Final Win Prob. pScore
854%107
125
1346%106
104
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo Raptors
123.8101102.2
MIA logo Heat
102.0102100.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.125
104
Q4 - 0:22.0RaptorsNorman Powell makes three point jump shot (Malcolm Miller assists)125
104
Q4 - 0:44.0HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Rodney McGruder assists)122
104
Q4 - 0:47.0Stoppage (Out of bounds)122
101
Q4 - 1:06RaptorsNorman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2122
101
Q4 - 1:06RaptorsNorman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2121
101
Q4 - 1:06HeatRyan Anderson shooting foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)120
101
Q4 - 1:13HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2120
101
Q4 - 1:13HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2120
100
Q4 - 1:13RaptorsChris Boucher shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)120
99
Q4 - 1:20HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound120
99
Q4 - 1:22RaptorsMalcolm Miller misses three point step back jump shot120
99
Q4 - 1:47HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1120
99
Q4 - 1:47RaptorsChris Boucher shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)120
98
Q4 - 1:47HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup120
98
Q4 - 2:09RaptorsMalcolm Miller makes three point jump shot (OG Anunoby assists)120
96
Q4 - 2:25RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound117
96
Q4 - 2:29HeatRodney McGruder misses regular free throw 2 of 2117
96
Q4 - 2:29Raptors lineup change (Chris Boucher, OG Anunoby, Malcolm Miller, Patrick McCaw, Norman Powell)117
96
Q4 - 2:29HeatRodney McGruder makes regular free throw 1 of 2117
96
Q4 - 2:29RaptorsJeremy Lin shooting foul (Rodney McGruder draws the foul)117
95
Q4 - 2:34HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound117
95
Q4 - 2:36RaptorsChris Boucher misses three point jump shot117
95
Q4 - 2:52HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point alley-oop dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)117
95
Q4 - 2:57RaptorsOG Anunoby turnover (bad pass) (Rodney McGruder steals)117
93
Q4 - 3:07HeatDion Waiters turnover (out of bounds bad pass)117
93
Q4 - 3:19RaptorsJeremy Lin makes two point jump shot117
93
Q4 - 3:26RaptorsJeremy Lin defensive rebound115
93
Q4 - 3:29HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot115
93
Q4 - 3:43RaptorsNorman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2115
93
Q4 - 3:43Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters, Ryan Anderson, Derrick Jones Jr., Rodney McGruder)114
93
Q4 - 3:43Raptors lineup change (Chris Boucher, OG Anunoby, Malcolm Miller, Jeremy Lin, Norman Powell)114
93
Q4 - 3:43RaptorsNorman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2114
93
Q4 - 3:43HeatJustise Winslow shooting foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)113
93
Q4 - 3:44RaptorsJeremy Lin defensive rebound113
93
Q4 - 3:46HeatJosh Richardson misses two point turnaround jump shot113
93
Q4 - 3:55RaptorsMarc Gasol turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)113
93
Q4 - 4:11RaptorsMarc Gasol defensive rebound113
93
Q4 - 4:13HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot113
93
Q4 - 4:25RaptorsKyle Lowry turnover (lost ball) (Rodney McGruder steals)113
93
Q4 - 4:30HeatJustise Winslow turnover (bad pass) (OG Anunoby steals)113
93
Q4 - 4:33HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound113
93
Q4 - 4:35RaptorsOG Anunoby misses three point jump shot113
93
Q4 - 4:52HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 2 of 2113
93
Q4 - 4:52HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 1 of 2113
92
Q4 - 4:52RaptorsNorman Powell personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)113
91
Q4 - 4:58RaptorsJeremy Lin makes regular free throw 2 of 2113
91
Q4 - 4:58Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Rodney McGruder)112
91
Q4 - 4:58RaptorsJeremy Lin makes regular free throw 1 of 2112
91
Q4 - 4:58HeatJustise Winslow shooting foul (Jeremy Lin draws the foul)111
91
Q4 - 5:06RaptorsKyle Lowry offensive rebound111
91
Q4 - 5:08RaptorsNorman Powell misses three point jump shot111
91
Q4 - 5:31HeatDerrick Jones Jr. turnover (offensive foul)111
91
Q4 - 5:31HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive foul (Off the ball) (OG Anunoby draws the foul)111
91
Q4 - 5:37Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic)111
91
Q4 - 5:37Heat 60 second timeout111
91
Q4 - 5:38RaptorsOG Anunoby makes two point dunk (Jeremy Lin assists)111
91
Q4 - 5:49RaptorsMarc Gasol defensive rebound109
91
Q4 - 5:51HeatJustise Winslow misses two point floating jump shot109
91
Q4 - 6:13HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound109
91
Q4 - 6:15RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot109
91
Q4 - 6:24HeatGoran Dragic makes two point layup (Justise Winslow assists)109
91
Q4 - 6:41RaptorsOG Anunoby makes two point dunk (Marc Gasol assists)109
89
Q4 - 6:51RaptorsMarc Gasol defensive rebound107
89
Q4 - 6:54HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot107
89
Q4 - 7:02RaptorsJeremy Lin makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
89
Q4 - 7:02RaptorsJeremy Lin makes regular free throw 1 of 2106
89
Q4 - 7:02HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Jeremy Lin draws the foul)105
89
Q4 - 7:06RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound105
89
Q4 - 7:08HeatJustise Winslow misses two point driving layup105
89
Q4 - 7:19RaptorsOG Anunoby personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)105
89
Q4 - 7:20RaptorsJeremy Lin personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)105
89
Q4 - 7:29Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic)105
89
Q4 - 7:29Heat 60 second timeout105
89
Q4 - 7:30RaptorsKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Marc Gasol assists)105
89
Q4 - 7:35RaptorsMarc Gasol defensive rebound102
89
Q4 - 7:37HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot102
89
Q4 - 7:50HeatJosh Richardson offensive rebound102
89
Q4 - 7:52HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot102
89
Q4 - 8:05RaptorsNorman Powell offensive foul (Off the ball) (Josh Richardson draws the foul)102
89
Q4 - 8:05RaptorsNorman Powell turnover (offensive foul)102
89
Q4 - 8:06RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound102
89
Q4 - 8:08HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot102
89
Q4 - 8:17Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Rodney McGruder)102
89
Q4 - 8:17RaptorsMarc Gasol personal foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)102
89
Q4 - 8:30RaptorsJeremy Lin makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)102
89
Q4 - 8:49HeatDwyane Wade makes two point layup (Rodney McGruder assists)99
89
Q4 - 8:52HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound99
87
Q4 - 8:55RaptorsJeremy Lin misses two point driving layup99
87
Q4 - 8:57Jump ball. OG Anunoby vs. Hassan Whiteside (Kyle Lowry gains possession)99
87
Q4 - 9:05RaptorsRaptors defensive rebound99
87
Q4 - 9:05HeatOG Anunoby blocks Hassan Whiteside's two point putback layup99
87
Q4 - 9:07HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound99
87
Q4 - 9:08HeatDwyane Wade misses two point floating jump shot99
87
Q4 - 9:16RaptorsOG Anunoby personal foul (Loose ball) (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)99
87
Q4 - 9:30RaptorsJeremy Lin turnover (traveling)99
87
Q4 - 9:33HeatDwyane Wade personal foul (Marc Gasol draws the foul)99
87
Q4 - 9:44HeatRodney McGruder makes two point driving layup99
87
Q4 - 10:04Heat 60 second timeout99
85
Q4 - 10:04RaptorsKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Marc Gasol assists)99
85
Q4 - 10:20HeatRodney McGruder makes three point jump shot (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)96
85
Q4 - 10:37HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound96
82
Q4 - 10:39RaptorsOG Anunoby misses regular free throw 2 of 296
82
Q4 - 10:39RaptorsOG Anunoby makes regular free throw 1 of 296
82
Q4 - 10:39HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (OG Anunoby draws the foul)95
82
Q4 - 10:46RaptorsOG Anunoby defensive rebound95
82
Q4 - 10:47HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving layup95
82
Q4 - 11:04RaptorsKyle Lowry makes two point turnaround jump shot95
82
Q4 - 11:11HeatHassan Whiteside personal foul (Jeremy Lin draws the foul)93
82
Q4 - 11:12HeatDwyane Wade turnover (bad pass) (Jeremy Lin steals)93
82
Q4 - 11:16Stoppage (Out of bounds)93
82
Q4 - 11:16HeatHeat offensive rebound93
82
Q4 - 11:17HeatJeremy Lin blocks Hassan Whiteside's two point layup93
82
Q4 - 11:31RaptorsOG Anunoby makes regular free throw 2 of 293
82
Q4 - 11:31RaptorsOG Anunoby makes regular free throw 1 of 292
82
Q4 - 11:31HeatHassan Whiteside shooting foul (OG Anunoby draws the foul)91
82
Q4 - 11:45HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)91
82
Q4 - 12:00Raptors lineup change (OG Anunoby, Marc Gasol, Jeremy Lin, Kyle Lowry, Norman Powell)91
79
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.91
79
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound91
79
Q3 - 0:01.0HeatMarc Gasol blocks Dwyane Wade's three point jump shot91
79
Q3 - 0:05.0RaptorsJeremy Lin makes two point driving layup91
79
Q3 - 0:17.0HeatDwyane Wade makes two point jump shot89
79
Q3 - 0:32.0Dwyane Wade defensive goaltending violation89
77
Q3 - 0:32.0RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point driving layup89
77
Q3 - 0:52.0HeatRodney McGruder makes regular free throw 2 of 287
77
Q3 - 0:52.0HeatRodney McGruder misses regular free throw 1 of 287
76
Q3 - 0:52.0RaptorsPascal Siakam shooting foul (Rodney McGruder draws the foul)87
76
Q3 - 1:00HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound87
76
Q3 - 1:02RaptorsJeremy Lin misses three point jump shot87
76
Q3 - 1:05RaptorsNorman Powell offensive rebound87
76
Q3 - 1:07RaptorsNorman Powell misses two point driving layup87
76
Q3 - 1:34HeatRodney McGruder makes two point reverse layup (Goran Dragic assists)87
76
Q3 - 1:38HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound87
74
Q3 - 1:40RaptorsPascal Siakam misses two point driving layup87
74
Q3 - 1:46RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound87
74
Q3 - 1:48HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot87
74
Q3 - 2:00RaptorsNorman Powell turnover (traveling)87
74
Q3 - 2:08RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound87
74
Q3 - 2:11HeatGoran Dragic misses regular free throw 1 of 187
74
Q3 - 2:11RaptorsJeremy Lin shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)87
74
Q3 - 2:11HeatGoran Dragic makes two point layup (Dwyane Wade assists)87
74
Q3 - 2:14RaptorsMarc Gasol turnover (lost ball) (Dwyane Wade steals)87
72
Q3 - 2:27HeatDwyane Wade makes two point driving layup87
72
Q3 - 2:37Heat lineup change (Hassan Whiteside, Dwyane Wade, Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic, Rodney McGruder)87
70
Q3 - 2:37Raptors lineup change (OG Anunoby, Marc Gasol, Jeremy Lin, Pascal Siakam, Norman Powell)87
70
Q3 - 2:37Raptors 60 second timeout87
70
Q3 - 2:37RaptorsJeremy Lin personal foul (Rodney McGruder draws the foul)87
70
Q3 - 2:43HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound87
70
Q3 - 2:45RaptorsJeremy Lin misses three point jump shot87
70
Q3 - 3:05RaptorsJeremy Lin defensive rebound87
70
Q3 - 3:06HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot87
70
Q3 - 3:25RaptorsPatrick McCaw makes regular free throw 2 of 287
70
Q3 - 3:25RaptorsPatrick McCaw misses regular free throw 1 of 286
70
Q3 - 3:25HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Patrick McCaw draws the foul)86
70
Q3 - 3:32RaptorsPatrick McCaw defensive rebound86
70
Q3 - 3:33HeatDwyane Wade misses three point step back jump shot86
70
Q3 - 3:50Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Hassan Whiteside, Dwyane Wade, Goran Dragic, Rodney McGruder)86
70
Q3 - 3:50Raptors lineup change (Danny Green, Marc Gasol, Patrick McCaw, Jeremy Lin, Pascal Siakam)86
70
Q3 - 3:50RaptorsKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)86
70
Q3 - 3:50RaptorsPatrick McCaw defensive rebound86
70
Q3 - 3:55HeatSerge Ibaka blocks Kelly Olynyk's two point layup86
70
Q3 - 4:11RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point finger roll layup (Kyle Lowry assists)86
70
Q3 - 4:14RaptorsDanny Green defensive rebound84
70
Q3 - 4:16HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot84
70
Q3 - 4:35HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound84
70
Q3 - 4:37RaptorsSerge Ibaka misses two point jump shot84
70
Q3 - 4:52RaptorsSerge Ibaka defensive rebound84
70
Q3 - 4:54HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot84
70
Q3 - 5:17RaptorsRaptors turnover (shot clock violation)84
70
Q3 - 5:42HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Dion Waiters assists)84
70
Q3 - 5:53HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound84
68
Q3 - 5:56RaptorsPascal Siakam misses regular free throw 1 of 184
68
Q3 - 5:56HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)84
68
Q3 - 5:56RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point driving layup84
68
Q3 - 6:05RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound82
68
Q3 - 6:07HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot82
68
Q3 - 6:18Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters, Justise Winslow, Dwyane Wade)82
68
Q3 - 6:18Stoppage (Out of bounds)82
68
Q3 - 6:24HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound82
68
Q3 - 6:28RaptorsSerge Ibaka misses three point jump shot82
68
Q3 - 6:32RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound82
68
Q3 - 6:35HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot82
68
Q3 - 6:51RaptorsDanny Green personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)82
68
Q3 - 6:51RaptorsDanny Green turnover (lost ball) (Kelly Olynyk steals)82
68
Q3 - 7:02Stoppage (Out of bounds)82
68
Q3 - 7:02RaptorsRaptors defensive rebound82
68
Q3 - 7:03HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot82
68
Q3 - 7:11HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound82
68
Q3 - 7:14RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot82
68
Q3 - 7:23RaptorsSerge Ibaka defensive rebound82
68
Q3 - 7:25HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot82
68
Q3 - 7:29HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound82
68
Q3 - 7:32RaptorsDanny Green misses three point jump shot82
68
Q3 - 7:48HeatJustise Winslow makes two point reverse layup (Bam Adebayo assists)82
68
Q3 - 7:58RaptorsPatrick McCaw personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)82
66
Q3 - 8:11Heat 60 second timeout82
66
Q3 - 8:11RaptorsPatrick McCaw makes three point jump shot (Danny Green assists)82
66
Q3 - 8:16RaptorsDanny Green defensive rebound79
66
Q3 - 8:17HeatJustise Winslow misses two point driving jump shot79
66
Q3 - 8:27Pascal Siakam kicked ball violation79
66
Q3 - 8:39RaptorsDanny Green makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)79
66
Q3 - 9:00HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Josh Richardson assists)76
66
Q3 - 9:11RaptorsKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)76
64
Q3 - 9:14HeatDion Waiters makes two point driving layup76
64
Q3 - 9:27RaptorsDanny Green turnover (traveling)76
62
Q3 - 9:39HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)76
62
Q3 - 9:47Stoppage (Out of bounds)76
59
Q3 - 10:04RaptorsKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)76
59
Q3 - 10:09Stoppage (Out of bounds)73
59
Q3 - 10:25HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)73
59
Q3 - 10:33Stoppage (Out of bounds)73
56
Q3 - 10:47RaptorsKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)73
56
Q3 - 10:52HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Patrick McCaw draws the foul)70
56
Q3 - 10:57HeatJosh Richardson makes two point driving layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)70
56
Q3 - 11:16RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)70
54
Q3 - 11:29HeatJosh Richardson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)68
54
Q3 - 11:38HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound68
54
Q3 - 11:40RaptorsPascal Siakam misses two point floating jump shot68
54
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson)68
54
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.68
54
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatRodney McGruder makes three point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)68
54
Q2 - 0:14.0RaptorsPatrick McCaw makes three point jump shot (Danny Green assists)68
51
Q2 - 0:19.0RaptorsDanny Green defensive rebound65
51
Q2 - 0:20.0HeatDwyane Wade misses two point turnaround jump shot65
51
Q2 - 0:35.0RaptorsSerge Ibaka makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)65
51
Q2 - 0:42.0RaptorsSerge Ibaka defensive rebound62
51
Q2 - 0:43.0HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point putback layup62
51
Q2 - 0:44.0HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound62
51
Q2 - 0:45.0HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot62
51
Q2 - 1:14RaptorsPatrick McCaw makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)62
51
Q2 - 1:28RaptorsSerge Ibaka defensive rebound59
51
Q2 - 1:32HeatDion Waiters misses regular free throw 2 of 259
51
Q2 - 1:32Heat lineup change (Dion Waiters, Hassan Whiteside, Dwyane Wade, Josh Richardson, Rodney McGruder)59
51
Q2 - 1:32HeatDion Waiters misses regular free throw 1 of 259
51
Q2 - 1:32RaptorsDanny Green personal foul (Dion Waiters draws the foul)59
51
Q2 - 1:45HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound59
51
Q2 - 1:47RaptorsPascal Siakam misses two point floating jump shot59
51
Q2 - 1:55Heat lineup change (Dion Waiters, Justise Winslow, Hassan Whiteside, Dwyane Wade, Josh Richardson)59
51
Q2 - 1:55HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)59
51
Q2 - 2:14RaptorsDanny Green makes three point jump shot59
51
Q2 - 2:17RaptorsDanny Green defensive rebound56
51
Q2 - 2:19HeatJustise Winslow misses two point driving layup56
51
Q2 - 2:33RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point floating jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)56
51
Q2 - 2:56HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback layup54
51
Q2 - 2:57HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound54
49
Q2 - 2:58HeatJustise Winslow misses two point floating jump shot54
49
Q2 - 3:08RaptorsKyle Lowry makes two point driving layup54
49
Q2 - 3:18HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)52
49
Q2 - 3:33RaptorsPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 252
47
Q2 - 3:33RaptorsPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 251
47
Q2 - 3:33HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)50
47
Q2 - 3:43Raptors 60 second timeout50
47
Q2 - 3:48HeatJustise Winslow makes regular free throw 2 of 250
47
Q2 - 3:48HeatJustise Winslow misses regular free throw 1 of 250
46
Q2 - 3:48HeatKelly Olynyk makes technical free throw 1 of 150
46
Q2 - 3:48RaptorsKyle Lowry technical foul50
45
Q2 - 3:48RaptorsKyle Lowry shooting foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)50
45
Q2 - 3:53RaptorsKyle Lowry turnover (lost ball) (Justise Winslow steals)50
45
Q2 - 4:08HeatJustise Winslow makes two point jump shot50
45
Q2 - 4:21HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound50
43
Q2 - 4:23RaptorsDanny Green misses three point jump shot50
43
Q2 - 4:33RaptorsDanny Green defensive rebound50
43
Q2 - 4:34HeatSerge Ibaka blocks Kelly Olynyk's two point layup50
43
Q2 - 4:38RaptorsPatrick McCaw turnover (bad pass) (Kelly Olynyk steals)50
43
Q2 - 4:48HeatJustise Winslow turnover (bad pass) (Pascal Siakam steals)50
43
Q2 - 4:57RaptorsKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 250
43
Q2 - 4:57RaptorsKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 249
43
Q2 - 4:57HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)48
43
Q2 - 5:07Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters, Justise Winslow, Rodney McGruder)48
43
Q2 - 5:07Raptors lineup change (Danny Green, Patrick McCaw, Serge Ibaka, Kyle Lowry, Pascal Siakam)48
43
Q2 - 5:07RaptorsKyle Lowry misses technical free throw 1 of 148
43
Q2 - 5:07HeatBam Adebayo technical foul (Rim hanging)48
43
Q2 - 5:07HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kelly Olynyk assists)48
43
Q2 - 5:12RaptorsOG Anunoby turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)48
41
Q2 - 5:13RaptorsOG Anunoby offensive rebound48
41
Q2 - 5:16RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot48
41
Q2 - 5:21RaptorsSerge Ibaka defensive rebound48
41
Q2 - 5:23HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point turnaround hook shot48
41
Q2 - 5:33HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound48
41
Q2 - 5:35RaptorsNorman Powell misses three point jump shot48
41
Q2 - 5:50RaptorsSerge Ibaka defensive rebound48
41
Q2 - 5:50HeatBam Adebayo misses two point layup48
41
Q2 - 5:59RaptorsSerge Ibaka makes two point alley-oop dunk (Danny Green assists)48
41
Q2 - 6:18HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)46
41
Q2 - 6:20HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound46
38
Q2 - 6:21HeatJustise Winslow misses two point jump shot46
38
Q2 - 6:39RaptorsSerge Ibaka makes regular free throw 2 of 246
38
Q2 - 6:39RaptorsSerge Ibaka misses regular free throw 1 of 245
38
Q2 - 6:39HeatJustise Winslow shooting foul (Serge Ibaka draws the foul)45
38
Q2 - 6:56HeatRodney McGruder makes regular free throw 2 of 245
38
Q2 - 6:56HeatRodney McGruder misses regular free throw 1 of 245
37
Q2 - 6:56Heat 60 second timeout45
37
Q2 - 6:56RaptorsOG Anunoby shooting foul (Rodney McGruder draws the foul)45
37
Q2 - 7:11Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo, Justise Winslow, Goran Dragic, Rodney McGruder)45
37
Q2 - 7:11Raptors lineup change (OG Anunoby, Danny Green, Serge Ibaka, Kyle Lowry, Norman Powell)45
37
Q2 - 7:11Stoppage (Out of bounds)45
37
Q2 - 7:11HeatHeat offensive rebound45
37
Q2 - 7:11HeatJeremy Lin blocks Goran Dragic's two point driving layup45
37
Q2 - 7:18RaptorsOG Anunoby turnover (out of bounds bad pass)45
37
Q2 - 7:18RaptorsOG Anunoby offensive rebound45
37
Q2 - 7:22RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot45
37
Q2 - 7:35HeatGoran Dragic turnover (offensive foul)45
37
Q2 - 7:35HeatGoran Dragic offensive foul (Off the ball) (Jeremy Lin draws the foul)45
37
Q2 - 7:38Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Goran Dragic, Rodney McGruder)45
37
Q2 - 7:38RaptorsKyle Lowry personal foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)45
37
Q2 - 7:51RaptorsMarc Gasol makes two point floating jump shot (Norman Powell assists)45
37
Q2 - 8:06HeatGoran Dragic makes two point layup (Hassan Whiteside assists)43
37
Q2 - 8:18RaptorsNorman Powell makes two point reverse layup (Kyle Lowry assists)43
35
Q2 - 8:26HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Jeremy Lin draws the foul)41
35
Q2 - 8:28HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (OG Anunoby steals)41
35
Q2 - 8:33HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound41
35
Q2 - 8:35RaptorsMarc Gasol misses three point jump shot41
35
Q2 - 8:45HeatDwyane Wade makes two point reverse layup41
35
Q2 - 8:52Stoppage (Out of bounds)41
33
Q2 - 8:52Stoppage (Out of bounds)41
33
Q2 - 8:52HeatHeat offensive rebound41
33
Q2 - 8:52HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point putback layup41
33
Q2 - 8:52HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound41
33
Q2 - 8:53HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point putback layup41
33
Q2 - 8:54HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound41
33
Q2 - 8:55HeatJosh Richardson misses two point turnaround hook shot41
33
Q2 - 9:18RaptorsOG Anunoby makes regular free throw 2 of 241
33
Q2 - 9:18RaptorsOG Anunoby makes regular free throw 1 of 240
33
Q2 - 9:18HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (OG Anunoby draws the foul)39
33
Q2 - 9:33HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point dunk (Hassan Whiteside assists)39
33
Q2 - 9:53RaptorsOG Anunoby makes two point driving layup (Norman Powell assists)39
31
Q2 - 10:01HeatDwyane Wade turnover (bad pass) (Marc Gasol steals)37
31
Q2 - 10:11RaptorsNorman Powell personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)37
31
Q2 - 10:21RaptorsMarc Gasol makes two point hook shot (Norman Powell assists)37
31
Q2 - 10:39HeatDwyane Wade makes two point dunk35
31
Q2 - 10:42RaptorsKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Dwyane Wade steals)35
29
Q2 - 10:44RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound35
29
Q2 - 10:47HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot35
29
Q2 - 10:54HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound35
29
Q2 - 10:56RaptorsOG Anunoby misses two point layup35
29
Q2 - 11:01HeatDerrick Jones Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Jeremy Lin steals)35
29
Q2 - 11:17HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound35
29
Q2 - 11:20RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot35
29
Q2 - 11:29RaptorsMarc Gasol defensive rebound35
29
Q2 - 11:32HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 1 of 135
29
Q2 - 11:32RaptorsOG Anunoby shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)35
29
Q2 - 11:32HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point hook shot (Dwyane Wade assists)35
29
Q2 - 11:49RaptorsNorman Powell makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)35
27
Q2 - 12:00Raptors lineup change (OG Anunoby, Marc Gasol, Jeremy Lin, Kyle Lowry, Norman Powell)32
27
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.32
27
Q1 - 0:01.0HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point hook shot (Dwyane Wade assists)32
27
Q1 - 0:05.0RaptorsJeremy Lin personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)32
25
Q1 - 0:17.0HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound32
25
Q1 - 0:21.0RaptorsMarc Gasol misses two point jump shot32
25
Q1 - 0:32.0HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)32
25
Q1 - 0:39.0Stoppage (Out of bounds)32
25
Q1 - 0:39.0HeatHeat offensive rebound32
25
Q1 - 0:39.0HeatPascal Siakam blocks Derrick Jones Jr.'s two point driving layup32
25
Q1 - 0:56.0RaptorsMarc Gasol makes two point jump shot (Norman Powell assists)32
25
Q1 - 1:07HeatJosh Richardson makes two point jump shot30
25
Q1 - 1:17HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound30
23
Q1 - 1:19RaptorsJeremy Lin misses two point step back jump shot30
23
Q1 - 1:36HeatDwyane Wade makes two point floating jump shot30
23
Q1 - 1:53RaptorsNorman Powell makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)30
21
Q1 - 2:03RaptorsNorman Powell defensive rebound27
21
Q1 - 2:05HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot27
21
Q1 - 2:12RaptorsPascal Siakam turnover (lost ball) (Dwyane Wade steals)27
21
Q1 - 2:25HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 3 of 327
21
Q1 - 2:25Heat lineup change (Hassan Whiteside, Dwyane Wade, Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic)27
20
Q1 - 2:25Raptors lineup change (OG Anunoby, Marc Gasol, Jeremy Lin, Pascal Siakam, Norman Powell)27
20
Q1 - 2:25HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 327
20
Q1 - 2:25HeatGoran Dragic misses regular free throw 1 of 327
19
Q1 - 2:25RaptorsDanny Green shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)27
19
Q1 - 2:29HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound27
19
Q1 - 2:32RaptorsMarc Gasol misses two point jump shot27
19
Q1 - 2:47HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point hook shot (Goran Dragic assists)27
19
Q1 - 2:57Raptors lineup change (Danny Green, Marc Gasol, Jeremy Lin, Pascal Siakam, Norman Powell)27
17
Q1 - 2:57Stoppage (Out of bounds)27
17
Q1 - 3:12RaptorsDanny Green makes three point jump shot (Patrick McCaw assists)27
17
Q1 - 3:19RaptorsMarc Gasol offensive rebound24
17
Q1 - 3:21RaptorsPatrick McCaw misses two point driving layup24
17
Q1 - 3:34HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point layup (Goran Dragic assists)24
17
Q1 - 3:42HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound24
15
Q1 - 3:45RaptorsDanny Green misses three point jump shot24
15
Q1 - 3:53Raptors 60 second timeout24
15
Q1 - 4:02Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Hassan Whiteside, Dwyane Wade, Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic)24
15
Q1 - 4:02HeatDion Waiters personal foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)24
15
Q1 - 4:06HeatDerrick Jones Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Marc Gasol steals)24
15
Q1 - 4:30RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point driving layup (Danny Green assists)24
15
Q1 - 4:42HeatDwyane Wade makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)22
15
Q1 - 5:00RaptorsPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 222
12
Q1 - 5:00Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters, Justise Winslow, Dwyane Wade, Derrick Jones Jr.)21
12
Q1 - 5:00Raptors lineup change (Danny Green, Marc Gasol, Patrick McCaw, Jeremy Lin, Pascal Siakam)21
12
Q1 - 5:00RaptorsPascal Siakam misses regular free throw 1 of 221
12
Q1 - 5:00HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)21
12
Q1 - 5:03RaptorsPatrick McCaw defensive rebound21
12
Q1 - 5:05HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot21
12
Q1 - 5:21RaptorsDanny Green makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)21
12
Q1 - 5:26RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound18
12
Q1 - 5:26HeatBam Adebayo misses two point layup18
12
Q1 - 5:29HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound18
12
Q1 - 5:32RaptorsDanny Green misses two point floating jump shot18
12
Q1 - 5:45RaptorsDanny Green defensive rebound18
12
Q1 - 5:47HeatDion Waiters misses two point driving layup18
12
Q1 - 5:53HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound18
12
Q1 - 5:55HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot18
12
Q1 - 6:08RaptorsSerge Ibaka makes two point driving hook shot18
12
Q1 - 6:25HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)16
12
Q1 - 6:37RaptorsRaptors turnover (5-second violation)16
10
Q1 - 6:37Stoppage (Out of bounds)16
10
Q1 - 6:51Heat 60 second timeout16
10
Q1 - 6:51HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)16
10
Q1 - 7:05HeatJosh Richardson makes two point step back jump shot16
10
Q1 - 7:18RaptorsKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot16
8
Q1 - 7:28HeatDion Waiters makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)13
8
Q1 - 7:47RaptorsDanny Green makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)13
6
Q1 - 7:49RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound10
6
Q1 - 7:53HeatSerge Ibaka blocks Josh Richardson's two point finger roll layup10
6
Q1 - 8:06RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point layup (Kyle Lowry assists)10
6
Q1 - 8:10RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound8
6
Q1 - 8:12HeatJustise Winslow misses two point driving layup8
6
Q1 - 8:28Pascal Siakam kicked ball violation8
6
Q1 - 8:36HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound8
6
Q1 - 8:39RaptorsPascal Siakam misses three point jump shot8
6
Q1 - 8:50HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving dunk8
6
Q1 - 9:10RaptorsPascal Siakam makes three point jump shot8
4
Q1 - 9:12RaptorsPascal Siakam offensive rebound5
4
Q1 - 9:16RaptorsSerge Ibaka misses three point jump shot5
4
Q1 - 9:21RaptorsSerge Ibaka defensive rebound5
4
Q1 - 9:23HeatJustise Winslow misses two point floating jump shot5
4
Q1 - 9:37RaptorsDanny Green turnover (bad pass) (Kelly Olynyk steals)5
4
Q1 - 9:41HeatDion Waiters turnover (bad pass) (Danny Green steals)5
4
Q1 - 9:51RaptorsKyle Lowry turnover (lost ball) (Kelly Olynyk steals)5
4
Q1 - 10:04RaptorsSerge Ibaka defensive rebound5
4
Q1 - 10:07HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot5
4
Q1 - 10:27RaptorsKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Serge Ibaka assists)5
4
Q1 - 10:41HeatDion Waiters makes two point step back jump shot2
4
Q1 - 10:49RaptorsPascal Siakam personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)2
2
Q1 - 10:57RaptorsSerge Ibaka makes two point jump shot (Patrick McCaw assists)2
2
Q1 - 11:12HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)0
2
Q1 - 11:18Stoppage (Out of bounds)0
2
Q1 - 11:18RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound0
2
Q1 - 11:19RaptorsKyle Lowry misses two point driving layup0
2
Q1 - 11:37HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback layup0
2
Q1 - 11:37HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:41HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point driving layup0
0
Q1 - 12:00Serge Ibaka vs. Bam Adebayo (Kelly Olynyk gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Raptors lineup change (Danny Green, Patrick McCaw, Serge Ibaka, Kyle Lowry, Pascal Siakam)0
0
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.39 69.4%
MIA
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
14
20
70%
MIA
23
42
55%
Midrange
TOR
7
14
50%
MIA
11
23
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
21
31.5
40
53%
79%
MIA
8
12.0
27
30%
44%
Free Throws
TOR
20
26
77%
MIA
12
21
57%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Lowry2480%12.0 / 15
P. Siakam2071%10.0 / 14
D. Green1583%7.5 / 9
N. Powell1583%7.5 / 9
O. Anunoby1169%5.5 / 8
J. Lin1161%5.5 / 9
P. McCaw10100%5.0 / 5
S. Ibaka1063%5.0 / 8
M. Gasol650%3.0 / 6
M. Miller375%1.5 / 2
C. Boucher0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo1979%9.5 / 12
D. Waiters1568%7.5 / 11
D. Wade1563%7.5 / 12
R. McGruder1365%6.5 / 10
G. Dragic1161%5.5 / 9
J. Winslow1036%5.0 / 14
J. Richardson836%4.0 / 11
H. Whiteside844%4.0 / 9
D. Jones450%2.0 / 4
K. Olynyk16%0.5 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
82
+7
-19
89
MIA
89
+14
-13
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.39 69.4%
MIA
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
5
113.1
25
107.5
TOR 123.8 +21.8
MIA 102.0
Pace
15
100.2
25
98.1
TOR 102.2 +1.4
MIA 100.8
Avg. Poss. Time
18
14.4
5
15.0
TOR 14.1 −0.2
MIA 14.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
3
54.3%
21
51.5%
TOR 70.9% +20.9%
MIA 50.0%
TO %
13
13.2%
26
14.3%
TOR 19.7%
MIA 12.1% −7.6%
ORB %
23
21.8%
5
24.8%
TOR 18.2%
MIA 19.1% +0.9%
FTrt
21
24.7
20
24.7
TOR 35.1 +12.3
MIA 22.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
14
60.3%
12
61.2%
TOR 76.2% +11.9%
MIA 64.3%
STL %
8
8.2%
14
7.8%
TOR 7.9%
MIA 12.7% +4.8%
BLK %
13
9.1%
4
10.2%
TOR 12.3% +12.3%
MIA 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
4
56.5%
28
52.9%
TOR 69.4% +18.9%
MIA 50.5%
Rim FG%
12
61.6%
14
60.8%
TOR 70.0% +15.2%
MIA 54.8%
Mid FG%
4
43.1%
30
36.8%
TOR 50.0% +2.2%
MIA 47.8%
3P %
6
36.6%
21
34.9%
TOR 52.5% +22.9%
MIA 29.6%
FT %
3
80.4%
30
69.5%
TOR 76.9% +19.8%
MIA 57.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
20
36.4%
14
37.3%
TOR 27.0%
MIA 45.7% +18.6%
Mid Att. %
9
25.6%
12
25.9%
TOR 18.9% −6.1%
MIA 25.0%
3P Att. %
10
37.9%
13
36.8%
TOR 54.1% +24.7%
MIA 29.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions101102
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points125104
Rebounds4436
Assists3227
Steals813
Blocks80
Turnovers (Team)19 (2)13 (1)
Fouls2322
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (1)9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (2)27 (0)
Field Goals42-7442-92
At-the-Rim FG14-2023-42
Midrange FG7-1411-23
2-Point FG21-3434-65
3-Point FG21-408-27
Free Throws20-2612-21
Fast Break Pts2111
2nd Chance Pts1010
Points in Paint3460
Pts off Turnovers1016
Bench Points4651
Biggest Lead242

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 33
35.5
24
80%
7
10
0
0
6
2
1
6
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
6-11
55%
#43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25
29.1
20
71%
5
5
1
1
1
2
1
4
3-5
60%
7-10
70%
1-2
50%
#14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 32
26.1
15
83%
6
4
1
0
3
3
0
6
0-0
-
0-1
0%
5-8
63%
#1 · SF · 6'7" 185 · 23
26.0
10
100%
3
2
0
0
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
3-3
100%
#9 · C · 6'10" 235 · 29
22.4
10
63%
8
1
0
3
0
0
0
8
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
#24 · SF · 6'4" 215 · 26
24.4
15
83%
2
4
0
0
2
3
1
1
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
#3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 22
23.9
11
69%
3
1
2
1
3
4
2
1
5-6
83%
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
#17 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 31
23.2
11
61%
3
1
2
2
1
5
0
3
4-4
100%
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
#33 · C · 7'1" 255 · 34
21.9
6
50%
6
3
2
1
2
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
#13 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 26
3.7
3
75%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
#25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 26
3.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Load Management - Knee
#23 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Thumb Ligament
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
125
69%
44
32
8
8
19
23
6
38
20-26
77%
21-34
62%
21-40
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.