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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 21, 2019
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Nuggets69%119113
22Wizards31%112108
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.1
35
29
15
6
2
3
1
1
3
0
6
1-2
50%
4-6
4-8
67%
54%
2-2
100%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.1
35
32
15
6
11
0
1
0
1
3
3
1-1
100%
4-8
7-12
50%
58%
2-4
50%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.5
29
28
15
5
1
2
1
0
0
4
1
2-4
50%
5-11
3-6
45%
54%
1-4
25%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.1
26
31
15
4
2
0
1
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
6-10
4-9
60%
50%
1-4
25%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.2
20
31
13
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
51%
1-3
33%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.0
26
21
4
11
4
1
1
0
1
1
10
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
60%
0-0
-
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.3
25
14
15
1
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
58%
3-6
50%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.7
23
23
11
0
4
1
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
2-3
3-5
67%
55%
2-2
100%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.3
21
20
10
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
57%
2-5
40%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 30.1
7
0
1-2
50%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.5
4
0
0-0
57%
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.1
2
0
0-0
56%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 20.0
2
0
0-0
54%
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.7
Brandon Goodwin
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.5
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 25.7
36
36
25
2
8
3
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
8-12
6-11
67%
53%
2-7
29%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 24.1
36
26
18
8
1
0
1
0
1
0
8
3-3
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
49%
3-6
50%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 21.6
35
17
22
8
0
0
0
2
0
1
7
4-5
80%
9-10
3-5
90%
62%
0-1
0%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.4
34
31
16
4
10
1
1
0
4
2
2
4-4
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
53%
2-3
67%
Troy Brown Jr.
F · 6'7" 215 · 19.6
33
22
13
5
3
0
1
0
2
1
4
1-1
100%
6-8
2-5
75%
48%
0-2
0%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.0
22
30
6
8
1
0
1
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
3-8
5-9
38%
54%
0-3
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.6
21
24
5
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
53%
1-4
25%
Chasson Randle
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.1
16
12
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 31.7
7
6
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 33.7
21
1
2-3
50%
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.9
6
0
1-1
55%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 32.4
6
0
1-1
56%
Devin Robinson
F · 6'8" 200 · 24.0
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 28.0
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.5
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.