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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 14, 2019
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Mavericks28%10899
8Nuggets72%117100
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jalen Brunson
G · 6'2" 198 · 22.5
39
32
20
5
4
1
1
0
2
2
3
1-1
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
50%
3-7
43%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 27.0
37
25
17
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
48%
3-7
43%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 27.6
36
33
16
10
0
0
1
1
2
3
7
5-5
100%
4-9
4-7
44%
64%
1-1
100%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 20.0
35
32
24
11
9
2
1
0
3
1
10
3-7
43%
9-15
5-10
60%
50%
1-8
13%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40.7
19
15
9
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
3-4
75%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 27.1
29
28
11
11
1
1
1
0
0
2
9
2-2
100%
3-6
2-3
50%
59%
1-2
50%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.9
18
29
0
1
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
53%
0-3
0%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 32.7
10
6
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
58%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 36.0
9
15
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-3
0%
Justin Jackson
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.0
5
13
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.4
2
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 26.3
5
0
1-2
46%
Ryan Broekhoff
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.6
4
0
0-0
47%
Kostas Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 195 · 21.3
Daryl Macon
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.3
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 23.6
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 34.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.1
38
29
12
5
7
1
1
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
50%
2-7
29%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.1
36
29
33
8
3
1
1
0
0
1
7
4-4
100%
13-16
4-7
81%
53%
1-3
33%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.1
30
28
11
14
8
0
1
1
2
2
12
3-4
75%
4-7
6-11
57%
58%
0-2
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.2
27
30
11
2
1
1
1
2
0
0
2
2-3
67%
3-5
3-7
60%
50%
1-4
25%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.5
27
26
9
1
2
1
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
55%
1-1
100%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.7
31
24
7
0
4
2
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
54%
1-4
25%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.0
24
20
3
11
2
0
1
2
3
3
8
1-2
50%
1-3
3-5
33%
60%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.3
21
21
12
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
56%
2-7
29%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.5
6
5
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
55%
0-1
0%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.4
12
0
2-3
54%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 30.1
8
0
1-2
50%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 19.9
3
0
0-1
54%
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.1
3
0
0-1
56%
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.2
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.7
Brandon Goodwin
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.