Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, March 14, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Thunder | 106 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 24 | Magic | 72% | 112 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 6 | Celtics | 126 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Lakers | 33% | 109 | 98 |
 | 4 | Raptors | 67% | 115 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Timberwolves | 100 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Mavericks | 28% | 108 | 99 |
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Wednesday, March 13, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Pistons | 74 | ||
 | 15 | Heat | 108 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 48% | 112 | 90 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Nets | 34% | 110 | 96 |
| 10 | Thunder | 66% | 115 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 73% | 113 | 114 |
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Tuesday, March 12, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Knicks | 19% | 101 | 98 |
| 11 | Pacers | 81% | 114 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 99 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 59% | 113 | 123 |
 | 27 | Bulls | 41% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Bucks | 130 | ||
 | 24 | Pelicans | 113 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 14 | Mavericks | 49% | 113 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | 107 | ||
| 8 | Nuggets | 133 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Monday, March 11, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 76% | 117 | 101 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 24% | 107 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kings | 115 | ||
| 19 | Wizards | 121 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pistons | 41% | 109 | 75 |
| 20 | Nets | 59% | 113 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Hornets | 106 | ||
| 4 | Rockets | 118 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Thunder | 39% | 107 | 98 |
| 6 | Jazz | 61% | 111 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 115 | ||
| 18 | Clippers | 140 | ||
Sunday, March 10, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 108 | ||
| 16 | Pistons | 131 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 55% | 107 | 125 |
| 14 | Heat | 45% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 89 | ||
| 7 | 76ers | 106 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | 54% | 117 | 116 |
| 27 | Hawks | 46% | 116 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 97 | ||
| 18 | Grizzlies | 105 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 67% | 116 | 94 |
| 15 | Mavericks | 33% | 110 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 92 | ||
| 12 | Timberwolves | 103 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 57% | 116 | 114 |
| 13 | Spurs | 43% | 113 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 115 | ||
| 1 | Warriors | 111 | ||
Saturday, March 9, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kings | 102 | ||
| 30 | Knicks | 94 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 59% | 117 | 114 |
| 27 | Hawks | 41% | 114 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 130 | ||
| 12 | Timberwolves | 135 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 65% | 114 | 120 |
| 18 | Lakers | 35% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 114 | ||
| 2 | Bucks | 131 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 17% | 107 | 120 |
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 83% | 120 | 127 |
Friday, March 8, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 39% | 114 | 111 |
| 18 | Hornets | 61% | 118 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Mavericks | 106 | ||
| 24 | Magic | 111 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 26% | 103 | 110 |
| 14 | Heat | 74% | 112 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pistons | 112 | ||
| 26 | Bulls | 104 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 76ers | 28% | 110 | 91 |
| 4 | Rockets | 72% | 119 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 104 | ||
| 23 | Grizzlies | 114 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 71% | 119 | 127 |
| 21 | Pelicans | 29% | 111 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 105 | ||
| 1 | Warriors | 122 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Thunder | 48% | 114 | 110 |
| 19 | Clippers | 52% | 115 | 118 |
Thursday, March 7, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 28% | 107 | 98 |
| 4 | Bucks | 72% | 116 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Thunder | 129 | ||
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 121 | ||
Wednesday, March 6, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 43% | 107 | 91 |
| 18 | Hornets | 57% | 110 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 114 | ||
| 17 | Pistons | 131 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Mavericks | 44% | 114 | 123 |
| 19 | Wizards | 56% | 116 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Spurs | 111 | ||
| 27 | Hawks | 104 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 28% | 108 | 107 |
| 21 | Nets | 72% | 117 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 76ers | 107 | ||
| 26 | Bulls | 108 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 61% | 114 | 114 |
| 22 | Pelicans | 39% | 110 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 96 | ||
| 28 | Suns | 107 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 52% | 110 | 111 |
| 25 | Kings | 48% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 115 | ||
| 16 | Lakers | 99 | ||
Tuesday, March 5, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 27% | 105 | 96 |
| 11 | Pacers | 73% | 113 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 106 | ||
| 7 | 76ers | 114 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 42% | 112 | 107 |
| 2 | Raptors | 58% | 114 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 111 | ||
| 23 | Grizzlies | 120 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Thunder | 48% | 114 | 120 |
| 12 | Timberwolves | 52% | 115 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 128 | ||
| 1 | Warriors | 95 | ||
Monday, March 4, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Mavericks | 88 | ||
| 25 | Nets | 127 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 22% | 104 | 113 |
| 12 | Heat | 78% | 114 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 103 | ||
| 15 | Spurs | 104 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 83% | 121 | 105 |
| 29 | Suns | 17% | 108 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | 115 | ||
| 5 | Jazz | 112 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 19% | 106 | 108 |
| 20 | Kings | 81% | 119 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Clippers | 113 | ||
| 16 | Lakers | 105 | ||
Sunday, March 3, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 118 | ||
| 17 | Hornets | 108 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 46% | 111 | 115 |
| 5 | Celtics | 54% | 112 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 123 | ||
| 26 | Bulls | 118 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 19% | 107 | 107 |
| 20 | Clippers | 81% | 119 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Magic | 93 | ||
| 29 | Cavaliers | 107 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 63% | 111 | 107 |
| 18 | Pistons | 37% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | 121 | ||
| 21 | Wizards | 135 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Grizzlies | 33% | 104 | 95 |
| 8 | Thunder | 67% | 110 | 99 |
Saturday, March 2, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pistons | 72% | 113 | 129 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 28% | 105 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Magic | 117 | ||
| 11 | Pacers | 112 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 39% | 107 | 88 |
| 14 | Heat | 61% | 111 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 120 | ||
| 7 | 76ers | 117 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 40% | 104 | 111 |
| 12 | Mavericks | 60% | 108 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Thunder | 102 | ||
| 16 | Spurs | 116 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | 19% | 110 | 120 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 81% | 123 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Lakers | 109 | ||
| 29 | Suns | 118 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 43% | 109 | 111 |
| 5 | Jazz | 57% | 111 | 115 |
Friday, March 1, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 168 | ||
| 27 | Hawks | 161 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 47% | 113 | 123 |
| 19 | Nets | 53% | 114 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 117 | ||
| 2 | Raptors | 119 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 24% | 108 | 96 |
| 6 | Celtics | 76% | 118 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | 130 | ||
| 29 | Suns | 116 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Clippers | 47% | 114 | 116 |
| 21 | Kings | 53% | 116 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 131 | ||
| 15 | Lakers | 120 | ||