
Q3 - RaptorsPascal Siakam misses two point floating jump shot68
54
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson)68
54
Q2 - End of 1st Half.68
54
Q2 - HeatRodney McGruder makes three point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)68
54
Q2 - RaptorsPatrick McCaw makes three point jump shot (Danny Green assists)68
51
Q2 - RaptorsDanny Green defensive rebound65
51
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point turnaround jump shot65
51
Q2 - RaptorsSerge Ibaka makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)65
51
Q2 - RaptorsSerge Ibaka defensive rebound62
51
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point putback layup62
51
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound62
51
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot62
51
Q2 - RaptorsPatrick McCaw makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)62
51
Q2 - RaptorsSerge Ibaka defensive rebound59
51
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters misses regular free throw 2 of 259
51
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Dion Waiters, Hassan Whiteside, Dwyane Wade, Josh Richardson, Rodney McGruder)59
51
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters misses regular free throw 1 of 259
51
Q2 - RaptorsDanny Green personal foul (Dion Waiters draws the foul)59
51
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound59
51
Q2 - RaptorsPascal Siakam misses two point floating jump shot59
51
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Dion Waiters, Justise Winslow, Hassan Whiteside, Dwyane Wade, Josh Richardson)59
51
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)59
51
Q2 - RaptorsDanny Green makes three point jump shot59
51
Q2 - RaptorsDanny Green defensive rebound56
51
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point driving layup56
51
Q2 - RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point floating jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)56
51
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback layup54
51
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound54
49
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point floating jump shot54
49
Q2 - RaptorsKyle Lowry makes two point driving layup54
49
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)52
49
Q2 - RaptorsPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 252
47
Q2 - RaptorsPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 251
47
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)50
47
Q2 - Raptors 60 second timeout50
47
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes regular free throw 2 of 250
47
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow misses regular free throw 1 of 250
46
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes technical free throw 1 of 150
46
Q2 - RaptorsKyle Lowry technical foul50
45
Q2 - RaptorsKyle Lowry shooting foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)50
45
Q2 - RaptorsKyle Lowry turnover (lost ball) (Justise Winslow steals)50
45
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point jump shot50
45
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound50
43
Q2 - RaptorsDanny Green misses three point jump shot50
43
Q2 - RaptorsDanny Green defensive rebound50
43
Q2 - HeatSerge Ibaka blocks Kelly Olynyk's two point layup50
43
Q2 - RaptorsPatrick McCaw turnover (bad pass) (Kelly Olynyk steals)50
43
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow turnover (bad pass) (Pascal Siakam steals)50
43
Q2 - RaptorsKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 250
43
Q2 - RaptorsKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 249
43
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)48
43
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters, Justise Winslow, Rodney McGruder)48
43
Q2 - Raptors lineup change (Danny Green, Patrick McCaw, Serge Ibaka, Kyle Lowry, Pascal Siakam)48
43
Q2 - RaptorsKyle Lowry misses technical free throw 1 of 148
43
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo technical foul (Rim hanging)48
43
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kelly Olynyk assists)48
43
Q2 - RaptorsOG Anunoby turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)48
41
Q2 - RaptorsOG Anunoby offensive rebound48
41
Q2 - RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot48
41
Q2 - RaptorsSerge Ibaka defensive rebound48
41
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point turnaround hook shot48
41
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound48
41
Q2 - RaptorsNorman Powell misses three point jump shot48
41
Q2 - RaptorsSerge Ibaka defensive rebound48
41
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo misses two point layup48
41
Q2 - RaptorsSerge Ibaka makes two point alley-oop dunk (Danny Green assists)48
41
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)46
41
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound46
38
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point jump shot46
38
Q2 - RaptorsSerge Ibaka makes regular free throw 2 of 246
38
Q2 - RaptorsSerge Ibaka misses regular free throw 1 of 245
38
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow shooting foul (Serge Ibaka draws the foul)45
38
Q2 - HeatRodney McGruder makes regular free throw 2 of 245
38
Q2 - HeatRodney McGruder misses regular free throw 1 of 245
37
Q2 - Heat 60 second timeout45
37
Q2 - RaptorsOG Anunoby shooting foul (Rodney McGruder draws the foul)45
37
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo, Justise Winslow, Goran Dragic, Rodney McGruder)45
37
Q2 - Raptors lineup change (OG Anunoby, Danny Green, Serge Ibaka, Kyle Lowry, Norman Powell)45
37
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)45
37
Q2 - HeatHeat offensive rebound45
37
Q2 - HeatJeremy Lin blocks Goran Dragic's two point driving layup45
37
Q2 - RaptorsOG Anunoby turnover (out of bounds bad pass)45
37
Q2 - RaptorsOG Anunoby offensive rebound45
37
Q2 - RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot45
37
Q2 - HeatGoran Dragic turnover (offensive foul)45
37
Q2 - HeatGoran Dragic offensive foul (Off the ball) (Jeremy Lin draws the foul)45
37
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Goran Dragic, Rodney McGruder)45
37
Q2 - RaptorsKyle Lowry personal foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)45
37
Q2 - RaptorsMarc Gasol makes two point floating jump shot (Norman Powell assists)45
37
Q2 - HeatGoran Dragic makes two point layup (Hassan Whiteside assists)43
37
Q2 - RaptorsNorman Powell makes two point reverse layup (Kyle Lowry assists)43
35
Q2 - HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Jeremy Lin draws the foul)41
35
Q2 - HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (OG Anunoby steals)41
35
Q2 - HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound41
35
Q2 - RaptorsMarc Gasol misses three point jump shot41
35
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point reverse layup41
35
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)41
33
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)41
33
Q2 - HeatHeat offensive rebound41
33
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point putback layup41
33
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound41
33
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point putback layup41
33
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound41
33
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson misses two point turnaround hook shot41
33
Q2 - RaptorsOG Anunoby makes regular free throw 2 of 241
33
Q2 - RaptorsOG Anunoby makes regular free throw 1 of 240
33
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (OG Anunoby draws the foul)39
33
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point dunk (Hassan Whiteside assists)39
33
Q2 - RaptorsOG Anunoby makes two point driving layup (Norman Powell assists)39
31
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade turnover (bad pass) (Marc Gasol steals)37
31
Q2 - RaptorsNorman Powell personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)37
31
Q2 - RaptorsMarc Gasol makes two point hook shot (Norman Powell assists)37
31
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point dunk35
31
Q2 - RaptorsKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Dwyane Wade steals)35
29
Q2 - RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound35
29
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot35
29
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound35
29
Q2 - RaptorsOG Anunoby misses two point layup35
29
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Jeremy Lin steals)35
29
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound35
29
Q2 - RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot35
29
Q2 - RaptorsMarc Gasol defensive rebound35
29
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 1 of 135
29
Q2 - RaptorsOG Anunoby shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)35
29
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point hook shot (Dwyane Wade assists)35
29
Q2 - RaptorsNorman Powell makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)35
27
Q2 - Raptors lineup change (OG Anunoby, Marc Gasol, Jeremy Lin, Kyle Lowry, Norman Powell)32
27
Q1 - End of 1st Quarter.32
27
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point hook shot (Dwyane Wade assists)32
27
Q1 - RaptorsJeremy Lin personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)32
25
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound32
25
Q1 - RaptorsMarc Gasol misses two point jump shot32
25
Q1 - HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)32
25
Q1 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)32
25
Q1 - HeatHeat offensive rebound32
25
Q1 - HeatPascal Siakam blocks Derrick Jones Jr.'s two point driving layup32
25
Q1 - RaptorsMarc Gasol makes two point jump shot (Norman Powell assists)32
25
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point jump shot30
25
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound30
23
Q1 - RaptorsJeremy Lin misses two point step back jump shot30
23
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point floating jump shot30
23
Q1 - RaptorsNorman Powell makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)30
21
Q1 - RaptorsNorman Powell defensive rebound27
21
Q1 - HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot27
21
Q1 - RaptorsPascal Siakam turnover (lost ball) (Dwyane Wade steals)27
21
Q1 - HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 3 of 327
21
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Hassan Whiteside, Dwyane Wade, Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic)27
20
Q1 - Raptors lineup change (OG Anunoby, Marc Gasol, Jeremy Lin, Pascal Siakam, Norman Powell)27
20
Q1 - HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 327
20
Q1 - HeatGoran Dragic misses regular free throw 1 of 327
19
Q1 - RaptorsDanny Green shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)27
19
Q1 - HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound27
19
Q1 - RaptorsMarc Gasol misses two point jump shot27
19
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point hook shot (Goran Dragic assists)27
19
Q1 - Raptors lineup change (Danny Green, Marc Gasol, Jeremy Lin, Pascal Siakam, Norman Powell)27
17
Q1 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)27
17
Q1 - RaptorsDanny Green makes three point jump shot (Patrick McCaw assists)27
17
Q1 - RaptorsMarc Gasol offensive rebound24
17
Q1 - RaptorsPatrick McCaw misses two point driving layup24
17
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point layup (Goran Dragic assists)24
17
Q1 - HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound24
15
Q1 - RaptorsDanny Green misses three point jump shot24
15
Q1 - Raptors 60 second timeout24
15
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Hassan Whiteside, Dwyane Wade, Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic)24
15
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters personal foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)24
15
Q1 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Marc Gasol steals)24
15
Q1 - RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point driving layup (Danny Green assists)24
15
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)22
15
Q1 - RaptorsPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 222
12
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters, Justise Winslow, Dwyane Wade, Derrick Jones Jr.)21
12
Q1 - Raptors lineup change (Danny Green, Marc Gasol, Patrick McCaw, Jeremy Lin, Pascal Siakam)21
12
Q1 - RaptorsPascal Siakam misses regular free throw 1 of 221
12
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)21
12
Q1 - RaptorsPatrick McCaw defensive rebound21
12
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot21
12
Q1 - RaptorsDanny Green makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)21
12
Q1 - RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound18
12
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo misses two point layup18
12
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound18
12
Q1 - RaptorsDanny Green misses two point floating jump shot18
12
Q1 - RaptorsDanny Green defensive rebound18
12
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters misses two point driving layup18
12
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound18
12
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot18
12
Q1 - RaptorsSerge Ibaka makes two point driving hook shot18
12
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)16
12
Q1 - RaptorsRaptors turnover (5-second violation)16
10
Q1 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)16
10
Q1 - Heat 60 second timeout16
10
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)16
10
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point step back jump shot16
10
Q1 - RaptorsKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot16
8
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)13
8
Q1 - RaptorsDanny Green makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)13
6
Q1 - RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound10
6
Q1 - HeatSerge Ibaka blocks Josh Richardson's two point finger roll layup10
6
Q1 - RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point layup (Kyle Lowry assists)10
6
Q1 - RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound8
6
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point driving layup8
6
Q1 - Pascal Siakam kicked ball violation8
6
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound8
6
Q1 - RaptorsPascal Siakam misses three point jump shot8
6
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving dunk8
6
Q1 - RaptorsPascal Siakam makes three point jump shot8
4
Q1 - RaptorsPascal Siakam offensive rebound5
4
Q1 - RaptorsSerge Ibaka misses three point jump shot5
4
Q1 - RaptorsSerge Ibaka defensive rebound5
4
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point floating jump shot5
4
Q1 - RaptorsDanny Green turnover (bad pass) (Kelly Olynyk steals)5
4
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters turnover (bad pass) (Danny Green steals)5
4
Q1 - RaptorsKyle Lowry turnover (lost ball) (Kelly Olynyk steals)5
4
Q1 - RaptorsSerge Ibaka defensive rebound5
4
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot5
4
Q1 - RaptorsKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Serge Ibaka assists)5
4
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters makes two point step back jump shot2
4
Q1 - RaptorsPascal Siakam personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)2
2
Q1 - RaptorsSerge Ibaka makes two point jump shot (Patrick McCaw assists)2
2
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)0
2
Q1 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)0
2
Q1 - RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound0
2
Q1 - RaptorsKyle Lowry misses two point driving layup0
2
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback layup0
2
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound0
0
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point driving layup0
0
Q1 - Serge Ibaka vs. Bam Adebayo (Kelly Olynyk gains possession)0
0
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson)0
0
Q1 - Raptors lineup change (Danny Green, Patrick McCaw, Serge Ibaka, Kyle Lowry, Pascal Siakam)0
0
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.39 69.4%
MIA
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
14
20
70%
MIA
24
44
55%
Midrange
TOR
7
14
50%
MIA
10
21
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
21
31.5
40
53%
79%
MIA
8
12.0
27
30%
44%
Free Throws
TOR
20
26
77%
MIA
12
21
57%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Lowry2480%12.0 / 15
P. Siakam2071%10.0 / 14
D. Green1583%7.5 / 9
N. Powell1583%7.5 / 9
O. Anunoby1169%5.5 / 8
J. Lin1169%5.5 / 8
P. McCaw10100%5.0 / 5
S. Ibaka1071%5.0 / 7
M. Gasol675%3.0 / 4
M. Miller375%1.5 / 2
C. Boucher0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo1979%9.5 / 12
D. Waiters1568%7.5 / 11
D. Wade1563%7.5 / 12
R. McGruder1372%6.5 / 9
G. Dragic1169%5.5 / 8
J. Winslow1036%5.0 / 14
J. Richardson844%4.0 / 9
H. Whiteside844%4.0 / 9
D. Jones467%2.0 / 3
K. Olynyk16%0.5 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
82
+8
-19
90
MIA
89
+14
-13
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.39 69.4%
MIA
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.1
107.5
TOR 123.8 +21.8
MIA 102.0
Pace
100.2
98.1
TOR 101.7 +0.4
MIA 101.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
15.0
TOR 14.2 −0.1
MIA 14.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.3%
51.5%
TOR 70.9% +20.9%
MIA 50.0%
TO %
13.2%
14.3%
TOR 19.7%
MIA 12.1% −7.6%
ORB %
21.8%
24.8%
TOR 18.2%
MIA 19.1% +0.9%
FTrt
24.7
24.7
TOR 35.1 +12.3
MIA 22.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
61.2%
TOR 76.2% +11.9%
MIA 64.3%
STL %
8.2%
7.8%
TOR 7.9%
MIA 12.7% +4.8%
BLK %
9.1%
10.2%
TOR 12.3% +12.3%
MIA 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.5%
52.9%
TOR 69.4% +18.9%
MIA 50.5%
Rim FG%
61.6%
60.8%
TOR 70.0% +15.5%
MIA 54.5%
Mid FG%
43.1%
36.8%
TOR 50.0% +2.4%
MIA 47.6%
3P %
36.6%
34.9%
TOR 52.5% +22.9%
MIA 29.6%
FT %
80.4%
69.5%
TOR 76.9% +19.8%
MIA 57.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.4%
37.3%
TOR 27.0%
MIA 47.8% +20.8%
Mid Att. %
25.6%
25.9%
TOR 18.9% −3.9%
MIA 22.8%
3P Att. %
37.9%
36.8%
TOR 54.1% +24.7%
MIA 29.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions101102
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points125104
Rebounds4436
Assists3227
Steals813
Blocks80
Turnovers (Team)19 (2)13 (1)
Fouls2322
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (1)27 (0)
Field Goals42-7442-92
At-the-Rim FG14-2024-44
Midrange FG7-1410-21
2-Point FG21-3434-65
3-Point FG21-408-27
Free Throws20-2612-21
Fast Break Pts2111
2nd Chance Pts1010
Points in Paint3460
Pts off Turnovers1016
Bench Points4651
Biggest Lead242

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 33
35.5
24
80%
7
10
0
0
6
2
1
6
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
6-11
55%
#43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25
29.1
20
71%
5
5
1
1
1
2
1
4
3-5
60%
7-10
70%
1-2
50%
#14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 32
26.1
15
83%
6
4
1
0
3
3
0
6
0-0
-
0-1
0%
5-8
63%
#1 · SF · 6'7" 185 · 23
26.0
10
100%
3
2
0
0
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
3-3
100%
#9 · C · 6'10" 235 · 29
22.4
10
71%
8
1
0
3
0
0
0
8
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
#24 · SF · 6'3" 215 · 26
24.4
15
83%
2
4
0
0
2
3
1
1
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
#3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 22
23.9
11
69%
3
1
2
1
3
4
2
1
5-6
83%
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
#17 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 31
23.2
11
69%
3
1
2
2
1
5
0
3
4-4
100%
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
#33 · C · 7'1" 255 · 34
21.9
6
75%
6
3
2
1
2
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
#13 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 26
3.7
3
75%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
#25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 26
3.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Load Management - Knee
#23 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Thumb Ligament
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
125
69%
44
32
8
8
19
23
6
38
20-26
77%
21-34
62%
21-40
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.