Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, March 21, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Timberwolves | 49% | 113 | 106 |
 | 24 | Hornets | 51% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Pistons | 66% | 113 | 118 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Mavericks | 33% | 110 | 100 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wednesday, March 20, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Bucks | 76% | 118 | 102 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Pelicans | 36% | 108 | 96 |
 | 16 | Magic | 64% | 113 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Celtics | 49% | 111 | 115 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 84% | 114 | 137 |
 | 30 | Knicks | 16% | 100 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wizards | 62% | 116 | 120 |
 | 29 | Bulls | 38% | 111 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Heat | 39% | 107 | 110 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Raptors | 46% | 110 | 123 |
 | 11 | Thunder | 54% | 111 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Mavericks | 33% | 109 | 118 |
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Tuesday, March 19, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 76ers | 55% | 114 | 118 |
| 21 | Hornets | 45% | 112 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 74% | 120 | 121 |
| 25 | Hawks | 26% | 111 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Lakers | 15% | 106 | 101 |
| 3 | Bucks | 85% | 120 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 65% | 118 | 117 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 35% | 112 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Nets | 45% | 112 | 123 |
| 17 | Kings | 55% | 114 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 41% | 109 | 109 |
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23FFFFFF;}%20.st1{fill:%23C8102E;}%20.st2{fill:%231D428A;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%20id='Layer_2_1_'%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M42.4,200.4c0-86.9,70.4-157.3,157.3-157.3S357,113.5,357,200.4s-70.4,157.3-157.3,157.3%20S42.4,287.3,42.4,200.4'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M199.8,56.1c-79.6,0-144.3,64.7-144.3,144.3s64.7,144.3,144.3,144.3S344.1,280,344.1,200.4%20C344.1,120.9,279.3,56.1,199.8,56.1%20M304.1,120.3c16.5,21.4,25.9,47,27.2,73.9h-54.4C278.2,167.2,287.6,141.7,304.1,120.3%20M95.5,120.3c16.5,21.4,25.9,47,27.3,73.9H68.2C69.6,167.1,78.9,141.7,95.5,120.3%20M95.5,280.6c-16.5-21.4-25.9-47-27.2-73.9h54.4%20C121.4,233.7,112,259.2,95.5,280.6%20M206.1,332v-37.7h-12.7V332c-34.3-1.6-66-16.3-89.6-41.4c19.3-24.1,30.1-53,31.4-83.7v-12.7%20c-1.3-30.7-12.2-59.6-31.4-83.7c23.6-25.1,55.3-39.8,89.6-41.4v37.4h12.7V68.9c34.3,1.6,66,16.3,89.6,41.4%20c-19.3,24.1-30.1,53-31.4,83.7v12.7c1.3,30.7,12.2,59.6,31.4,83.7C272.1,315.6,240.3,330.3,206.1,332%20M304.1,280.6%20c-16.5-21.4-25.9-47-27.3-73.9h54.4C329.9,233.7,320.6,259.2,304.1,280.6'/%3e%3cpolygon%20class='st1'%20points='167.6,140%20167.6,260.4%20232,260.4%20232,243.9%20184.8,243.9%20184.8,140%20'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M253.8,180.3v-49.6c0-7.5-3-10.5-10.3-10.5h-87.6c-7.2,0-10.2,3.1-10.2,10.5v139.4c0,7.5,3,10.5,10.2,10.5%20h87.6c7.3,0,10.3-3.1,10.3-10.5v-49.7h-17.4v44.9H163V135.5h73.5v44.8L253.8,180.3L253.8,180.3z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M232,239.2V140h-41.9l-0.4,99.2h16.7l0.3-30.9h8.5l-0.1,30.9H232z%20M215.1,191.7h-8.4v-35.2h8.4V191.7z'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 13 | Clippers | 59% | 112 | 115 |
Monday, March 18, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pistons | 57% | 111 | 119 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 43% | 108 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 65% | 114 | 116 |
| 19 | Wizards | 35% | 109 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 42% | 110 | 114 |
| 4 | Celtics | 58% | 113 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 14% | 101 | 92 |
| 7 | Raptors | 86% | 116 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 31% | 104 | 116 |
| 8 | Thunder | 69% | 111 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 59% | 117 | 105 |
| 12 | Spurs | 41% | 114 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | 34% | 112 | 129 |
| 16 | Mavericks | 66% | 118 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 36% | 107 | 116 |
| 27 | Suns | 64% | 112 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 43% | 107 | 98 |
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 57% | 110 | 106 |
Sunday, March 17, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 39% | 106 | 75 |
| 15 | Heat | 61% | 110 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 76ers | 32% | 111 | 130 |
| 1 | Bucks | 68% | 117 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Raptors | 54% | 109 | 107 |
| 16 | Pistons | 46% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hawks | 29% | 109 | 91 |
| 14 | Magic | 71% | 116 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 30% | 108 | 102 |
| 17 | Kings | 70% | 116 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 23% | 108 | 102 |
| 3 | Rockets | 77% | 119 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 33% | 111 | 116 |
| 13 | Clippers | 67% | 117 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 69% | 114 | 123 |
| 30 | Knicks | 31% | 108 | 124 |
Saturday, March 16, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Grizzlies | 51% | 111 | 128 |
| 22 | Wizards | 49% | 110 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Suns | 39% | 112 | 138 |
| 26 | Pelicans | 61% | 116 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 27% | 106 | 116 |
| 21 | Mavericks | 73% | 114 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 49% | 113 | 110 |
| 8 | Thunder | 51% | 114 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 48% | 113 | 103 |
| 12 | Spurs | 52% | 114 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 37% | 108 | 100 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 63% | 112 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 27% | 104 | 98 |
| 4 | Jazz | 73% | 112 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hawks | 20% | 108 | 120 |
| 5 | Celtics | 80% | 120 | 129 |
Friday, March 15, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 28% | 105 | 97 |
| 17 | Pistons | 72% | 113 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kings | 27% | 109 | 114 |
| 7 | 76ers | 73% | 118 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 41% | 114 | 116 |
| 19 | Wizards | 59% | 117 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bucks | 64% | 112 | 113 |
| 13 | Heat | 36% | 107 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 15% | 105 | 102 |
| 1 | Rockets | 85% | 120 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 67% | 119 | 122 |
| 25 | Pelicans | 33% | 113 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 18% | 105 | 83 |
| 11 | Spurs | 82% | 117 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 30% | 109 | 121 |
| 15 | Clippers | 70% | 116 | 128 |
Thursday, March 14, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Thunder | 42% | 108 | 106 |
| 12 | Pacers | 58% | 110 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 28% | 104 | 91 |
| 14 | Magic | 72% | 112 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kings | 29% | 107 | 120 |
| 4 | Celtics | 71% | 115 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 33% | 109 | 98 |
| 10 | Raptors | 67% | 115 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Timberwolves | 31% | 105 | 100 |
| 5 | Jazz | 69% | 112 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 28% | 108 | 99 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 72% | 117 | 100 |
Wednesday, March 13, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 48% | 112 | 90 |
| 21 | Wizards | 52% | 113 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 34% | 110 | 96 |
| 9 | Thunder | 66% | 115 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pistons | 43% | 105 | 74 |
| 13 | Heat | 57% | 107 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Grizzlies | 59% | 112 | 111 |
| 26 | Hawks | 41% | 108 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 42% | 112 | 106 |
| 2 | Rockets | 58% | 115 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 73% | 113 | 114 |
| 28 | Suns | 27% | 104 | 97 |
Tuesday, March 12, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 19% | 101 | 98 |
| 11 | Pacers | 81% | 114 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 14% | 105 | 99 |
| 10 | 76ers | 86% | 121 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Lakers | 59% | 113 | 123 |
| 28 | Bulls | 41% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bucks | 77% | 121 | 130 |
| 26 | Pelicans | 23% | 111 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Spurs | 51% | 114 | 112 |
| 22 | Mavericks | 49% | 113 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Timberwolves | 28% | 110 | 107 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 72% | 118 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 60% | 117 | 125 |
| 13 | Clippers | 40% | 113 | 104 |
Monday, March 11, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Raptors | 76% | 117 | 101 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 24% | 107 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 46% | 116 | 115 |
| 20 | Wizards | 54% | 118 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pistons | 41% | 109 | 75 |
| 18 | Nets | 59% | 113 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 23% | 107 | 106 |
| 1 | Rockets | 77% | 118 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Thunder | 39% | 107 | 98 |
| 6 | Jazz | 61% | 111 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 59% | 114 | 115 |
| 14 | Clippers | 41% | 111 | 140 |
Sunday, March 10, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 55% | 107 | 125 |
| 13 | Heat | 45% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 39% | 108 | 89 |
| 9 | 76ers | 61% | 112 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pelicans | 54% | 117 | 116 |
| 26 | Hawks | 46% | 116 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 48% | 103 | 97 |
| 20 | Grizzlies | 52% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 67% | 116 | 94 |
| 23 | Mavericks | 33% | 110 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 31% | 107 | 92 |
| 25 | Timberwolves | 69% | 114 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bucks | 57% | 116 | 114 |
| 14 | Spurs | 43% | 113 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 9% | 105 | 115 |
| 1 | Warriors | 91% | 124 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | 28% | 106 | 108 |
| 11 | Pistons | 72% | 114 | 131 |
Saturday, March 9, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 59% | 117 | 114 |
| 27 | Hawks | 41% | 114 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wizards | 35% | 115 | 130 |
| 17 | Timberwolves | 65% | 120 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 65% | 114 | 120 |
| 23 | Lakers | 35% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 18% | 108 | 114 |
| 2 | Bucks | 82% | 121 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 17% | 107 | 120 |
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 83% | 120 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 67% | 115 | 102 |
| 30 | Knicks | 33% | 108 | 94 |
Friday, March 8, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 39% | 114 | 111 |
| 15 | Hornets | 61% | 118 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Mavericks | 41% | 107 | 106 |
| 17 | Magic | 59% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 26% | 103 | 110 |
| 14 | Heat | 74% | 112 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | 59% | 111 | 112 |
| 26 | Bulls | 41% | 108 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 76ers | 28% | 110 | 91 |
| 1 | Rockets | 72% | 119 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 65% | 105 | 104 |
| 22 | Grizzlies | 35% | 100 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Raptors | 71% | 119 | 127 |
| 25 | Pelicans | 29% | 111 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 38% | 114 | 105 |
| 4 | Warriors | 62% | 118 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Thunder | 48% | 114 | 110 |
| 18 | Clippers | 52% | 115 | 118 |